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This game has ended. Each team's next preview is below, with the current odds and the Desk's read.
Exchange buyers before puck drop: which side buyers took (Kalshi, Polymarket (international), Novig, ProphetX)
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
How to read these numbers
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Kalshi
Moneyline$28k traded · 947 trades · $29k open
Vegas Golden KnightsDetroit Red Wings
Trades
Money
Spread$1.4k traded · 95 trades · $3.1k open
Vegas Golden Knights -1.5Detroit Red Wings +1.5
Trades
Money
Light trading: $1.4k so far, percentages can swingTotal 5.5$17k traded · 203 trades · $24k open
Over 5.5Under 5.5
Trades
Money
Polymarket (international)
Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
Moneyline$16k traded · 211 trades · $28k open
Vegas Golden KnightsDetroit Red Wings
Trades
Money
Spread$887 traded · 43 trades · $1.5k open
Vegas Golden Knights -1.5Detroit Red Wings +1.5
Trades
Money
Light trading: $887 so far, percentages can swingTotal 5.5$2.7k traded · 45 trades · $5.0k open
Over 5.5Under 5.5
Trades
Money
Light trading: $2.7k so far, percentages can swingNovig
Moneyline$59k traded · 325 trades
Vegas Golden KnightsDetroit Red Wings
Trades
Money
Spread$1.4k traded · 33 trades
Vegas Golden Knights -1.5Detroit Red Wings +1.5
Trades
Money
Light trading: $1.4k so far, percentages can swingTotal 6.5$6.0k traded · 53 trades
Over 6.5Under 6.5
Trades
Money
ProphetX
Moneyline$4.3k traded · 117 trades
Vegas Golden KnightsDetroit Red Wings
Trades
Money
Light trading: $4.3k so far, percentages can swingLast read before puck drop .
Polymarket US: prices only
Polymarket US lists moneyline, spread and alternate and period lines for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.
Detroit Red Wings win price on Kalshi and Polymarket (international) as puck drop neared
Detroit Red Wings to win, from 167 hours before the start to 89 min before the start: Polymarket (international) 40% to 43%. These are exchange prices, read as the chance the market gave Detroit Red Wings, not sportsbook odds. Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
Polymarket (international)Scale 40% to 50%
How the number moved: Vegas Golden Knights at Detroit Red Wings
| Market | Opened | Closed | Circa closed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (home line) | +1.5 | +1.5 | n/a |
| Total | 6 | 5.5 | n/a |
| Moneyline (away / home) | n/a | -145 / +125 | n/a |
Opened is the first number we saw and closed the last before puck drop, the median across the books we track. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book, shown as a reference.
Vegas Golden Knights vs Detroit Red Wings: odds, trends and our lean
📊 Best prices from the US sportsbooks and exchanges we track (exchange prices are marked) Prices when this preview was published
| Market | Vegas Golden Knights | Detroit Red Wings |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -135Pregame price at Novig → exchange price | +133Pregame price at Novig → exchange price |
| Spread | -1.5 +180Station Casinos | +1.5 -194Pregame price at ProphetX → exchange price |
| Total 6 | O +101Pregame price at ProphetX → exchange price | U -110Pregame price at ReBet → |
📊 Team Breakdown archived pregame data
Season win %
Vegas Golden Knights
59%
Detroit Red Wings
44%
Chance to win, per the betting market (vig removed)
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
How to read this: "chance to win per the betting market" comes from the actual odds with the sportsbook's built-in fee (the vig) stripped out, the market's honest opinion of the game.
🛈 Wise Guy Desk analysis - not an official play. A free breakdown to help you find value and bet the best number. Ross's documented plays are graded win or loss on the members board.
📘 New to betting? Two-minute translation. A moneyline bet is picking who wins, nothing else. In this game, +133 means a $100 bet profits $133 if it wins. The spread is a head start: -7.5 must win by 8+, while +7.5 cashes by losing by 7 or fewer (or winning). The total is combined points by both teams, over or under the books' number. +EV means the price pays better than the market-implied fair odds (vig removed); consistently taking better prices raises your expected return over time. Learn free: Sports Betting 101 · Odds converter · No-vig calculator
Golden Knights vs Red Wings Prediction: The Crowd Is Loud, the Price Is Not
Eighty-five percent of moneyline tickets are on the Vegas Golden Knights that night, yet the price has stayed at a modest -135. That gap between a loud public and a calm number is the story of Golden Knights vs Red Wings. The Detroit Red Wings host at Little Caesars Arena on Thursday, November 5, at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+, Scripps Sports and DSN. They have six players on their injury report. The total is moving too. Thirteen books opened it anywhere from 5.5 to 6.5.
Who Is Favored to Win Golden Knights vs Red Wings?
Vegas is favored. As of publication, Vegas is 10-5-2 (wins, losses, overtime losses) and sits 3 points back of its division lead. Detroit is 7-6-3 and 6 back. This is the first meeting of the season. The last one was 246 days ago, and Detroit lost. Both teams have one day of rest and are playing their third game in four days.
Vegas is on game 3 of a road trip, 205 miles from Pittsburgh. Detroit flew 994 miles home from Tampa for its fourth game in six days. Recent form flips the script. Over the last five games Detroit scored 3.8 goals and allowed 3.2 per game, while Vegas scored 2.4 and allowed 2.6. Our rating, an Elo model used only for context, has Detroit at 53%, the opposite of the market.
Players to Watch
Jack Eichel leads Vegas with a season total of 22 over 17 games, or 1.3 per game. Alex DeBrincat leads Detroit with 16 over 16 games, 1 per game. Eichel has cooled, with 0.6 points and 1.8 shots on goal per game over his last 5 games. DeBrincat has been steadier, at 0.8 points and 3.2 shots per game over his last 5. In goal, Carter Hart is listed for Vegas and Daniil Tarasov for Detroit.
Golden Knights Odds and Red Wings Odds, Line by Line
The moneyline is a bet on who wins. Vegas at -135 means you risk $135 to profit $100. Detroit at +133 means $100 profits $133. Both best prices are at Novig. The puck line is hockey's point spread. Vegas -1.5 at +180 (Station Casinos) needs a win by 2 or more goals. Detroit +1.5 at -194 (ProphetX) cashes on a Detroit win or a one-goal loss. The total is combined goals: Over 6 pays +101 at ProphetX, Under 6 costs -110 at ReBet. The vig is the book's built-in fee. Shopping for the best number shrinks it.
Where the Value Is
Break-even is how often a bet must win to pay for itself. Vegas at -135 needs 57.4%. Nothing on this board grades positive. Vegas is simply the closest to fair, and Detroit's injury list supports the favorite.
Who Is Out for Red Wings vs Golden Knights?
Detroit lists six names. Goalie John Gibson is Out. Dylan Larkin, Marco Kasper, Mason Appleton, Albert Johansson and Simon Edvinsson are on injured reserve. Gibson started 3 of Detroit's last 5. Vegas lists only defenseman Parker Wotherspoon on injured reserve.
The Pick
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The Prediction
Vegas is the healthier team and Detroit is missing its center and its top recent goalie. We see Vegas grinding out a 3-2 win. That adds to five goals, under the total of 6, though we are not betting the Under at -110. That is the read on this number, and the Desk's documented free play for today sits right below if you want a second look.
Injury Report
DETJohn Gibson (Out), Marco Kasper (Injured Reserve), Mason Appleton (Injured Reserve), Albert Johansson (Injured Reserve), 1 more on injured reserve
VGKParker Wotherspoon (Injured Reserve)
More NHL matchups
Knights vs Wings FAQ
Who was favored in Knights vs Wings?
Knights is the market favorite at -135 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with Wings at +133. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Where to watch Golden Knights vs Red Wings?
The Vegas Golden Knights at Detroit Red Wings game airs on ESPN+, Scripps Sports and DSN. Puck drop is Thursday, November 5, at 7:00 PM ET from Little Caesars Arena in Detroit.
What time is the Golden Knights vs Red Wings game?
The game starts Thursday, November 5, 2026, at 7:00 PM Eastern time at Little Caesars Arena. It is the first meeting of the season between Vegas and Detroit, and it airs on ESPN+, Scripps Sports and DSN.
What was the pregame read on Wings vs Knights?
Vegas Golden Knights vs Detroit Red Wings NHL prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
What is the total (over/under) for Knights vs Wings?
The total is 6, with the over priced at +101 at ProphetX and the under at -110 at ReBet. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Are these NHL picks free?
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
How does the Wise Guy Desk find value in NHL games?
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: NHL picks today · NHL betting splits · DraftKings betting splits