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This game has ended. Each team's next preview is below, with the current odds and the Desk's read.
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Public is on Sabres moneyline (77% of DraftKings tickets), but Circa money leans Blue Jackets (79%).
| Book | BetsBlue JacketsSabres | MoneyBlue JacketsSabres |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Blue Jackets (+142) / Sabres (-170)) | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (Blue Jackets (+145) / Sabres (-162)) | ||
| BetMGM (Blue Jackets (+145) / Sabres (-175)) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsBlue Jackets +1.5Sabres -1.5 | MoneyBlue Jackets +1.5Sabres -1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsOver 6.5Under 6.5 | MoneyOver 6.5Under 6.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) | ||
| BetMGM | Bets only |
Splits data from DraftKings, Circa and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
| Market | Columbus Blue Jackets | Buffalo Sabres |
|---|---|---|
| Total 6.5 | O | U |
| Moneyline | +145 | -162 |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
Last read before puck drop .
Polymarket US lists moneyline, spread and alternate and period lines for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.
Buffalo Sabres to win, from 167 hours before the start to 59 min before the start: Polymarket (international) 63% to 62%. These are exchange prices, read as the chance the market gave Buffalo Sabres, not sportsbook odds. Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
| Market | Opened | Closed | Circa closed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (home line) | -1.5 | -1.5 | n/a |
| Total | 6.5 | 6.5 | n/a |
| Moneyline (away / home) | n/a | +150 / -175 | n/a |
Opened is the first number we saw and closed the last before puck drop, the median across the books we track. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book, shown as a reference.
| Market | Columbus Blue Jackets | Buffalo Sabres |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +163Pregame price at Novig → exchange price | -166Pregame price at Courtside → |
| Spread | +1.5 -160Pregame price at Novig → exchange price | -1.5 +153Pregame price at Novig → exchange price |
| Total 6.5 | O +111Pregame price at Novig → exchange price | U -113Pregame price at Novig → exchange price |
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Columbus played last night, and that game went to overtime. Now the Blue Jackets play their third game in four days, 294 miles from home, against a Buffalo team that has had a full day off. The market already knows this. Buffalo is priced at -166. The real question in Blue Jackets vs Sabres is whether any number on this board still pays more than it should.
The Columbus Blue Jackets visit the Buffalo Sabres at KeyBank Center on Friday, November 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, streaming on ESPN+ with local coverage on MSGB and CBJNHL. As of publication, Columbus is 7-7-0 and Buffalo is 7-5-3. Buffalo sits 7th of 8 in the Atlantic Division, 8 back of the lead. Columbus is 14 back of its division lead.
The Blue Jackets won the only meeting so far, 36 days ago, so they lead the season series 1-0. Over their last five games, Columbus scores 3.2 goals and allows 2.4 per game. Buffalo scores 2.4 and allows 2.6, and it just lost 2-1 to Ottawa. One warning sign for Columbus: it allows 32 shots per game on average across 18 stored games.
Tage Thompson leads Buffalo with 18 points over 15 games, or 1.2 per game. He is running hot, with 1.8 points and 4 shots per game over his last five. Kent Johnson leads Columbus with 14 points over 14 games, 1.0 per game, and 1.4 points per game over his last five. In goal, the listed starters are Jet Greaves for Columbus (Cam Talbot started last night) and Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen for Buffalo, who has started 4 of the last 5.
Buffalo is the favorite. The moneyline (a bet on who wins) has the Sabres at -166, best at Courtside: a $100 bet profits $60.24. Strip out the vig (the house's built-in cut) and the market reads Buffalo 62.3% to win, Columbus 37.7%. Our rating has it close to that, 61% to 39%, as context only. The puck line is hockey's spread: Columbus +1.5 at -160 wins if the Blue Jackets win or lose by one, while Sabres -1.5 at +153 needs a win by two or more. Both best prices are at Novig. The public split has 76% of moneyline tickets on Buffalo.
Break-even is how often a bet must win to stop losing money at that price. Expected value is what a bet averages per $100 over many tries. Blue Jackets +163 needs 38% against 37.7%: minus $0.73. The puck lines run minus $0.80 and minus $1.45, and the Under is minus $0.97. Only Over 6.5 at +111 clears it. That is an average, not what you win when it hits. This edge is razor thin.
Buffalo lists four names: Konsta Helenius (Out), plus Justin Danforth, Alex Lyon and Matt Grzelcyk, all on Injured Reserve. With Lyon out, the goalie depth behind Luukkonen is thinner.
The case is the price first, then the schedule. A Columbus team on no rest that already allows 32 shots per game is a fair bet to leak chances, and Thompson is shooting 4 times a game lately. Keep it small.
Buffalo's rest and Thompson's form tilt the game toward the Sabres, while Columbus has enough scoring to keep pace for a while. We project Sabres 4, Blue Jackets 3. That adds up to 7 goals, over the 6.5 total. Whether you call it Sabres vs Blue Jackets or the other way around, the lesson is the same: the side was priced right, and only the total paid a sliver extra. That is the read on this board; the Desk's documented free play for today lands right below if you want to see how we handle a thin card.
This game has ended. Each team's next preview is below, with the current odds and the Desk's read.
Sabres is the market favorite at -166 (best price at Courtside) on the moneyline, with Jackets at +163. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
The Columbus Blue Jackets at Buffalo Sabres game streams on ESPN+, with regional coverage on MSGB and CBJNHL. The game is played at KeyBank Center in Buffalo on Friday, November 6, 2026.
The game starts Friday, November 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM Eastern time at KeyBank Center. It is available on ESPN+, MSGB and CBJNHL, according to the listed broadcast information.
Columbus Blue Jackets vs Buffalo Sabres NHL prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 6.5, with the over priced at +111 at Novig and the under at -113 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: NHL picks today · NHL betting splits · DraftKings betting splits
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
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