Blues vs Devils Prediction & Odds (Nov 5)

Ninety-three percent of moneyline tickets are on the New Jersey Devils that night, and the books barely moved. The St. Louis Blues sit at +203, the Devils at -200, and the gap between what the price pays and what the market believes comes down to pocket change. That makes this Blues vs Devils game a lesson in why the number matters more than the name on the jersey. Puck drops Thursday at 7:00 PM ET at Prudential Center, on ESPN+, MSGSN, Blues App and BN+.

Who Is Favored to Win Blues vs Devils?

The Devils are, and on paper it is not close. New Jersey is 10-5-0 as of publication, 2nd of 8 in the Metropolitan Division and 6 back of the lead. St. Louis is 7-7-1, 6th of 8 in the Central and 10 back. This is the first meeting of the season. The last one, 250 days ago, went to New Jersey. The Devils rank first of 32 in expected goals share at 60.9 percent over 13 games.

That stat measures the share of quality scoring chances a team creates versus allows, so 60.9 percent means they own the puck. Their per-game averages over 19 stored games back it up: 31.21 shots for and 22.83 against. The Blues average 27.63 for and 26.79 against per game. St. Louis is on game 3 of a road trip, 13 miles from a 3-1 loss to the Rangers. Both teams had 1 day of rest, and New Jersey's last game went to overtime. Listed starters are Jordan Binnington for the Blues and Connor Hellebuyck for the Devils.

Players to Watch

Jack Hughes leads the Devils with 19 over all 15 games, 1.3 per game, and he is heating up: 1.6 points and 4.4 shots on goal per game over his last 5. Dylan Holloway leads the Blues with 12 over all 15 games, 0.8 per game, but he has cooled to 0.4 points per game over his last 5 (0.9 over 10). The St. Louis power play adds to the worry: 0.47 goals per game on 3.26 chances, per-game averages over 19 stored games.

Devils Odds and Blues Odds, Line by Line

The moneyline is a bet on who wins. Devils -200 at Hard Rock Bet: a $100 bet profits $50, and you need to win 66.7% of the time to break even. The puck line is hockey's spread. Blues +1.5 at -135 (Caesars) wins if St. Louis wins outright or loses by one. A $100 bet profits $74.07, break-even 57.4%. A $100 bet profits $130, break-even 43.5%. The consensus total has moved from 5.5 to 6 after 25 moves, so a 5.5 is worth hunting. These best prices sit at three different books, which is the whole case for shopping lines.

Where the Value Is

The vig is the book's built-in cut. Strip it out and the market reads Devils 66.7%, Blues 33.3%. Expected value is your average result per bet if you made it many times. The public split and exchange flow (84% of the money traded on the Kalshi moneyline is on the Devils) are context, not reasons. Our rating has New Jersey at 59%, below the market's 66.7%, a caution flag worth naming.

Injuries

St. Louis has four on injured reserve: Dillon Dube (C), Logan Mailloux (D), Torey Krug (D) and Tyler Tucker (D). That is three defensemen out. New Jersey lists Seamus Casey (D) on injured reserve.

The Pick

Devils moneyline -200 at Hard Rock Bet. The edge is thin, but it is positive at the market's read and against our fair price.

The Prediction

Our Devils vs Blues prediction: New Jersey 3, St. Louis 2. That adds to five goals, under the 5.5. A one-goal win would lose a Devils -1.5 ticket, which is exactly why we stay on the moneyline. Hughes and the shot gap carry it, but nine cents per $100 is a reminder to bet small. That is the Desk's read on this number. The documented free daily play lands right below if you want the next step.