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Missouri Tigers play at Georgia Bulldogs in college football on Saturday, November 14, at Sanford Stadium. As of 9:50 AM ET, Georgia are 15.5-point favorites and the total is 47.5. Prices come from 16 sportsbooks we track. The Desk leans Under 47.5. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 16 sportsbooks · college football betting splits
DraftKings bettors lean Georgia Bulldogs on the spread (80% of tickets).
| Book | BetsMissouri TigersGeorgia Bulldogs | MoneyMissouri TigersGeorgia Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Missouri Tigers +16.5 / Georgia Bulldogs -16.5) | ||
| BetMGM (Missouri Tigers +16 / Georgia Bulldogs -16) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsMissouri TigersGeorgia Bulldogs | MoneyMissouri TigersGeorgia Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Missouri Tigers (+525) / Georgia Bulldogs (-750)) | ||
| BetMGM (Missouri Tigers (+525) / Georgia Bulldogs (-700)) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsOver 47.5Under 47.5 | MoneyOver 47.5Under 47.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||
| BetMGM | Bets only |
Splits data from DraftKings and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
| Market | Missouri Tigers | Georgia Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +570Bet at ReBet → | -700Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Spread | +15.5 -109betPARX | -15.5 -110Bet at FanDuel → |
| Total 47.5 | O -108betPARX | U -102Bet at BetMGM → |
As of 9:50 AM ET, the spread is Georgia -15.5 and the total is 47.5, with 16 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Missouri ML | Georgia ML | Missouri spread | Georgia spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | +540 | -835 | +15.5 -109 | -15.5 -110 | O 47.5 -108 | U 47.5 -112 |
| betPARX | +540 | -835 | +15.5 -109 | -15.5 -110 | O 47.5 -108 | U 47.5 -112 |
| BetRivers | +540 | -910 | +15.5 -110 | -15.5 -112 | O 47.5 -109 | U 47.5 -114 |
| Fliff | +525 | -815 | +15.5 -110 | -15.5 -120 | O 47.5 -120 | U 47.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +550 | -850 | +15.5 -110 | -15.5 -110 | O 47.5 -110 | U 47.5 -110 |
| bet365 | +550 | -800 | – | – | O 47.5 -112 | U 47.5 -108 |
| BetMGM | +525 | -700 | – | – | O 47.5 -118 | U 47.5 -102 |
| Caesars | +500 | -750 | – | – | O 47.5 -112 | U 47.5 -108 |
| Courtside | +545 | -715 | – | – | O 47.5 -113 | U 47.5 -103 |
| DraftKings | +525 | -750 | – | – | O 47.5 -115 | U 47.5 -105 |
Prices from 16 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Missouri Tigers9th in the Southeastern ConferenceGeorgia Bulldogs1st in the Southeastern Conference
Gunner Stockton (UGA)139/196, 1,857 YDS, 20 TD, 4 INT (9 GP)
Austin Simmons (MIZ)175/283, 2,204 YDS, 18 TD, 2 INT (9 GP)Georgia is laying 15.5 points at Sanford Stadium, and at the posted prices every ticket on this board loses money on average. That is the real puzzle in Missouri vs Georgia. The No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs (AP Top 25) host the Missouri Tigers on Saturday, November 14 at 3:30 PM ET on ABC and Disney+. The market has already priced in most of what we know. Our job is to find the ticket that costs the least to hold, and to tell you exactly what it costs.
As of publication, Georgia is 8-1 and sits 1st of 16 in the Southeastern Conference. Missouri is 6-3, 9th of 16. This is a conference game. The per-game averages over nine games each show the gap. Georgia gains 454.22 total yards per game and allows 271. Missouri gains 414.78 and allows 333.56. Georgia runs for 210.67 yards per game and allows just 84.44 on the ground.
PPA (predicted points added per play, a measure of how much each snap pushes a team toward points) has Georgia's offense at 0.31 and Missouri's at 0.16 over nine games each. Against the spread (ATS, meaning results once the point handicap is applied), Georgia is 7-2 in nine graded games. Missouri is 4-5 in nine, including 1-3 as an underdog in four. Both teams had six days of rest, and Missouri traveled 605 miles. The forecast is 57 degrees, a 5 mph wind and no rain.
Gunner Stockton has played all nine Georgia games, averaging 15.4 completions on 21.8 attempts, 206.3 yards, 2.2 touchdowns and 0.4 interceptions per game. Austin Simmons has played all nine for Missouri, averaging 19.4 of 31.4, 244.9 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0.2 interceptions per game. Over his last five games, Simmons averages 251.4 passing yards. Stockton averages 220.6 passing and 26.6 rushing yards per game over his last five. Simmons carries Missouri's passing game. Stockton runs an efficient offense that leans on the ground and adds yards with his legs.
Georgia, clearly. You risk $100 to profit $14.29. Missouri is +570 at ReBet, where $100 profits $570. Strip out the vig (the sportsbook's built-in fee) and the market reads about 87.3% Georgia, 12.7% Missouri. Our rating, an Elo model, has Georgia at 78% (context only, not a bet). The spread: Missouri +15.5 at -109 (betPARX) wins if Missouri wins or loses by 15 or fewer.
Georgia -15.5 at -110 (FanDuel) needs a 16-point win, and there is no tie at a half point. Missouri's number moved from +17.5 to +15.5 at five books. The total (combined points by both teams) is 47.5. The Over is -108 at betPARX and the Under -102 at BetMGM. On the public split, 83% of DraftKings spread tickets and 76% of the money are on Georgia.
Break-even is how often a bet must win just to stay level. Expected value is the average result per bet over many repeats. Georgia -15.5 needs 52.4% against 50.1%, minus $4.32. The Over needs 51.9% against 50.5%, minus $2.81. Missouri's moneyline sits at minus $15.21. We like the Under on the matchup. Georgia allows 271 yards and 16.44 first downs per game, and its heavy run game keeps the clock moving. That is a matchup opinion, not a priced edge, because 49.5% sits below 50.5%.
Under 47.5 at -102 at BetMGM. Keep the stake small. A worse price raises the break-even, so shop for -102 or better.
Georgia controls the line of scrimmage and wins 27-17. That adds to 44 points, under 47.5. This is a Desk read, not an official play. That is our read on this number, and the Desk's documented free play for today sits right below if you want the next step.
Georgia is the market favorite at -700 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with Missouri at +570. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Missouri vs Georgia airs on ABC and Disney+. The game kicks off Saturday, November 14 at 3:30 PM ET at Sanford Stadium, with Georgia as the home team in this conference matchup.
The Missouri Tigers and Georgia Bulldogs kick off Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 3:30 PM Eastern time at Sanford Stadium. The broadcast is on ABC and Disney+.
No. 1 Georgia should control this game, but the number we like best is the Under 47.5 at -102 at BetMGM, a small matchup lean with an honest price tag. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 47.5, with the over priced at -108 at betPARX and the under at -102 at BetMGM. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College football betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college football odds · FanDuel betting splits
Public is on Bulldogs (83% of DraftKings tickets on the spread), DraftKings money is also on Bulldogs (77%).
Several books (3) moved the total on over to 48.5 together.
On Kalshi, 92% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Georgia Bulldogs (1606 trades, $69k traded). On Polymarket, 97% of the money traded on the total is on the Over (24 trades, $3.7k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. On ProphetX, 78% of the money traded on the spread is on Georgia Bulldogs (22 trades, $1.1k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 13, 7:43 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
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