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DraftKings bettors lean Florida St on the spread (52% of tickets).
| Book | BetsTexas A&M-CC +24.5Florida St -24.5 | MoneyTexas A&M-CC +24.5Florida St -24.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsTexas A&M-CC (+2200)Florida St (-8000) | MoneyTexas A&M-CC (+2200)Florida St (-8000) |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsOver 148.5Under 148.5 | MoneyOver 148.5Under 148.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
Splits data from DraftKings. See every game's betting splits
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket US lists moneyline for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.
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Sebastian Rancik (FSU)22.0 PPG (3 GP)
Desmond Kent Jr. (AMCC)10.3 PPG (3 GP)The Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders are scoring 42.67 points per game in the paint (layups and close shots near the rim) and allowing just 20. The Florida State Seminoles play faster, at 68.6 possessions per game against the Islanders' 64.2. A possession is one trip down the floor with the ball, so this is a tempo fight as much as a talent fight. The Islanders fly 812 miles and cross one time zone east. The Seminoles never leave home. Tip is Friday, November 13 at 5:00 PM ET at the Tucker Center, on ACCNX.
Both teams are 2-1, but it is only three games into the season. That is far too early to call form. Each side has two days of rest and neither is on a back-to-back. Florida State is playing game three of a home stand. No sportsbook favorite exists yet because odds are not posted.
Our rating (an Elo model, a system that scores teams from stored results) has Florida State at 70% to win and Texas A&M-Corpus Christi at 30%. That is context only, never a bet. The glass is the key battle. The Islanders grab 39.33 rebounds per game and allow 24. The Seminoles grab 40.67 and allow 30.67. Those are per-game averages over three games, a small sample.
Sebastian Rancik leads Florida State at 22.0 points per game over three games, a small sample. He played 33 minutes last game and 64 over the last seven days. Anthony Robinson II (35 minutes last game, 59 over seven days) and Kam Taylor (33, 58) also carry heavy loads. Desmond Kent Jr. leads the Islanders at 10.3 points per game over three games, also a small sample. Their minutes are spread wider: Lamin Foon 20 last game, Bryson Wheatfall 18 and Sebastian Robinson 17. Translation: Florida State leans on its starters, while Texas A&M-Corpus Christi rotates and keeps legs fresher.
None yet. When lines post, you will see three markets. The spread is a handicap: the favorite must win by more than the number. The moneyline is a straight bet on who wins. The total is a bet on combined points, over or under. Until then, look at the shape of the game. Over three games (per-game averages), the Islanders shoot 28.33% from three and the Seminoles 25.67%, so neither wins from deep.
Florida State makes 80.33% at the line against 65.33% for the Islanders. Florida State turns it over 10.33 times per game to 13.67. Over the last 10 stored games, Florida State scores 122 points per 100 possessions against 109.6. Florida State is 2-1 against the spread (covering the handicap) and 2-1 on over-unders across three graded games.
Value means getting a better price than the market's fair number. To find that fair number, you remove the vig (the sportsbook's built-in fee) from both sides. Expected value is what a bet should return per $100 risked on average over many tries. Without posted odds, we cannot compute either, and we will not guess. Our 70% rating is not a fair price. The plan: when Florida State Seminoles odds post, compare every book and take the best number.
We lean Florida State to win, with no price available yet. The case is home floor, zero travel against an 812-mile trip, and a stronger scoring rate over the last 10 stored games. If you prefer a spread once it posts, treat it as a separate bet with its own break-even rate, not the same wager as the moneyline.
In Florida State vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi, we see the Seminoles pushing the pace and cashing free throws late while the Islanders win stretches in the paint. Projected score: Florida State 78, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 67, a combined 145 points. That is our read before the market speaks, and the Desk's documented free daily play sits right below for days when the number lines up.
Florida State gets our early lean on a home floor with no travel, but the real decision waits for a posted price worth shopping.
The game airs on ACCNX. The Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders visit the Florida State Seminoles at the Tucker Center, an indoor arena, on Friday, November 13, 2026, with tip-off set for 5:00 PM Eastern time.
Tip-off is Friday, November 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET at the Tucker Center. The broadcast is on ACCNX. Both teams come in on two days of rest, and neither is playing on a back-to-back.
Sportsbooks had not posted odds as of November 11, so there is no market favorite yet. As context only, our Elo rating gives Florida State a 70% chance to win and Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 30%. That rating is not a bet.
Florida State gets our early lean on a home floor with no travel, but the real decision waits for a posted price worth shopping. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits
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