@
UC San Diego Tritons play at Utah State Aggies in college basketball on Friday, November 13, at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum. As of 6:11 PM ET, Utah State are 12.5-point favorites and the total is 158.5. Prices come from 13 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 13 sportsbooks · college basketball betting splits
Latest since this preview was written: spread now Aggies -12.5, was Aggies -13.5; total now 158.5, was 156.5.
Public is on Utah State spread (71% of DraftKings tickets), but Circa money leans UC San Diego (99%).
| Book | BetsUC San Diego +12.5Utah State -12.5 | MoneyUC San Diego +12.5Utah State -12.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) |
| Book | BetsUC San Diego (+650)Utah State (-1000) | MoneyUC San Diego (+650)Utah State (-1000) |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsOver 159.5Under 159.5 | MoneyOver 159.5Under 159.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
Splits data from DraftKings and Circa. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
| Market | UC San Diego Tritons | Utah State Aggies |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +12.5 | -12.5 |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
| Market | UC San Diego Tritons | Utah State Aggies |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +750Bet at theScore Bet → | -- |
| Spread | +12.5 +113Bet at Kalshi → exchange price | -12.5 -115Bet at Fanatics → |
| Total 158.5 | O -110Bet at FanDuel → | U -101Bet at ProphetX → exchange price |
As of 6:11 PM ET, the spread is Utah State -12.5 and the total is 158.5, with 13 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | UC San Diego ML | Utah State ML | UC San Diego spread | Utah State spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | +550 | -910 | +12.5 -106 | -12.5 -115 | O 158.5 -114 | U 158.5 -106 |
| BetMGM | +650 | -1000 | +12.5 -102 | -12.5 -118 | O 158.5 -115 | U 158.5 -105 |
| betPARX | +550 | -910 | +12.5 -106 | -12.5 -115 | O 158.5 -114 | U 158.5 -106 |
| BetRivers | +550 | -910 | +12.5 -107 | -12.5 -117 | O 158.5 -115 | U 158.5 -107 |
| Courtside | +679 | -943 | +12.5 +100 | -12.5 -116 | O 158.5 -118 | U 158.5 -108 |
| FanDuel | +640 | -1000 | +12.5 -105 | -12.5 -115 | O 158.5 -110 | U 158.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +550 | -900 | +12.5 -105 | -12.5 -115 | O 158.5 -115 | U 158.5 -105 |
| ProphetX | +760 | -820 | +12.5 +107 | -12.5 -116 | O 158.5 -117 | U 158.5 -101 |
| DraftKings | +650 | -1000 | +12.5 -102 | -12.5 -118 | – | – |
| Fanatics | +650 | -1000 | +12.5 -105 | -12.5 -115 | – | – |
Prices from 13 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Mason Falslev (USU)18.3 PPG (3 GP)
Rahmir Barno (UCSD)17.5 PPG (2 GP)The spread opened at Utah State -12.5 and now sits at -13.5. The total jumped from 154.5 to 156.5. The market expects the Utah State Aggies to win big at home and the scoreboard to stay busy. For a bettor, the question is not who wins. It is whether any price here still pays more than it should. The UC San Diego Tritons visit the Dee Glen Smith Spectrum on Friday, November 13, at 10:00 PM ET on the CW.
Utah State, by a lot. As of publication UC San Diego is 2-0 and Utah State is 3-0, but it is only two and three games into the season, far too early to call that form. Context helps more. UC San Diego gets 5 days of rest but travels 688 miles, crosses one time zone east and climbs to about 1,381 meters of altitude from a low-elevation home. Utah State has 2 days of rest and plays game 4 of a home stand.
Over three games, Utah State has shot 55% per game and held opponents to 37.67% per game, a tiny sample. By our closing-line math, Utah State is 3-0 against the spread (it beat the betting margin) in 3 graded games and 2-1 on the over-under. Over the last 10 stored games, Utah State scores 119.9 points per 100 possessions to UC San Diego's 110.1, at similar pace. The last meeting, 696 days ago, went to UC San Diego. Our rating, an Elo model used only as context, makes Utah State 78% to win, below the market's read.
Mason Falslev leads Utah State at 18.3 points per game over three games, a small sample, and has logged 67 minutes in the last seven days. Rahmir Barno leads UC San Diego at 17.5 points per game over two games, an even smaller sample. Worth watching, not worth betting on yet.
Start with the moneyline, a bet on who wins outright. UC San Diego is +660 at FanDuel: a $100 bet profits $660 if they win. The minus sign marks the favorite. The spread adds a handicap. UC San Diego +13.5 at -103 (Courtside) wins if they win or lose by 13 or fewer. Utah State -13.5 at -110 (Fanatics) wins only by 14 or more.
Those prices tell you the cost: -110 means risking $110 to profit $100. The total is a bet on combined points: Over 156.5 at -105 (BetMGM), Under 156.5 at -108 (Courtside). Each is the best price we found. Shopping matters: books opened the spread a full point apart, from -12.5 at Fanatics to -13.5 at ESPN BET.
Books build in a fee called the vig. Strip it out and the market makes Utah State about 88.5% to win and UC San Diego 11.5%. Break-even is how often a bet must win to stop losing money. Utah State at -700 needs 87.5%. That is an average over many bets, not what one ticket pays. Everything else is negative against the market: UC San Diego moneyline minus $12.91, UC San Diego +13.5 minus $3.74, Utah State -13.5 minus $2.33, the Over minus $2.38 and the Under minus $3.70, all per $100 risked. This is a thin edge against the market, not a fat one.
That is the moneyline only, not the spread. Know the shape of this bet: you risk a lot to win a little, and one loss wipes out many wins.
We see Utah State pulling away at home on its efficiency, with UC San Diego hanging around long enough to keep the margin honest. Our projection: Utah State 83, UC San Diego 71. That adds to 154 points, under the 156.5 total, and a 12-point margin would fall short of -13.5, so our lean stays on the moneyline and nowhere else. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
UC San Diego Tritons vs Utah State Aggies College Basketball prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk.
UC San Diego vs Utah State airs on the CW. The game tips off Friday, November 13, 2026, at 10:00 PM ET from the Dee Glen Smith Spectrum, Utah State's home arena.
The game starts at 10:00 PM ET on Friday, November 13, 2026. It will be broadcast on the CW from the Dee Glen Smith Spectrum, where Utah State is playing game 4 of a home stand.
UC San Diego Tritons vs Utah State Aggies College Basketball prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 158.5, with the over priced at -110 at FanDuel and the under at -101 at ProphetX. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college basketball odds · FanDuel betting splits
The spread opened Aggies -12.5 and is now -13.5; the total moved from 154.5 to 156.5; several books (6) moved the spread on home to -13.5 together.
As of Nov 12, 9:59 PM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.