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Wright State Raiders play at Samford Bulldogs in college basketball on Friday, November 13, at Pete Hanna Center. As of 3:42 PM ET, Wright State are 1.5-point favorites and the total is 156.5. Prices come from 14 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 14 sportsbooks · college basketball betting splits
DraftKings bettors lean Wright St on the moneyline (72% of tickets).
| Book | BetsWright St (-125)Samford (+105) | MoneyWright St (-125)Samford (+105) |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsOver 157.5Under 157.5 | MoneyOver 157.5Under 157.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
Splits data from DraftKings. See every game's betting splits
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
| Market | Wright State Raiders | Samford Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -111Bet at Novig → exchange price | +107Bet at Courtside → |
| Spread | -1.5 +100Bet at theScore Bet → | +1.5 +100Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Total 156.5 | O -110Bet at FanDuel → | U +103Bet at ProphetX → exchange price |
As of 3:42 PM ET, the spread is Wright State -1.5 and the total is 156.5, with 14 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Wright State ML | Samford ML | Wright State spread | Samford spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | -129 | +104 | -1.5 -109 | +1.5 -112 | O 156.5 -113 | U 156.5 -108 |
| BetMGM | -120 | +100 | -1.5 -105 | +1.5 -115 | O 156.5 -115 | U 156.5 -105 |
| betPARX | -129 | +104 | -1.5 -109 | +1.5 -112 | O 156.5 -113 | U 156.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | -129 | +104 | -1.5 -110 | +1.5 -113 | O 156.5 -114 | U 156.5 -109 |
| Courtside | -122 | +107 | -1.5 -106 | +1.5 -110 | O 156.5 -118 | U 156.5 -108 |
| FanDuel | -125 | +104 | -1.5 -110 | +1.5 -110 | O 156.5 -110 | U 156.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -130 | +105 | -1.5 -110 | +1.5 -110 | O 156.5 -110 | U 156.5 -110 |
| ProphetX | -113 | +106 | -1.5 -108 | +1.5 -107 | O 156.5 -110 | U 156.5 +103 |
| ReBet | -121 | -101 | -1.5 -109 | +1.5 -115 | O 156.5 -115 | U 156.5 -109 |
| Caesars | -120 | +100 | -1.5 -110 | +1.5 -110 | – | – |
Prices from 14 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Will Shaver (SAM)15.5 PPG (2 GP)
Dominic Pangonis (WRST)16.0 PPG (3 GP)Every price on this board loses money against the market's own read. The real question is which one loses the least, and the gap is cents, not dollars. The Wright State Raiders visit the Samford Bulldogs at Pete Hanna Center on Friday, November 13, at 8:00 PM ET on ESPN+. At the open, books disagreed on the spread by a full point. Now they agree at 1.5. In a tight market, the bettor who shops wins.
It is early. Wright State is 3-0 and Samford is 1-1, three and two games into the season. That is far too few games to call form. Our data has no standings or season series. Wright State is 3-0 against the spread in three graded games, all as the favorite. Against the spread means it beat the margin the books set. It is also 2-1 to the over in three games. Both are tiny samples. The schedule says more. Wright State has two days of rest.
This is game two of a road trip, 593 miles from its last game (Toledo) and one time zone west. Samford has five days of rest but traveled 1,612 miles from Las Vegas, two time zones east. The pace is nearly identical over each team's last 10 stored games: 69.5 possessions per game for Wright State and 69.8 for Samford. Wright State scores 120.6 points per 100 possessions to Samford's 118.5. Our rating, an Elo model built on stored results, gives Samford a 54% chance to win. That is the opposite of the market. Treat it as context only.
Dominic Pangonis leads Wright State at 16.0 points per game over three games, a small sample. Will Shaver leads Samford at 15.5 points per game over two games, also a small sample. Minutes tell us more about who will be on the floor. In Wright State's last game, Kellen Pickett played 35 minutes, C.J. O'Hara 32 and Pangonis 30. Samford leaned on Cooper Noard (38), Cade Norris (36) and Isaiah Campbell-Finch (30). The pregame headline highlights Noard's 20-point game. Wright State's per-game averages over three games show 55% shooting and 43.3 points in the paint, while holding opponents to 38%. Again, that is a small sample.
Wright State is the favorite. The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. The vig is the book's built-in fee. With it removed, the market reads Wright State 54.8% to Samford's 45.2%. That is close, but Wright State is still the favorite. The spread is a bet on the margin. Wright State -1.5 at +100 (theScore Bet) wins only if Wright State wins by 2 or more.
Samford +1.5 at -106 (Courtside) wins if Samford wins or loses by 1. A half point means no ties. The total is the combined score, set at 156.5: Over -103 at Courtside, Under -110 at FanDuel. On the spread, Caesars moved first, from +2.5 to +1.5 at 9:03 PM ET, and five books followed within 10 minutes. At the open, eight books ranged from +1.5 at Rebet to +2.5 at FanDuel.
Expected value is what a bet earns on average over many repeats. Break-even is the win rate a price needs just to avoid losing money. That is the smallest drag on the board. Wright State -1.5 at +100 is minus $0.70. Samford +1.5 at -106 is minus $2.15. The Over is minus $3.74 and the Under minus $2.33. No ticket here is positive value.
Keep the stake small and do not take less than +120.
We expect a quick, even game with both teams near 70 possessions. We give Samford the edge at home with the fresher legs. Projected score: Samford 79, Wright State 76. That adds up to 155, a point and a half under the 156.5 total, too close to chase. That is our read on this number. The Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Wright State is the market favorite at -111 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with Samford at +107. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
No player prop lines for Will Shaver are listed in our data. He leads Samford at 15.5 points per game over two games played, a small sample that is too early to treat as a reliable scoring trend.
Wright State Raiders vs Samford Bulldogs College Basketball prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 156.5, with the over priced at -110 at FanDuel and the under at +103 at ProphetX. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college basketball odds · FanDuel betting splits
The spread has held at Bulldogs +1.5 since it opened; the total has held at 156.5.
As of Nov 12, 9:52 PM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
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