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Texas Southern Tigers play at Murray State Racers in college basketball on Friday, November 13, at CFSB Center. As of 6:14 PM ET, Murray State are 29.5-point favorites and the total is 162.5. Prices come from 10 sportsbooks we track. The Desk leans Under 161.5. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 10 sportsbooks · college basketball betting splits
Latest since this preview was written: spread now Racers -29.5, was Racers -27.5; total now 162.5, was 161.5.
DraftKings bettors lean Texas Southern on the spread (50% of tickets).
| Book | BetsTexas Southern +29.5Murray St -29.5 | MoneyTexas Southern +29.5Murray St -29.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsTexas Southern (+4000)Murray St | MoneyTexas Southern (+4000)Murray St |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsOverUnder | MoneyOverUnder |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Over 162.5 / Under 162.5) | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (Over 162 / Under 162) |
Splits data from DraftKings and Circa. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
| Market | Texas Southern Tigers | Murray State Racers |
|---|---|---|
| Total 162 | O | U |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. Each line shows the share of dollars and trades buyers put on each side. Lines with under 10 trades or $500 are left out. Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
| Market | Texas Southern Tigers | Murray State Racers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +29.5 -110Bet at Courtside → | -29.5 +102Bet at Bally Bet → |
| Total 162.5 | O -110Bet at Courtside → | U -105Bet at theScore Bet → |
As of 6:14 PM ET, the spread is Murray State -29.5 and the total is 162.5, with 10 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Texas Southern spread | Murray State spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +29.5 -110 | -29.5 -110 | O 162.5 -115 | U 162.5 -105 |
| Courtside | +29.5 -110 | -29.5 -106 | O 162.5 -110 | U 162.5 -106 |
| DraftKings | +29.5 -112 | -29.5 -108 | O 162.5 -112 | U 162.5 -108 |
| theScore Bet | +29.5 -115 | -29.5 -105 | O 162.5 -115 | U 162.5 -105 |
| Bally Bet | +29.5 -125 | -29.5 +102 | – | – |
| betPARX | +29.5 -125 | -29.5 +102 | – | – |
| BetRivers | +29.5 -125 | -29.5 +102 | – | – |
| FanDuel | – | – | O 162.5 -115 | U 162.5 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +29.5 -125 | -29.5 +100 | – | – |
| ProphetX | – | – | O 162.5 -110 | U 162.5 -107 |
Prices from 10 sportsbooks we track, updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Roman Domon (MUR)22.7 PPG (3 GP)
Jason Kimbrough (TXSO)15.3 PPG (3 GP)The Murray State Racers are laying 27.5 points at home. The market split that number so evenly that both sides cost the exact same price at Courtside, which means sportsbooks see this huge margin as a coin flip. The Texas Southern Tigers visit the CFSB Center on Friday, November 13, at 8:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The real betting question is not who wins. It is by how much, and how many points get scored.
Murray State, clearly. As of publication the Racers are 3-0 and the Tigers are 1-2, but it is only three games into the season, far too early to call that form. Our rating, an Elo model built on stored results and used here only as context, gives Murray State 82% to win and Texas Southern 18%. No moneyline (a straight bet on who wins) is posted, so we cannot compare that rating with the market. The early per-game averages, over three games each, show Murray State shooting 50% from the field and holding opponents to 37.67%.
Texas Southern has allowed 50.33% shooting and 46 points in the paint per game. Treat that as a first sketch, not a trend. Both teams have two days of rest and neither is on a back-to-back. Texas Southern traveled 624 miles with no time-zone change, while Murray State plays game three of a home stand. The Racers are 2-1 against the spread (they beat the betting margin in two of three graded games) and 1-2 on over-unders across three games, another tiny sample.
Roman Domon leads Murray State at 22.7 points per game over three games, a small sample, and a November 11 headline credits him with 29 in a 94-57 win over Alcorn State. For Texas Southern, Jason Kimbrough averages 15.3 points per game over three games, also a small sample. A November 12 headline says Cameron Patterson is coming off a 27-point outing. Karris Bilal played all 40 minutes last game and 75 minutes over the past seven days, a heavy load to watch.
Here are the Texas Southern vs Murray State odds line by line. The spread is a handicap. Murray State -27.5 wins only if the Racers win by 28 or more; a 27-point win loses. Texas Southern +27.5 wins if the Tigers win outright or lose by 27 or fewer. The half point means no push (a tie with the number that refunds your bet). Both sides are -108, best at Courtside: risk $100 to profit $92.59, and you need to win 51.9% of the time to break even. The total, a bet on combined points, is 161.5. That gap is why shopping books matters.
Expected value is your average result per bet over many repeats. On the spread, the market's no-vig cover probability (its read with the bookmaker's cut removed) is 50% for each side. Neither side clears the bar. We have no no-vig figure for the total, so we cannot claim a priced edge there either. Any lean here is a matchup opinion.
Under 161.5 at -108 at Courtside, as a matchup lean. Over their last 10 stored games, Murray State plays at 71.2 possessions per game and Texas Southern at 73.5, a moderate pace. Murray State scores 113.1 points per 100 possessions and Texas Southern 103.7. Spread those rates over roughly 72 trips each and you land in the 150s, short of 161.5. The ticket needs 51.9% to break even, and we are not claiming the price beats it.
Our Murray State vs Texas Southern prediction is a comfortable home win that never becomes a track meet. Projected score: Murray State 86, Texas Southern 68. That adds up to 154 points, under the 161.5 total. The projected 18-point margin sits short of 27.5, but with a minus $3.70 expectation on either side we pass on the spread. That is our read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Neither side of a 27.5-point spread pays enough, so we lean Under 161.5 at -108 at Courtside as a matchup read.
Texas Southern vs Murray State streams on ESPN+. The game is played indoors at the CFSB Center, home of the Murray State Racers, with tip-off set for Friday, November 13 at 8:00 PM ET.
Murray State is the clear favorite, laying 27.5 points on the spread at -108 (best at Courtside). No moneyline is posted. Our rating, an Elo model used only as context, gives the Murray State Racers 82% to win and the Texas Southern Tigers 18%.
Tip-off is Friday, November 13 at 8:00 PM ET at the CFSB Center. The game airs on ESPN+. The Texas Southern Tigers travel 624 miles for this one with no time-zone change, while Murray State plays game three of a home stand.
Neither side of a 27.5-point spread pays enough, so we lean Under 161.5 at -108 at Courtside as a matchup read. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 162.5, with the over priced at -110 at Courtside and the under at -105 at theScore Bet. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college basketball odds · FanDuel betting splits
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