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Southern Miss Golden Eagles play at Texas State Bobcats in college basketball on Friday, November 13, at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center. As of 4:58 PM ET, Texas State are 10.5-point favorites and the total is 138.5. Prices come from 14 sportsbooks we track.
Prices updated · from 14 sportsbooks · college basketball betting splits
Latest since this preview was written: spread now Bobcats -10.5, was Bobcats -11.5; total now 138.5, was 142.5.
DraftKings bettors and Circa money lean the same way on the spread: Texas St (75% of DraftKings tickets, 100% of Circa money).
| Book | BetsSouthern Miss +10.5Texas St -10.5 | MoneySouthern Miss +10.5Texas St -10.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) |
| Book | BetsSouthern Miss (+455)Texas St (-625) | MoneySouthern Miss (+455)Texas St (-625) |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsOver 139.5Under 139.5 | MoneyOver 139.5Under 139.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
Splits data from DraftKings and Circa. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
| Market | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | Texas State Bobcats |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +10.5 | -10.5 |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
| Market | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | Texas State Bobcats |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +510betPARX | -560Bet at ProphetX → exchange price |
| Spread | +10.5 +104Bet at Novig → exchange price | -10.5 -106Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Total 138.5 | O +100Bet at theScore Bet → | U -106Bet at Courtside → |
As of 4:58 PM ET, the spread is Texas State -10.5 and the total is 138.5, with 14 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Southern Miss ML | Texas State ML | Southern Miss spread | Texas State spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +450 | -625 | +10.5 -110 | -10.5 -110 | O 138.5 -110 | U 138.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +460 | -650 | +10.5 -110 | -10.5 -110 | O 138.5 -110 | U 138.5 -110 |
| Courtside | +471 | -600 | +10.5 -108 | -10.5 -108 | O 138.5 -110 | U 138.5 -106 |
| DraftKings | +455 | -625 | +10.5 -110 | -10.5 -110 | O 138.5 -112 | U 138.5 -108 |
| FanDuel | +440 | -610 | +10.5 -110 | -10.5 -110 | O 138.5 -110 | U 138.5 -110 |
| ProphetX | +490 | -560 | +10.5 -107 | -10.5 -108 | O 138.5 -109 | U 138.5 -112 |
| theScore Bet | +475 | -750 | +10.5 -110 | -10.5 -110 | O 138.5 +100 | U 138.5 -120 |
| Bally Bet | +510 | -835 | – | – | O 138.5 -113 | U 138.5 -108 |
| betPARX | +510 | -835 | – | – | O 138.5 -113 | U 138.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | +510 | -835 | – | – | O 138.5 -114 | U 138.5 -109 |
Prices from 14 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Paul Djobet (TXST)14.7 PPG (3 GP)
Jalyke Gaines-Wyatt (USM)14.7 PPG (3 GP)The books make the Texas State Bobcats a -700 favorite. Our own rating gives them only 70% to win, while the market's read sits near 88%. That gap is the story. The Southern Miss Golden Eagles visit Strahan Arena at the University Events Center on Friday, November 13, 2026, at 8:00 PM ET, streaming on YouTube. Both teams are three games into the season, so nothing has settled. The smart move is to study the price, not the hype.
Southern Miss is 2-1 and Texas State is 3-0, but three games is far too few to call form. The last meeting came 252 days ago, and Texas State lost it. The schedule tilts one way. Southern Miss has one day of rest after an 84-80 overtime win over Jackson State and traveled 524 miles. Texas State has two days of rest and traveled 248 miles from Edinburg after beating UT Rio Grande Valley 72-65.
Neither team changes time zones. Over three games, Texas State is shooting 53% from the field and 41% from three per game, against 41% and 31.67% for Southern Miss. Southern Miss averages 18 turnovers per game to 13.67 for Texas State. Southern Miss plays faster, at 72.3 possessions (trips down the floor) per game over its last 10 stored games, compared with 66.1 for Texas State.
Jalyke Gaines-Wyatt leads Southern Miss at 14.7 points per game over three games, a small sample. He is coming off a 28-point night and logged 37 minutes last game, 65 over the past seven days. Paul Djobet leads Texas State at 14.7 points per game over three games, also a small sample. Texas State's last headline belonged to Pernell, who scored 26 in the UT Rio Grande Valley win.
The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. Southern Miss at +572 (best at Courtside) means $100 risked profits $572. The spread is a bet on the margin. Southern Miss +11.5 at -102 (FanDuel) wins if it wins outright or loses by 11 or fewer. Texas State -11.5 at +100 (Courtside) needs a win by 12 or more.
The half point means no push (a tie that refunds your bet). The total is 142.5 combined points, with the Over at -105 (theScore Bet) and the Under at -105 (FanDuel). The total moved from 143.5 to 142.5: Caesars moved first at 9:38 PM ET, and 7 more books followed within 10 minutes. Shopping books matters. The best price is often at a different book for each side.
Every price carries vig, the book's built-in fee. Strip it out and the market reads Texas State at 87.7% and Southern Miss at 12.3%. Break-even is how often a bet must win to stop losing money. Expected value is your average result per bet if you could make it many times. Be honest about it. This edge is a sliver, and it lives only at the best price.
Risk $100 to profit $14.29, with a break-even of 87.5%. Keep the stake small. One loss wipes out roughly seven wins at this price, and at a worse number the sliver disappears.
We see Texas State controlling the game at home, with Southern Miss's short rest and the travel adding up late. Projected score: Texas State 77, Southern Miss 64. That adds to 141 points, just under the 142.5 total, though neither total price has positive expectation, so we pass there. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Texas State is the market favorite at -560 (best price at ProphetX) on the moneyline, with Southern Miss at +510. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
The Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Texas State Bobcats game tips off Friday, November 13, 2026, at 8:00 PM Eastern time. It is played indoors at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center and streams on YouTube.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Texas State Bobcats College Basketball prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 138.5, with the over priced at +100 at theScore Bet and the under at -106 at Courtside. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college basketball odds · FanDuel betting splits
Several books (8) moved the total on under to 142.5 together.
As of Nov 12, 9:49 PM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.