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Southeast Missouri State Redhawks play at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders in college basketball on Friday, November 13, at Murphy Center. As of 6:57 PM ET, Middle Tennessee are 5.5-point favorites and the total is 148.5. Prices come from 13 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 13 sportsbooks · college basketball betting splits
Latest since this preview was written: total now 148.5, was 146.5.
DraftKings bettors lean MTSU on the spread (89% of tickets).
| Book | BetsSE Missouri +5.5MTSU -5.5 | MoneySE Missouri +5.5MTSU -5.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsSE Missouri (+190)MTSU (-230) | MoneySE Missouri (+190)MTSU (-230) |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
Splits data from DraftKings. See every game's betting splits
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. Each line shows the share of dollars and trades buyers put on each side. Lines with under 10 trades or $500 are left out. Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
| Market | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +220Bet at Hard Rock Bet → | -208Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Spread | +5.5 +100Bet at Hard Rock Bet → | -5.5 +104Bet at Kalshi → exchange price |
| Total 148.5 | O -109Bet at ProphetX → exchange price | U -106Bet at Courtside → |
As of 6:57 PM ET, the spread is Middle Tennessee -5.5 and the total is 148.5, with 13 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Southeast Missouri State ML | Middle Tennessee ML | Southeast Missouri State spread | Middle Tennessee spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +195 | -235 | +5.5 -110 | -5.5 -110 | O 148.5 -110 | U 148.5 -110 |
| Courtside | +194 | -225 | +5.5 -106 | -5.5 -110 | O 148.5 -110 | U 148.5 -106 |
| DraftKings | +190 | -230 | +5.5 -108 | -5.5 -112 | O 148.5 -112 | U 148.5 -108 |
| FanDuel | +198 | -245 | +5.5 -106 | -5.5 -114 | O 148.5 -110 | U 148.5 -110 |
| ProphetX | +200 | -215 | +5.5 -106 | -5.5 -102 | O 148.5 -109 | U 148.5 -104 |
| Caesars | +185 | -225 | +5.5 -110 | -5.5 -110 | – | – |
| Fanatics | +190 | -235 | +5.5 -105 | -5.5 -115 | – | – |
| Hard Rock Bet | +220 | -275 | +5.5 +100 | -5.5 -120 | – | – |
| theScore Bet | +180 | -215 | +5.5 -110 | -5.5 -110 | – | – |
| Bally Bet | +215 | -278 | – | – | – | – |
Prices from 13 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Quintero Barnett (MTSU)15.3 PPG (3 GP)
Fontaine Williams Jr. (SEMO)13.7 PPG (3 GP)The betting market says Middle Tennessee wins this game about two times in three. Our rating, an Elo model built on stored results, gives the Blue Raiders only 60%, which leaves a seven-point gap on the Southeast Missouri State side. The Southeast Missouri State Redhawks visit the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Murphy Center on Friday, November 13, with tip-off at 7:30 PM ET on ESPN+. That gap is context, not a bet. The real question is simpler. Does any price on the board pay more than it should?
Middle Tennessee is the favorite. Both teams are 2-1, but they are only three games into the season, far too early to read anything into those records. The schedule tells us more. Southeast Missouri State comes in on 4 days of rest. It is playing game 2 of a road trip after traveling 329 miles from Columbia and crossing one time zone west. Middle Tennessee has 2 days of rest, is on game 2 of a home stand, and has played 2 games in the last 7 days.
Jahvin Carter has logged 67 minutes over that week and Quintero Barnett 61. In per-game averages over three games, Southeast Missouri State shoots 47.33% from the field and allows 39.67%. Middle Tennessee shoots 43.67% and allows 46.33%. Three games is a tiny sample, so treat those numbers as a sketch. Over the last 10 stored games, Southeast Missouri State plays at 71.7 possessions per game (a possession is one trip down the floor) and scores 102.1 points per 100 possessions. Middle Tennessee runs 69.3 possessions and scores 109.8 per 100.
Quintero Barnett leads Middle Tennessee at 15.3 points per game over three games, a small sample. Fontaine Williams Jr. leads Southeast Missouri State at 13.7 points per game over three games, also a small sample, and he played 30 minutes last time out. They are the first names to watch, not the reason for a bet.
A minus price shows what you risk to profit $100, so $100 on -203 profits $49.26. A plus price shows your profit, so $100 on +190 profits $190.00. Spread (a bet on the margin): Middle Tennessee -5.5 at -102 must win by 6 or more, and a 5-point win loses. Southeast Missouri State +5.5 at -108 cashes on an outright win or a loss by 5 or fewer, and it loses on a 6-point loss.
The half point means no push (a tie that refunds your stake). The spread opened at Middle Tennessee -5.5 and has not moved. Total (a bet on combined points): 146.5, with the Over best at -105 at Fanatics and the Under best at -108 at Courtside. The consensus total opened at 144.5 and sits at 145.5 after 9 moves. Shopping every book for the best number is the simplest edge a bettor has.
Every price carries vig, the book's built-in fee. Break-even is how often a bet must win just to stop losing money. Middle Tennessee -203 needs 67%. Middle Tennessee -5.5 is minus $3.28, the Over minus $2.38 and the Under minus $3.70, each per $100 risked. Nothing beats its break-even. Still, the smallest leak on the board is the Middle Tennessee moneyline at Novig, priced almost exactly at the market's own read.
It is a thin lean. A $100 bet profits $49.26 if Middle Tennessee wins and loses $100 if it does not, and it sits a hair below break-even on expectation. If you cannot find -203 or better, pass. Southeast Missouri State's extra rest is the main reason to keep stakes small.
Our Southeast Missouri State vs Middle Tennessee prediction: the Blue Raiders hold serve at home, Middle Tennessee 76, Southeast Missouri State 70. That adds to 146 points, a half point under the 146.5 total. We are not betting the total or the spread, only the moneyline lean above. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Middle Tennessee is the market favorite at -208 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with Southeast Missouri State at +220. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Southeast Missouri State vs Middle Tennessee streams on ESPN+. The game tips off Friday, November 13, 2026, at 7:30 PM ET at Murphy Center, where the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders host the Southeast Missouri State Redhawks.
Tip-off is 7:30 PM ET on Friday, November 13, 2026, at Murphy Center. The game streams on ESPN+. The total sits at 146.5 at the best books we track, with the consensus number at 145.5.
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders College Basketball prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 148.5, with the over priced at -109 at ProphetX and the under at -106 at Courtside. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college basketball odds · FanDuel betting splits
The spread has held at Raiders -5.5 since it opened; the total moved from 144.5 to 145.5.
As of Nov 12, 11:56 PM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.