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Georgia Bulldogs play at North Carolina Tar Heels in college basketball on Friday, November 13, at Dean E. Smith Center. As of 3:57 PM ET, North Carolina are 4.5-point favorites and the total is 164.5. Prices come from 15 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 15 sportsbooks · college basketball betting splits
Latest since this preview was written: total now 164.5, was 163.5.
DraftKings bettors lean North Carolina on the spread (62% of tickets).
| Book | BetsGeorgia +4.5North Carolina -4.5 | MoneyGeorgia +4.5North Carolina -4.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsGeorgia (+150)North Carolina (-180) | MoneyGeorgia (+150)North Carolina (-180) |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsOver 164.5Under 164.5 | MoneyOver 164.5Under 164.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) |
Splits data from DraftKings and Circa. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
| Market | Georgia Bulldogs | North Carolina Tar Heels |
|---|---|---|
| Total 164.5 | O | U |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket US lists moneyline for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.
| Market | Georgia Bulldogs | North Carolina Tar Heels |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +170Bet at Novig → exchange price | -174Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Spread | +4.5 -110Bet at Courtside → | -4.5 +108Bet at Polymarket → exchange price |
| Total 164.5 | O +100Bet at Novig → exchange price | U -104Bet at Novig → exchange price |
As of 3:57 PM ET, the spread is North Carolina -4.5 and the total is 164.5, with 15 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Georgia ML | North Carolina ML | Georgia spread | North Carolina spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +150 | -185 | +4.5 -115 | -4.5 -105 | O 164.5 -110 | U 164.5 -110 |
| Courtside | +153 | -176 | +4.5 -110 | -4.5 -106 | O 164.5 -108 | U 164.5 -108 |
| DraftKings | +150 | -180 | +4.5 -112 | -4.5 -108 | O 164.5 -110 | U 164.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | +150 | -180 | +4.5 -115 | -4.5 -105 | O 164.5 -110 | U 164.5 -110 |
| Fliff | +140 | -195 | +4.5 -125 | -4.5 -110 | O 164.5 -115 | U 164.5 -120 |
| ReBet | +152 | -189 | +4.5 -118 | -4.5 -105 | O 164.5 -110 | U 164.5 -110 |
| theScore Bet | +150 | -175 | +4.5 -115 | -4.5 -105 | O 164.5 -110 | U 164.5 -110 |
| Bally Bet | +155 | -190 | +4.5 -118 | -4.5 -104 | – | – |
| betPARX | +155 | -190 | +4.5 -118 | -4.5 -104 | – | – |
| BetRivers | +150 | -190 | +4.5 -120 | -4.5 -105 | – | – |
Prices from 15 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Terrence Brown (UNC)16.3 PPG (3 GP)
Blue Cain (UGA)16.0 PPG (3 GP)North Carolina opened as a 3.5-point favorite. It is now 4.5, and the total jumped from 161.5 to 163.5 at three books within five minutes. The Georgia Bulldogs visit the North Carolina Tar Heels at the Dean E. Smith Center on Friday, November 13, at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN2. Both teams are 3-0, but three games into the season is far too early to call that form. That leaves the price as the real story.
North Carolina is the favorite at home. Georgia gets three days of rest and travels 280 miles with no time-zone change. North Carolina gets two days of rest and plays game four of a home stand. Against the spread (ATS, meaning whether a team beat the betting margin, not just won), Georgia is 0-3 in three graded games, all at home and all as the favorite. North Carolina is 2-1 ATS in three graded games.
Both teams are 1-2 on the over-under (whether combined points beat the posted total) in three games. Per-game averages over three games show North Carolina holding opponents to 34.33% shooting and Georgia forcing 15.33 turnovers while committing only 7. Three games is a tiny sample, so treat those as early hints. Our rating, an Elo model used only as context, gives North Carolina 70% to win. The market sits near 63.5%.
Terrence Brown leads North Carolina at 16.3 points per game over three games, a small sample. He played 31 minutes last game and 49 over seven days. Blue Cain leads Georgia at 16.0 points per game over three games, also a small sample. Cain logged 32 minutes last game and 63 over seven days, the heaviest load on either roster. Two scorers, nearly level, with too few games to call a trend.
The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. The spread handicaps the favorite. Georgia +4.5 at -110 (best at Caesars) wins if Georgia wins or loses by 4 or fewer. On Kalshi, 73% of the money traded on the moneyline is on North Carolina Tar Heels (119 trades, $1.0k traded), light trading that can swing.
Every price has a break-even rate, how often it must win to avoid losing money. Books bake in a fee called the vig. Strip it out and you get the market-implied probability, our yardstick. Expected value is the average result per $100 risked if you made the bet many times. The over is minus $3.74, the under minus $2.95. The edge is thin. It exists only at the best number.
Break-even is 48.5%. A 4-point win loses this ticket. Take it only at +106 or better, because a worse price raises the bar it has to clear.
North Carolina vs Georgia shapes up as a home team that defends the arc and a visitor that runs off turnovers. We project North Carolina 84, Georgia 77. That adds to 161, just under the 163.5 total, though we are not betting the total at these prices. The 7-point margin clears 4.5, which is the whole case in one score. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
North Carolina is the market favorite at -174 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with Georgia at +170. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
The Georgia Bulldogs at North Carolina Tar Heels game airs on ESPN2. Tip-off is Friday, November 13, 2026, at 7:00 PM Eastern time from the Dean E. Smith Center, where North Carolina is playing game four of a home stand.
Georgia Bulldogs vs North Carolina Tar Heels College Basketball prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 164.5, with the over priced at +100 at Novig and the under at -104 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college basketball odds · FanDuel betting splits
The spread opened Heels -3.5 and is now -4.5; the total moved from 160.5 to 161.5; several books (3) moved the total on over to 163.5 together.
On Kalshi, 73% of the money traded on the moneyline is on North Carolina Tar Heels (119 trades, $1.0k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 12, 11:47 PM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
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