Marist vs Lehigh Prediction: The Spread Already Moved
One point. That is how far the spread on Marist vs Lehigh has moved, from Lehigh -1.5 at the open to -2.5 now. The spread is the head start the market hands the underdog, and when it grows, money is backing the favorite. On the exchanges (sites where bettors trade with each other instead of against a sportsbook), 87% of the money traded on Kalshi and 98% on Polymarket is on Lehigh. Trading there is light, so those shares can swing. The Marist Red Foxes visit the Lehigh Mountain Hawks at Stabler Arena on Friday at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+.
Who Is Favored to Win Marist vs Lehigh?
Lehigh is the favorite. Both teams are 1-2, but it is only three games into the season, far too early to call that form. Lehigh lost the last meeting, 353 days ago. Rest is even: four days off for each team, and neither is on a back-to-back. Marist is on game two of a road trip after traveling 251 miles from Lowell, while Lehigh plays game three of a home stand.
Our rating, an Elo model built on past results, gives Lehigh 57% and Marist 43%, matching the market. That is context, not a bet. Over three graded games, Lehigh is 2-1 against the spread (beating the posted margin) and 0-3 on overs, meaning none of its three games went over the total. Marist is 1-2 on both. Those are small samples, so we do not lean on them.
Players to Watch in Lehigh vs Marist
Dywane Chess leads Marist at 16.0 points per game over three games, a small sample, and a Nov. 12 headline flagged his 20-point game. Edouard Benoit leads Lehigh at 14.3 points per game over three games, also a small sample. Minutes show who the coaches trust: Jack Graham played 38 in Marist's last game and Chess played 30, while Joshua Ingram and Hank Alvey each logged 30 for Lehigh. Over the last 10 stored games, Marist has played at 67 possessions per game and scored 99.6 points per 100 possessions. Lehigh sits at 65.7 and 107.6.
What Is the Marist vs Lehigh Spread?
The Marist vs Lehigh odds start with the moneyline, a bet on who wins outright. Lehigh is -135 at theScore Bet, the best price we found, so $100 risked profits $74.07. Strip out the vig (the book's built-in fee) and the market reads about 57.3% Lehigh to 42.7% Marist.
It wins if Marist wins or loses by 2 or fewer, and a 3-point loss sinks it. The half point means no push (a tie that refunds your stake). The total, a bet on combined points, sits at 132.5, down from 133.5 at the open. Best Over: -114 at BetRivers. Best Under: -105 at FanDuel. Always shop, because the best number changes book to book.
Where the Value Is
Break-even is the win rate a price needs to stop losing money. Expected value is what a bet averages per $100 risked if you made it over and over. One price on this board clears its bar. The crowd pushing a point toward Lehigh is what opened this sliver.
The Pick
This is a spread bet, graded on the margin, not on who wins. Keep the stake small. At a worse price, an edge this thin disappears, so pass instead of chasing. If +3 shows up at the same price, that is better, because a 3-point loss would then push.
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The Prediction
We expect a close one at Stabler Arena. Lehigh has the home floor, but a short spread ending in a half point gives the underdog side room at this price. Our Lehigh vs Marist prediction: Lehigh 67, Marist 65. That adds to 132 points, a hair under the 132.5 total, but both total prices carry negative expectation, so we pass there. A two-point Lehigh win hands Lehigh the moneyline and still cashes Marist +2.5. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Marist vs Lehigh FAQ
Who is favored in Marist vs Lehigh?
Lehigh is the market favorite at -135 (best price at theScore Bet) on the moneyline, with Marist at +133. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Where to watch Marist vs Lehigh?
Marist vs Lehigh streams on ESPN+. Tip-off is Friday, November 13, 2026, at 7:00 PM ET at Stabler Arena, where the Lehigh Mountain Hawks host the Marist Red Foxes, who are on game two of a road trip.
What time is the Marist vs Lehigh game?
The game tips off Friday, November 13, 2026, at 7:00 PM ET at Stabler Arena. It airs on ESPN+, and both teams come in with four days of rest and no back-to-back.
Who will win Lehigh vs Marist?
Marist Red Foxes vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks College Basketball prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
What is the total (over/under) for Marist vs Lehigh?
The total is 132.5, with the over priced at -114 at BetRivers and the under at -105 at FanDuel. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Are these College Basketball picks free?
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
How does the Wise Guy Desk find value in College Basketball games?
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
Quick answers
Where has the Marist Red Foxes vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks line moved?
The spread opened Hawks -1.5 and is now -2.5; the total moved from 133.5 to 132.5.
Where is the money on the exchanges for Marist Red Foxes vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks?
On Kalshi, 87% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Lehigh Mountain Hawks (95 trades, $4.7k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. On Polymarket, 98% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Lehigh Mountain Hawks (11 trades, $8.1k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 13, 6:41 PM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.