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DraftKings bettors lean Virginia Tech Hokies on the spread (86% of tickets).
| Book | BetsMount St. Mary's Mountaineers +27.5Virginia Tech Hokies -27.5 | MoneyMount St. Mary's Mountaineers +27.5Virginia Tech Hokies -27.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsMount St. Mary's Mountaineers (+5500)Virginia Tech Hokies (-5456) | MoneyMount St. Mary's Mountaineers (+5500)Virginia Tech Hokies (-5456) |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsOver 148Under 148 | MoneyOver 148Under 148 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
Splits data from DraftKings. See every game's betting splits
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Last read before tip-off .
Polymarket US lists moneyline for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.
| Market | Opened | Closed | Circa closed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (home line) | -28.5 | -27.5 | n/a |
| Total | 149.5 | 148 | n/a |
| Moneyline (away / home) | n/a | +4295 / -13344 | n/a |
Opened is the first number we saw and closed the last before tip-off, the median across the books we track. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book, shown as a reference.
| Market | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Virginia Tech Hokies |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +4900Bet at Kalshi → exchange price | -- |
| Spread | +28.5 -105Bet at theScore Bet → | -28.5 -108Bet at Bally Bet → |
| Total 150.5 | O -105Bet at BetMGM → | U -108Bet at Courtside → |
Ben Hammond (VT)22.7 PPG (3 GP)
Abdou Khadre Kebe (MSM)14.0 PPG (2 GP)Twenty-eight and a half points. That is how far the market says the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers trail the Virginia Tech Hokies on Friday night at Cassell Coliseum, and the number has not moved since it opened. When a line sits that still, the question is not who wins. It is whether the gap is right. Virginia Tech comes off an overtime game on two days of rest. Mount St. Mary's arrives on six days of rest after a 239-mile trip with no time-zone change. Tip-off is 7:00 PM ET on ACCNX.
Virginia Tech, by a lot. It is very early, though. Mount St. Mary's is 1-1 two games into the season, and Virginia Tech is 3-0 three games in. That is far too few games to call form. The Hokies have covered the spread (beaten the betting margin) in all 3 graded games, and 2 of their 3 games went over the total.
Both are tiny samples. Our rating, an Elo model built on stored results that we use only as context and never as a bet, gives Virginia Tech a 77% chance to win and Mount St. Mary's 23%. On Kalshi, 91% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Virginia Tech Hokies (34 trades, $778 traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing.
Ben Hammond leads Virginia Tech at 22.7 points per game over three games, a small sample, and he arrives off a 32-point game. Abdou Khadre Kebe leads Mount St. Mary's at 14.0 points per game over two games, also a small sample. Last game, Redd Thompson Jr. played 35 minutes, Kebe played 30 and Wilguens Jr. Exacte played 26. Those three carry the load for Mount St. Mary's, and six days off means fresh legs.
The point spread is a handicap. Virginia Tech -28.5 cashes only if the Hokies win by 29 or more. A 28-point win loses. Mount St. Mary's +28.5 wins if the Mountaineers win outright or lose by 28 or fewer. The half point means no push (a tie that refunds your stake). The best prices we track are Mount St. Mary's +28.5 at -105 on theScore Bet and Virginia Tech -28.5 at -108 on Bally Bet. At -105, $100 risked profits $95.24.
Break-even (how often a bet must win just to avoid losing money over time) is 51.2% at -105 and 51.9% at -108. For Mount St. Mary's odds on the moneyline (a bet on who wins outright), Kalshi offers +4900. There, $100 profits $4579.02 after the fee, with a 2.1% break-even. No book we track posts Virginia Tech odds on the moneyline. The total (both teams' combined points) is 150.5, with the Over at -105 on BetMGM and the Under at -108 on Courtside. Small gaps like these are why shopping books matters.
The vig is the book's cut, built into every price. Strip it out and the market reads each side of the spread as a 50% proposition. That is the no-vig number, the market-implied probability with the cut removed. Expected value is the average result per bet over many tries. At 50%, Mount St. Virginia Tech -28.5 at -108 averages minus $3.70. The Over sits at minus $2.38 and the Under at minus $3.70.
Nothing here clears break-even, so any lean is a matchup opinion. Our angle is pace. Virginia Tech plays 66.9 possessions per game and scores 118.8 points per 100 possessions over its last nine stored games. Mount St. Mary's plays 67 possessions and scores 102.1 per 100 over its last ten. That 16.7-point gap per 100 possessions is real. Spread over roughly 67 possessions, it suggests a margin well short of 28.5, although those numbers do not adjust for opponent strength.
Mount St. Mary's +28.5 at -105 on theScore Bet. It is not a value bet. Keep it small or pass. Do not pay worse than -105, and if a book hangs +29 at the same price, take it, since a 29-point loss would then push.
In Virginia Tech vs Mount St. Mary's, the Hokies win comfortably on their home floor, but we think they stop short of the full number. Projected score: Virginia Tech 82, Mount St. Mary's 60. That adds to 142, under the 150.5 total, and the 22-point margin would cover Mount St. Mary's +28.5. That is our read on this number. The Desk's free daily play follows the same best-number discipline, and it sits right below.
Virginia Tech should win at home, but the 28.5-point spread asks a lot, so we lean Mount St. Mary's +28.5 at -105 on theScore Bet as a small matchup play.
Mount St. Mary's vs Virginia Tech airs on ACCNX. The game tips off Friday, November 13, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET from Cassell Coliseum, home of the Virginia Tech Hokies.
Virginia Tech is a heavy favorite. The best spread prices we track are Virginia Tech -28.5 at -108 on Bally Bet and Mount St. Mary's +28.5 at -105 on theScore Bet. Kalshi lists Mount St. Mary's at +4900 to win outright.
The game tips off Friday, November 13, 2026 at 7:00 PM Eastern time at Cassell Coliseum, with the broadcast on ACCNX. The total is set at 150.5 points.
Virginia Tech should win at home, but the 28.5-point spread asks a lot, so we lean Mount St. Mary's +28.5 at -105 on theScore Bet as a small matchup play. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 150.5, with the over priced at -105 at BetMGM and the under at -108 at Courtside. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits
The spread has held at Hokies -28.5 since it opened; the total has held at 149.5.
On Kalshi, 91% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Virginia Tech Hokies (34 trades, $778 traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 12, 11:40 PM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
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