@
DraftKings bettors and Circa money lean the same way on the spread: Purdue Boilermakers (52% of DraftKings tickets, 62% of Circa money).
| Book | BetsOhio Bobcats +18.5Purdue Boilermakers -18.5 | MoneyOhio Bobcats +18.5Purdue Boilermakers -18.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) |
| Book | BetsOhio BobcatsPurdue Boilermakers | MoneyOhio BobcatsPurdue Boilermakers |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Ohio Bobcats (+2000) / Purdue Boilermakers (-1718)) | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (Ohio Bobcats (+1600) / Purdue Boilermakers (-3800)) |
| Book | BetsOverUnder | MoneyOverUnder |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Over 149.5 / Under 149.5) | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (Over 150 / Under 150) |
Splits data from DraftKings and Circa. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
| Market | Ohio Bobcats | Purdue Boilermakers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +18.5 | -18.5 |
| Total 150 | O | U |
| Moneyline | +1600 | -3800 |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Last read before tip-off .
Polymarket US lists moneyline for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.
| Market | Opened | Closed | Circa closed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (home line) | -19.5 | -18.5 | n/a |
| Total | 153.5 | 149.5 | n/a |
| Moneyline (away / home) | n/a | +1400 / -4000 | n/a |
Opened is the first number we saw and closed the last before tip-off, the median across the books we track. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book, shown as a reference.
| Market | Ohio Bobcats | Purdue Boilermakers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +18.5 -106Bet at Courtside → | -18.5 -105Bet at Fanatics → |
| Total 149.5 | O -104Bet at Polymarket → exchange price | U -103Bet at Courtside → |
Daniel Jacobsen (PUR)23.3 PPG (3 GP)
Jackson Paveletzke (OHIO)15.0 PPG (2 GP)The Purdue Boilermakers opened as 19.5-point favorites. After 21 line moves, that number sits at 18.5. The total has slid even harder, from 152.5 down to 149.5. On a game this lopsided on paper, the question is not who wins. It is whether the price still pays you for the margin. The Ohio Bobcats visit Mackey Arena on Friday, November 13, 2026. Tip-off is 7:00 PM ET on B1G+.
Purdue is the clear favorite. Our rating gives Purdue an 84% chance to win and Ohio 16%. That rating is an Elo model built on stored results, and we use it only as context. As of publication, Ohio is 2-0 and Purdue is 1-2. It is very early. Ohio is two games into the season and Purdue is three, so neither record tells us much.
Purdue is 1-2 against the spread, meaning it beat the betting margin once in three graded games. It is also 1-2 on over-unders in three games. Both samples are too small to mean anything. Ohio comes in on 5 days of rest and travels 266 miles with no time-zone change. Purdue has had 3 days of rest and plays game 3 of a home stand. Neither team is on a back-to-back.
Purdue's Daniel Jacobsen is averaging 23.3 points per game over three games, which is a small sample. A Nov 12 headline noted his 20-point game. Ohio's Jackson Paveletzke is averaging 15.0 points per game over two games, also a small sample. Minutes show who the coaches trust. In Ohio's last game, Dusan Makitan played 35, Paveletzke 33 and Siebe Ledegen 31. For Purdue, Jacobsen and C.J. Cox played 32 each and Antione West Jr played 31.
The point spread is a handicap on the final margin. Ohio +18.5 at -106 is best at Courtside. It wins if Ohio wins outright or loses by 18 or fewer, and it loses on a 19-point loss. The half point means no push, which is a tie with the line where you get your money back.
The -106 is the price: risk $100 to profit $94.34. Purdue -18.5 at -105 is best at Fanatics. It wins only by 19 or more, and $100 risked profits $95.24. The total is the combined score of both teams, set at 149.5. The Over at -104 is best at Polymarket, where $100 profits $89.69 after the book's fee.
The Under at -103 is best at Courtside, where $100 profits $97.09. The Ohio vs Purdue odds we track show no moneyline, which is a straight bet on who wins. Some books briefly moved Ohio to +17.5 and the total to 150.5. Shop before you bet.
An 18.5 beats a 17.5 for an Ohio backer, and for an Under backer 150.5 beats 149.5 at the same price. On exchanges, 79% of the money traded on the Kalshi moneyline is on Purdue Boilermakers, and 84% on Novig. On ProphetX, 82% of the money traded on the spread is on Ohio Bobcats. That last share comes from light trading of $824, so it can swing.
Break-even is the win rate a price needs for you to neither gain nor lose over time. The vig is the book's cut, and no-vig means the market's own read with that cut removed. Every price here carries negative expected value, meaning the average result per bet is a loss. Purdue -18.5 needs 51.2% against 50%, or minus $2.38. The Over needs 52.7% against 51%, or minus $3.17. The Under at -103 has the lowest break-even on the board at 50.7%. That is an average over many bets, not what you lose on one. That leaves it one point short of break-even, the smallest gap of the four sides.
Our pick is the Under 149.5 at -103 at Courtside. It is a matchup lean, not a value play, and it needs to win 50.7% of the time. Over the last 10 stored games, Purdue has played at 64.5 possessions per game and Ohio at 69.5. We expect the home team to set the slower tempo. The market has already moved the total from 152.5 down to 149.5. Keep the stake small, or pass. This is Wise Guy Desk analysis, not an official play.
Our purdue vs ohio prediction is Purdue 80, Ohio 66. That adds up to 146 points, under the 149.5 total. A 14-point Purdue win would also land inside Ohio's +18.5, but our lean stays on the total. That is the read on this number, and the Desk's documented free daily play sits right below if you want the next step.
Purdue lays 18.5 at home, but our small matchup lean is the Under 149.5 at -103 at Courtside, and no side on this board clears its break-even.
The Ohio Bobcats at Purdue Boilermakers game airs on B1G+. Tip-off is Friday, November 13, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, and the game is played at Mackey Arena.
Purdue is the favorite, laying 18.5 points on the spread. The best Purdue price is -105 at Fanatics, and the best Ohio +18.5 price is -106 at Courtside. Our Elo rating, used only as context, gives Purdue an 84% chance to win.
The Ohio vs Purdue game tips off Friday, November 13, 2026 at 7:00 PM Eastern time at Mackey Arena. It is broadcast on B1G+. The game counts in the 2027 college basketball season.
Purdue lays 18.5 at home, but our small matchup lean is the Under 149.5 at -103 at Courtside, and no side on this board clears its break-even. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 149.5, with the over priced at -104 at Polymarket and the under at -103 at Courtside. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits
The spread opened Boilermakers -19.5 and is now -18.5; the total moved from 152.5 to 149.5; several books (3) moved the total on over to 150.5 together.
On Kalshi, 79% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Purdue Boilermakers (424 trades, $8.3k traded). On Novig, 84% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Purdue Boilermakers (54 trades, $5.4k traded). On ProphetX, 82% of the money traded on the spread is on Ohio Bobcats (24 trades, $824 traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 13, 6:38 PM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.