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Illinois State Redbirds play at Purdue Boilermakers in the college basketball on Monday, November 9, at Mackey Arena. As of 9:57 AM ET, Purdue are 15.5-point favorites and the total is 143.5. Prices come from 13 sportsbooks we track. The Desk leans Over 144.5. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated (22 min ago) · from 13 sportsbooks · college basketball betting splits
DraftKings bettors lean Illinois St on the spread (56% of tickets).
| Book | BetsIllinois St +15.5Purdue -15.5 | MoneyIllinois St +15.5Purdue -15.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsIllinois St (+1000)Purdue (-1800) | MoneyIllinois St (+1000)Purdue (-1800) |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsOver 143.5Under 143.5 | MoneyOver 143.5Under 143.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) |
Splits data from DraftKings and Circa. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
| Market | Illinois State Redbirds | Purdue Boilermakers |
|---|---|---|
| Total 144 | O | U |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of trades since the market opened and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
| Market | Illinois State Redbirds | Purdue Boilermakers |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +717Betr | -- |
| Spread | +15.5 -110Bet at BetMGM → | -15.5 +100Bet at theScore Bet → |
| Total 143.5 | O -108Bet at Courtside → | U +104Bet at Kalshi → exchange price |
As of 9:57 AM ET, the spread is Purdue -15.5 and the total is 143.5, with 13 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Illinois State ML | Purdue ML | Illinois State spread | Purdue spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +900 | -1600 | +15.5 -110 | -15.5 -110 | O 143.5 -110 | U 143.5 -110 |
| Courtside | +1064 | -1635 | +15.5 -113 | -15.5 -103 | O 143.5 -108 | U 143.5 -108 |
| DraftKings | +1000 | -1800 | +15.5 -115 | -15.5 -105 | O 143.5 -110 | U 143.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +1000 | -2100 | +15.5 -110 | -15.5 -110 | O 143.5 -110 | U 143.5 -110 |
| ProphetX | +1150 | -1300 | +15.5 -113 | -15.5 +105 | O 143.5 -106 | U 143.5 -103 |
| ReBet | +840 | -2000 | +15.5 -119 | -15.5 -109 | O 143.5 -116 | U 143.5 -111 |
| Bally Bet | +850 | -1667 | +15.5 -110 | -15.5 -110 | – | – |
| betPARX | +850 | -1667 | +15.5 -110 | -15.5 -110 | – | – |
| BetRivers | +850 | -2000 | +15.5 -112 | -15.5 -112 | – | – |
| Fanatics | +900 | -1500 | – | – | O 143.5 -110 | U 143.5 -110 |
Prices from 13 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated (22 min ago). Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Daniel Jacobsen (PUR)25.0 PPG (2 GP)
Johnny Kinziger (ILST)23.0 PPG (2 GP)Purdue is laying 15.5 points at home, and 87% of the money at DraftKings is betting against it. The number opened at 15.5 and has not budged. The Illinois State Redbirds visit the Purdue Boilermakers at Mackey Arena on Monday, November 9 at 8:30 PM ET on FS1. We think there is a better question here than who wins, and the price on it is better too.
Purdue is the clear favorite. The betting market gives Illinois State about a 6% chance to win outright. As of Monday's publication, Illinois State is 1-1 and Purdue is 0-2. That is two games into the season, far too early to call anything form, so we ignore both records. The schedule matters more.
Illinois State has three days of rest and traveled 109 miles, crossing one time zone east. Purdue has two days of rest, plays the second game of a home stand, and its last game went to overtime. For context only, our rating (an Elo model built on past results) has Purdue at 76% to win and Illinois State at 24%, much friendlier to the Redbirds than the market is.
Daniel Jacobsen leads Purdue with 25 points over two games, 12.5 per game, a small sample. He logged 42 minutes in that overtime game, with Caden Pierce at 41 and C.J. Cox at 40. Those are heavy legs on two days of rest. Johnny Kinziger leads Illinois State with 23 points over two games, 11.5 per game, also a small sample. He played 23 minutes last time out and 65 over the past week. Zaxton King (26 minutes) and Malik Messina-Moore (21) carried the next biggest loads.
The moneyline is a bet on who wins, nothing else. Illinois State is +750 at BetRivers, meaning a $100 bet profits $750 if the Redbirds win. Our feed has no Purdue moneyline price. The spread is a bet on the margin. Purdue -15.5 at -102 on ProphetX needs a win by 16 or more, and risking $100 profits $98.04. The half point means no push (a tie that refunds your bet).
The total is 144.5 combined points. Over 144.5 is +104 at Kalshi and Under is -105 at BetMGM. Shopping across books for the best price is how small edges survive. Public split: 57% of DraftKings spread tickets are on the Redbirds. On ProphetX, 70% of the money traded on the total is on the Over, in light trading that can swing.
Books build in a fee called the vig, so both sides cost more than a fair coin flip. Strip it out and you get the no-vig number, the market's implied probability with the fee removed. Expected value is the average result per $100 risked if you made the same bet many times. The Illinois State moneyline needs 11.8% to break even, but the market reads it at 6.4%, an expected result of minus $45.40.
Illinois State +15.5 sits at plus $0.00, Purdue -15.5 at minus $0.98, and the Under at minus $2.38. It is a thin edge, and we will not dress it up. The scoring profile helps: over their last 10 stored games, Purdue scored 122.4 points per 100 possessions and Illinois State 111.8, at paces of 64.5 and 65.5 possessions per game.
We like the Over 144.5 at +104 on Kalshi. This is Wise Guy Desk analysis, not an official play. If your book offers a worse price, that small edge can vanish, so get the best number.
We see Purdue's efficient offense doing enough damage and Illinois State keeping pace often enough to push the scoreboard. Our projection: Purdue 79, Illinois State 68. That adds up to 147 points, above the 144.5 total. That is our read on this number, and on days like this the Desk posts a documented free play right below.
Purdue lays 15.5 at Mackey Arena, but the price we want is the Over 144.5 at +104 on Kalshi.
Illinois State vs Purdue airs on FS1. The game is played at Mackey Arena, Purdue's home floor, with tip-off set for Monday, November 9 at 8:30 PM Eastern time.
Purdue is favored. The Boilermakers are 15.5-point favorites on the spread, and Illinois State is +750 on the moneyline at BetRivers. The betting market's no-vig read gives Illinois State about a 6% chance to win outright.
The Illinois State vs Purdue game tips off Monday, November 9 at 8:30 PM Eastern time at Mackey Arena. The broadcast is on FS1.
Purdue lays 15.5 at Mackey Arena, but the price we want is the Over 144.5 at +104 on Kalshi. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 143.5, with the over priced at -108 at Courtside and the under at +104 at Kalshi. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college basketball odds · FanDuel betting splits
Public is on Redbirds (57% of DraftKings tickets on the spread), DraftKings money is also on Redbirds (87%).
The spread has held at Boilermakers -15.5 since it opened; the total has held at 144.5.
On Kalshi, 59% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Purdue Boilermakers (82 trades, $896 traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. On ProphetX, 70% of the money traded on the total is on the Over (46 trades, $1.6k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 9, 8:26 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.