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DraftKings bettors lean Kansas City on the spread (67% of tickets).
| Book | BetsKansas City +4.5Jacksonville -4.5 | MoneyKansas City +4.5Jacksonville -4.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsKansas City (+160)Jacksonville (-192) | MoneyKansas City (+160)Jacksonville (-192) |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
Splits data from DraftKings. See every game's betting splits
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of trades since the market opened and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
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Jamie Phillips Jr. (JAX)14.0 PPG (2 GP)
Jaylen Smith (KC)13.5 PPG (2 GP)There is no number on this game yet, and that is exactly why it is worth a look now. When sportsbooks (the companies that take bets) post odds on the Kansas City Roos at the Jacksonville Dolphins, that first line is an educated guess on two teams with almost no current-season film. This conference game tips at Swisher Gymnasium on Monday, November 9, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, streaming on ESPN+. One team walks in rested and close to home. We have no rest or travel data on the other, and we will not guess.
Both teams were 1-1 as of November 7. That is two games into the season, far too few to call anybody hot or cold, so we are not treating either record as form. Our data has no head-to-head or season-series numbers for Kansas City vs Jacksonville, so we will skip that rather than invent it. What we do have is schedule. Jacksonville gets three days of rest and is not on a back-to-back (games on consecutive days).
Its last game was in Gainesville, 62 miles away, with no time-zone change. Jacksonville did play two games in the last seven days, and three players carried real loads. Jamie Phillips Jr. and Hayden Wood each logged 32 minutes last game (50 and 53 minutes over seven days). Caleb Williams played 26 (51 over seven days). Three days off is a fair window to reset those legs.
Phillips is Jacksonville's leader in our data at 14.0 over two games, or 7 per game. Two games is a small sample, so treat it as a name to watch, not a trend. For Kansas City, Lincoln Goodwin leads at 19.0 over one game, having appeared in only one of the team's two games. One game is an even smaller sample. Neither line drives our read.
Nobody yet. No moneyline (a bet on who wins outright), no spread (the points margin a favorite must win by, or an underdog must stay within) and no total (a bet on whether combined points land over or under a set number) had posted at publication. When they do, a minus price on a team means it is favored and shows what you risk to win $100.
A plus price means underdog and shows what you win on $100 risked. Books often disagree, so check several for Kansas City vs Jacksonville odds. The better number improves every ticket you ever write. One tempo note for the total: over Jacksonville's last 10 games in our data, it averaged 65.2 possessions (trips down the floor) per game and 115.6 points per 100 possessions. That describes style, not form.
Value means a price that pays more than the outcome's real chance deserves. Books build in a cut called the vig. Strip it out and you get the no-vig number, the market-implied probability with the vig removed. Expected value is what a $100 bet would average, won or lost, over many repeats.
Without posted prices we cannot calculate either, so the job today is to set our own read and compare when the board opens. We lean Jacksonville: home floor, three days of rest and a 62-mile trip with no clock change. If the opening price on Jacksonville looks short against that read, we pass. A spread is a separate bet from the moneyline, and we would judge it only on its own break-even once it posts.
Jacksonville, with no price posted yet. Once the line drops, compare at least a few books and take the best one. This is Wise Guy Desk analysis, not an official play.
At roughly 65 possessions and Jacksonville's efficiency in our data, the home side lands in the low 70s. We see Kansas City staying close early before Jacksonville's fresher rotation pulls ahead late. Projected final: Jacksonville 72, Kansas City 67, which adds up to 139 points. That is our read on this matchup before any number exists, and the Desk's documented free daily play sits right below if you want to see how we handle a game with a posted line.
With no line posted yet, we lean Jacksonville at home off three days of rest and a short trip, and we will only play it at the best number we can find.
The Kansas City Roos at Jacksonville Dolphins game streams on ESPN+. It is a conference game played indoors at Swisher Gymnasium, with tipoff set for Monday, November 9, 2026 at 7:00 PM Eastern time.
Kansas City vs Jacksonville tips off Monday, November 9, 2026 at 7:00 PM Eastern time at Swisher Gymnasium. The game streams on ESPN+, so plan to have that service ready a few minutes before tipoff.
No sportsbook had posted a moneyline, spread or total for this game as of November 7, 2026. Once odds appear, the team with the minus price is the favorite. Compare several books, because prices on the same bet often differ.
With no line posted yet, we lean Jacksonville at home off three days of rest and a short trip, and we will only play it at the best number we can find. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits
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21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.