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Minnesota Golden Gophers play at Cincinnati Bearcats in the college basketball on Monday, November 9, at Fifth Third Arena. As of 10:44 AM ET, Cincinnati are 6.5-point favorites and the total is 144.5. Prices come from 14 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated (4 min ago) · from 14 sportsbooks · college basketball betting splits
DraftKings bettors lean Cincinnati on the spread (75% of tickets).
| Book | BetsMinnesota +6.5Cincinnati -6.5 | MoneyMinnesota +6.5Cincinnati -6.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsMinnesota (+250)Cincinnati (-310) | MoneyMinnesota (+250)Cincinnati (-310) |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsOver 144.5Under 144.5 | MoneyOver 144.5Under 144.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
Splits data from DraftKings. See every game's betting splits
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of trades since the market opened and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
| Market | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Cincinnati Bearcats |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +270Circa | -277Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Spread | +6.5 +102Bet at ProphetX → exchange price | -6.5 -105Bet at theScore Bet → |
| Total 144.5 | O -102Bet at Novig → exchange price | U -102Bet at Novig → exchange price |
As of 10:44 AM ET, the spread is Cincinnati -6.5 and the total is 144.5, with 14 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Minnesota ML | Cincinnati ML | Minnesota spread | Cincinnati spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | +235 | -305 | +6.5 -109 | -6.5 -112 | O 144.5 -108 | U 144.5 -113 |
| BetMGM | +240 | -300 | +6.5 -105 | -6.5 -115 | O 144.5 -110 | U 144.5 -110 |
| betPARX | +235 | -305 | +6.5 -109 | -6.5 -112 | O 144.5 -108 | U 144.5 -113 |
| BetRivers | +235 | -305 | +6.5 -110 | -6.5 -113 | O 144.5 -109 | U 144.5 -114 |
| Caesars | +240 | -305 | +6.5 -110 | -6.5 -110 | O 144.5 -110 | U 144.5 -110 |
| Courtside | +256 | -302 | +6.5 -106 | -6.5 -110 | O 144.5 -108 | U 144.5 -108 |
| DraftKings | +250 | -310 | +6.5 -108 | -6.5 -112 | O 144.5 -110 | U 144.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +245 | -310 | +6.5 -102 | -6.5 -120 | O 144.5 -110 | U 144.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +240 | -300 | +6.5 -110 | -6.5 -110 | O 144.5 -110 | U 144.5 -110 |
| Novig | +264 | -277 | +6.5 +104 | -6.5 -113 | O 144.5 -102 | U 144.5 -102 |
Prices from 14 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated (4 min ago). Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Myles Colvin (CIN)15.5 PPG (2 GP)
Isaac Asuma (MINN)16.5 PPG (2 GP)Cincinnati wants to run. Minnesota does not. Over their last 10 stored games, the Cincinnati Bearcats averaged 66.9 possessions per game (a possession is one trip down the floor with the ball), while the Minnesota Golden Gophers averaged 60.7. That tempo gap is the real fight at Fifth Third Arena, Monday at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+, and it shapes the number we care about most.
Cincinnati is the clear favorite. Both teams are 2-0 as of publication, but that is two games into the season, far too early to call form. Efficiency tells us more. Over the last 10 stored games, Cincinnati scored 114.3 points per 100 possessions and Minnesota scored 111.7. The schedule leans to the home side too.
Cincinnati has three days of rest and is playing game three of a home stand. Minnesota has two days of rest after a 603-mile trip that crossed one time zone east. Neither team is on a back-to-back. Our rating, a model built on stored results, gives Cincinnati 75% to win, in line with the market. That is context, not a bet.
Isaac Asuma drives Minnesota. He has averaged 12 points and 4.6 rebounds over his last five games (12.4 points over his last 10), and a Nov. 8 headline flagged his 20-point outing. He played 37 minutes last game and 67 across Minnesota's two games in the last seven days. His leader line this season, 8.3 per game over two games, is a small sample. For Cincinnati, Myles Colvin's leader line is 7.8 per game over two games, also a small sample. He and MJ Collins Jr. each logged 34 minutes in Cincinnati's last game.
The moneyline is a bet on who wins. Minnesota is +275 at Circa, so $100 risked profits $275 if the Gophers win outright. Remove the vig (the book's built-in fee) and the market reads Cincinnati at about 74.8% and Minnesota at 25.2%.
The point spread is a handicap. Minnesota +7 at -110 at Fanatics wins if the Gophers win or lose by six or fewer. A seven-point loss is a push, meaning your stake comes back. Cincinnati -7 at -110 at Fanatics needs an eight-point win. Either side needs to win 52.4% of the time to break even. The consensus opened Cincinnati -6.5 and sits at -7.5 after seven moves, so the -7 at Fanatics is the best Cincinnati number we found.
The total is a bet on combined points. Under 144.5 costs -108 at Courtside, so $100 profits $92.59. At the open, 13 books ranged from 142.5 at Rebet to 144.5 at ESPN BET, a two-point gap. Shopping across books matters.
Expected value is your average result per bet if you could place it many times. It is not what one ticket wins. Pass. The matchup gives it a path: if Cincinnati pulls the game toward its pace, both offenses have been efficient enough to push points.
This is Desk analysis, not an official play, and the edge is small, so size it small. If you cannot find +104, the math we just walked through is not the bet you are making.
Our Cincinnati vs Minnesota read: the Bearcats set the tempo at home, the rest edge shows late, and Minnesota cannot slow it down enough. We project Cincinnati 77, Minnesota 69. That adds up to 146 points, clearing 144.5 by a point and a half. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Cincinnati is the market favorite at -277 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with Minnesota at +270. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
The Minnesota Golden Gophers at Cincinnati Bearcats game is listed on ESPN+, according to the ESPN scoreboard. Tip is set for Monday, November 9 at 7:00 PM ET at Fifth Third Arena.
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Cincinnati Bearcats College Basketball prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 144.5, with the over priced at -102 at Novig and the under at -102 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college basketball odds · FanDuel betting splits
The spread opened Bearcats -6.5 and is now -7.5; the total has held at 144.5; several books (3) moved the spread on away to 7 together.
On Kalshi, 83% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Cincinnati Bearcats (109 trades, $1.3k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. On ProphetX, 60% of the money traded on the spread is on Minnesota Golden Gophers (29 trades, $820 traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 9, 6:59 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
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