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Portland Pilots play at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors in the college basketball on Monday, November 9, at Stan Sheriff Center. As of 9:57 AM ET, Hawai'i are 7.5-point favorites and the total is 157.5. Prices come from 14 sportsbooks we track. The Desk leans Over 157.5. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated (19 min ago) · from 14 sportsbooks · college basketball betting splits
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of trades since the market opened and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
| Market | Portland Pilots | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +270Bet at Novig → exchange price | -292Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Spread | +7.5 -111Bet at Novig → exchange price | -7.5 +102Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Total 157.5 | O +102Bet at Novig → exchange price | U -105Bet at Hard Rock Bet → |
As of 9:57 AM ET, the spread is Hawai'i -7.5 and the total is 157.5, with 14 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Portland ML | Hawai'i ML | Portland spread | Hawai'i spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | +240 | -315 | +7.5 -115 | -7.5 -106 | O 157.5 -114 | U 157.5 -107 |
| betPARX | +240 | -315 | +7.5 -115 | -7.5 -106 | O 157.5 -114 | U 157.5 -107 |
| BetRivers | +240 | -315 | +7.5 -117 | -7.5 -107 | O 157.5 -115 | U 157.5 -108 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +240 | -325 | +7.5 -115 | -7.5 -105 | O 157.5 -115 | U 157.5 -105 |
| Novig | +270 | -292 | +7.5 -111 | -7.5 +102 | O 157.5 +102 | U 157.5 -111 |
| ReBet | +244 | -330 | +7.5 -125 | -7.5 -105 | O 157.5 -109 | U 157.5 -119 |
| BetMGM | +240 | -300 | +7.5 -118 | -7.5 -102 | – | – |
| Courtside | +267 | -316 | +7.5 -113 | -7.5 -103 | – | – |
| DraftKings | +260 | -325 | +7.5 -115 | -7.5 -105 | – | – |
| Fanatics | +250 | -320 | +7.5 -115 | -7.5 -105 | – | – |
Prices from 14 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated (19 min ago). Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Zack Davidson (HAW)17.3 PPG (2 GP)
James O'Donnell (PORT)19.7 PPG (2 GP)Both teams play the second night of a back-to-back (games on consecutive days), their third game in four days, and the total still sits at 157.5 points. Books opened that number anywhere from 156.5 (Fanatics) to 158.5 (FanDuel), so even the bookmakers argued about how many points this one produces. The Portland Pilots visit the Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at the Stan Sheriff Center on Monday, November 9, at 11:59 PM ET on MW+. Portland vs Hawai'i is a late tip, and the most interesting number may not be who wins.
Hawai'i is the favorite. As of publication Hawai'i is 3-0 and Portland is 2-1, but it is only three games into the season. That is far too early to read those records as form. Portland has not traveled since its last game, which was also in Honolulu, so there is no time-zone change for either side.
Hawai'i is on game four of a home stand and has played three games in seven days, Portland two. Per-game averages over three games show Portland shooting 61% from the field and 43.33% from three, with 56 points in the paint and 17.33 turnovers. Hawai'i shoots 47% and 29% from three but averages 9 steals. Three games is a tiny sample, so treat these as sketches.
James O'Donnell is Portland's listed leader at 9.9 per game over two games, a small sample. Zack Davidson leads Hawai'i at 8.7 per game over two games, also a small sample. Minutes tell us more. O'Donnell played 22 last game and 53 over seven days. Hawai'i leans harder on its core: Chance Trujillo played 39 minutes last game and 96 across seven days, with Jaden Matingou at 35 (76 over seven days) and Bol Dengdit at 29 (77). Heavy legs can mean loose defense late.
The moneyline is a bet on who wins. The spread is a bet on the margin. That spread moved from -6.5 to -7.5 at four books. The total asks whether combined points land over or under 157.5. The best Over is +104 at ProphetX; the best Under is -110 at FanDuel. The total moved from 158.5 to 157.5 at three books, then 157.5 to 156.5 at five. DraftKings moved first at 6:05 AM ET and four books followed within ten minutes. Comparing books for the best price is called line shopping, and it is the cheapest edge in betting.
Books build in a fee called the vig. Strip it out and you get the no-vig number, the market's implied probability without the fee. Expected value is your average result per bet over the long run. Every side here grades negative except one. The edge is thin. Pace supports it: Portland runs 74.1 possessions per game at 112 points per 100 possessions, Hawai'i 72.6 at 112.9, over each team's last 10 stored games. For an over, a lower total is better, so 156.5 at a similar price beats 157.5.
We lean Over 157.5 at +104 at ProphetX. This is Desk analysis, not an official play. At a shorter price the small edge disappears, so shop it.
Hawai'i vs Portland should be fast and loose on tired legs. Two offenses scoring above a point per possession, at a pace in the low 70s, push this past the number. We project Hawai'i 84, Portland 76, which adds up to 160 points, over the 157.5 total. That is our read on this number. The Desk posts a documented free play each day, and it sits right below.
Hawai'i is the market favorite at -292 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with Portland at +270. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
The Portland Pilots at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors game airs on MW+. It tips off Monday, November 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET from the Stan Sheriff Center, an indoor arena in Honolulu.
The game starts Monday, November 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM Eastern time at the Stan Sheriff Center. It is the second night of a back-to-back for both teams, and the broadcast is on MW+.
Portland Pilots vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors College Basketball prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 157.5, with the over priced at +102 at Novig and the under at -105 at Hard Rock Bet. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college basketball odds · FanDuel betting splits
Several books (5) moved the total on under to 156.5 together.
As of Nov 9, 8:40 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
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