SIU Edwardsville vs Missouri Prediction (Nov 9)
The Wise Guy Desk · College Basketball
SIU Edwardsville Cougars logo@Missouri Tigers logo

SIU Edwardsville vs Missouri Prediction & Odds (Nov 9)

Quick answer
SIU Edwardsville Cougars vs Missouri Tigers starts Mon, Nov 9, 8:00 PM ET at Mizzou Arena. Listed numbers: spread Tigers -31.5 and total 149.5. The Desk's lean: SIU Edwardsville +29.5 -103 (Courtside).
From the numbers on this page, compiled by the Wise Guy Desk. Page content last changed November 9, 2026.
SIU Edwardsville Cougars vs Missouri Tigers: Missouri should win comfortably, but a 30-point margin is a tall order, so we lean SIU Edwardsville +29.5 at -103 as a matchup read, with the math showing no clean value anywhere. · Mizzou Arena
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Who will win SIU Edwardsville vs Missouri?

SIU Edwardsville Cougars play at Missouri Tigers in the college basketball on Monday, November 9, at Mizzou Arena. As of 9:57 AM ET, Missouri are 31.5-point favorites and the total is 149.5. Prices come from 13 sportsbooks we track. The Desk leans SIU Edwardsville +29.5. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.

Prices updated (21 min ago) · from 13 sportsbooks · college basketball betting splits

The lean: SIU Edwardsville +29.5 -103 (Courtside)
SpreadTigers -31.5
Total149.5
KickoffMon, Nov 9, 8:00 PM ET
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Who is the public betting on SIUE vs Missouri?

DraftKings bettors lean SIUE on the spread (50% of tickets).

Spread
BookBetsSIUE +31.5Missouri -31.5MoneySIUE +31.5Missouri -31.5
DraftKings
Total
BookBetsOver 149.5Under 149.5MoneyOver 149.5Under 149.5
DraftKings
DraftKings SIUE since first captureFrom Nov 9, 2026, 12:15 AM ET to Nov 9, 2026, 10:17 AM ET: bets 33% to 40%, money 1% to 37%.
Bets %Money %DraftKings SIUE since first capture

Splits data from DraftKings. See every game's betting splits

Exchange buyers: which side buyers took (Kalshi, Polymarket, Novig, ProphetX)

These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.

How to read these numbers

Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of trades since the market opened and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.

Kalshi

Moneyline$8.2k traded · 115 trades
SIU Edwardsville CougarsMissouri Tigers
Trades
Money
Spread$1.2k traded · 30 trades
SIU Edwardsville Cougars +28.5Missouri Tigers -28.5
Trades
Money
Light trading: $1.2k so far, percentages can swing
ProphetX

Spread$354 traded · 18 trades
SIU Edwardsville Cougars +31Missouri Tigers -31
Trades
Money
Light trading: $354 so far, percentages can swing
Total 149.5$164 traded · 9 trades
Over 149.5Under 149.5
Trades
Money
Light trading: $164 so far, percentages can swing

SIU Edwardsville Cougars vs Missouri Tigers: odds, trends and our lean

📊 Best prices from the US sportsbooks and exchanges we track (exchange prices are marked) Live prices as of 9:57 AM ET · Line shopping can improve your price
MarketSIU Edwardsville CougarsMissouri Tigers
Spread+31.5 -110Bet at Courtside →-31.5 -105Bet at theScore Bet →
Total 149.5O -103Bet at Courtside →U -104Bet at Novig → exchange price

What are the odds for SIU Edwardsville vs Missouri at each sportsbook?

As of 9:57 AM ET, the spread is Missouri -31.5 and the total is 149.5, with 13 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.

SportsbookSIU Edwardsville MLMissouri MLSIU Edwardsville spreadMissouri spreadOverUnder
Courtside+6746-16569+31.5 -110-31.5 -106O 149.5 -103U 149.5 -113
DraftKings+5000-100000+31.5 -112-31.5 -108O 149.5 -105U 149.5 -115
BetMGM––+31.5 -110-31.5 -110O 149.5 -110U 149.5 -110
Fanatics+8000-50000––O 149.5 -110U 149.5 -110
FanDuel––+31.5 -110-31.5 -110O 149.5 -110U 149.5 -110
ProphetX––+31.5 -104-31.5 +100O 149.5 -107U 149.5 -104
theScore Bet––+31.5 -115-31.5 -105O 149.5 -105U 149.5 -115
Bally Bet––––O 149.5 -115U 149.5 -106
betPARX––––O 149.5 -115U 149.5 -106
BetRivers––––O 149.5 -117U 149.5 -107

Prices from 13 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated (21 min ago). Prices move, so check the book before you bet.

📊 Team Breakdown real data · updated daily
Season win %
SIU Edwardsville Cougars
67%
Missouri Tigers
50%
Players to watch
Bryson TillerBryson Tiller (MIZ)18.0 PPG (2 GP)
Jordan PickettJordan Pickett (SIUE)13.7 PPG (3 GP)
How to read this: "chance to win per the betting market" comes from the actual odds with the sportsbook's built-in fee (the vig) stripped out, the market's honest opinion of the game.
🛈 Wise Guy Desk analysis - not an official play. A free breakdown to help you find value and bet the best number. Ross's documented plays are graded win or loss on the members board.
📘 New to betting? Two-minute translation. A moneyline bet is picking who wins, nothing else. A plus number is the underdog; a minus number is the favorite. The spread is a head start: -7.5 must win by 8+, while +7.5 cashes by losing by 7 or fewer (or winning). The total is combined points by both teams, over or under the books' number. +EV means the price pays better than the market-implied fair odds (vig removed); consistently taking better prices raises your expected return over time. Learn free: Sports Betting 101 · Odds converter · No-vig calculator

SIU Edwardsville vs Missouri Prediction: Living on the 30-Point Edge

Missouri opened as a 28.5-point favorite. The market has since pushed that to 29.5, right to the doorstep of a 30-point blowout. The SIU Edwardsville Cougars visit the Missouri Tigers at Mizzou Arena on Monday night at 8:00 PM ET on SECN+. Nobody is really asking who wins. Bettors are asking by how much.

Who Is Favored to Win SIU Edwardsville vs Missouri?

Missouri, clearly. As of publication, SIU Edwardsville is 2-1 and Missouri is 1-1. That is only three games for one team and two for the other. Those records are not form, so we will not treat them that way. Our rating, an Elo model built on past results, gives Missouri a 65% chance to win and SIU Edwardsville 35%. That is context only, not a bet.

On Kalshi, a betting exchange, 96% of the money traded on the winner market is on Missouri, but that is just 72 trades and $1.7k, so the share can swing. On schedule, SIU Edwardsville has one day of rest and is on game two of a road trip after traveling 360 miles from Nashville. Missouri has two days of rest after a 117-mile trip from St. Louis. Neither team is on a back-to-back.

Players to Watch at Mizzou Arena

Missouri's listed leader is Bryson Tiller, at 18.0 over two games (9 per game), a small sample. A Nov. 8 headline highlighted his 26-point showing. He played 35 minutes last game, and Jason Crowe Jr. played 34. For SIU Edwardsville, Jordan Pickett sits at 13.7 over three games (4.6 per game), also a small sample. He logged 31 minutes last game, the same as David Wilson. Over its last 10 stored games, Missouri has played at 69 possessions per game and scored 117.1 points per 100 possessions. SIU Edwardsville has played at 67.3 possessions and scored 107.4 per 100.

What Is the Spread for SIU Edwardsville vs Missouri?

The point spread is a handicap. SIU Edwardsville +29.5 at -103 (best at Courtside) wins if SIU Edwardsville wins outright or loses by 29 or fewer. It loses on a 30-point loss. The half point means no push (a tie that refunds your bet). The -103 is the price. You risk $100 to profit $97.09, so you need to win 50.7% of the time to break even. Missouri -29.5 at -110 (best at theScore Bet) needs a win by 30 or more.

A $100 bet profits $90.91, and the break-even is 52.4%. The total, the combined points of both teams, is 148.5. Over is -113 at Courtside (break-even 53.1%). Under is -103 at Courtside (break-even 50.7%). No moneyline, a straight bet on who wins, is posted on our board. SIU Edwardsville +29.5 and the Under tie for the lowest break-even at 50.7%. Shop around, because that gap in price matters.

Where the Value Is

Books build in a fee called the vig. Strip it out and you get the no-vig number, the market's own read. The market puts SIU Edwardsville's cover chance at 49.5%, below its 50.7% break-even. Expected value is your average result per $100 risked if you made this bet over and over. Here it is minus $2.50. Nothing on this board is positive. SIU Edwardsville +29.5 simply carries the smallest expected loss per $100 risked.

The Pick

We lean SIU Edwardsville +29.5 at -103 at Courtside. Call it a matchup lean, not a value bet, because the no-vig cover number sits below break-even. A $100 bet profits $97.09 if it wins. If a book posts +30 at the same price, take it, since a 30-point loss would then push instead of lose.

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The Prediction

Missouri controls this game, but winning by 30 or more takes a lot to go right. The line already moved a full point toward Missouri, which hands the Cougars a bigger cushion. We project Missouri 86, SIU Edwardsville 61, a 25-point margin. That adds to 147, a point and a half under 148.5, though we are not betting the total. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.

SIU Edwardsville vs Missouri FAQ

Who is favored in SIU Edwardsville vs Missouri?

Missouri should win comfortably, but a 30-point margin is a tall order, so we lean SIU Edwardsville +29.5 at -103 as a matchup read, with the math showing no clean value anywhere.

Where to watch SIU Edwardsville vs Missouri?

The SIU Edwardsville Cougars at Missouri Tigers game airs on SECN+. It tips off Monday, November 9, 2026, at 8:00 PM ET from Mizzou Arena, which is an indoor venue.

Who is favored to win SIU Edwardsville vs Missouri?

Missouri is the favorite. The point spread lists the Tigers at -29.5 (opened -28.5), and our Elo rating gives Missouri a 65% chance to win versus 35% for SIU Edwardsville. No moneyline was posted on our board.

What time is the SIU Edwardsville vs Missouri game?

The game starts Monday, November 9, 2026, at 8:00 PM Eastern time at Mizzou Arena. The broadcast is on SECN+. The total is 148.5 points, unchanged since it opened.

Who will win Missouri vs SIU Edwardsville?

Missouri should win comfortably, but a 30-point margin is a tall order, so we lean SIU Edwardsville +29.5 at -103 as a matchup read, with the math showing no clean value anywhere. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.

What is the total (over/under) for SIU Edwardsville vs Missouri?

The total is 149.5, with the over priced at -103 at Courtside and the under at -104 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.

Are these College Basketball picks free?

Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.

How does the Wise Guy Desk find value in College Basketball games?

Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.

Quick answers

Where has the SIU Edwardsville Cougars vs Missouri Tigers line moved?

The spread opened Tigers -28.5 and is now -29.5; the total has held at 148.5.

Where is the money on the exchanges for SIU Edwardsville Cougars vs Missouri Tigers?

On Kalshi, 96% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Missouri Tigers (72 trades, $1.7k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.

As of Nov 9, 8:20 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.

This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.

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