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A 12.5-Point Question at the Charles E. Smith Center
The books want George Washington to win by 13 just to cash a spread ticket, and that number already slid from 13.5 to 12.5 at three books within five minutes. The moneyline is even steeper: a $100 bet on the home team profits only $13.64. That is the setup when the Harvard Crimson visit the George Washington Revolutionaries on Friday, November 13 at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+. One road team is coming off an overtime game, facing a big home favorite and a line that is moving.
Who Is Favored to Win Harvard vs George Washington?
George Washington is the clear favorite. As of Thursday's publication, Harvard is 2-1 and George Washington is 3-0. Both teams are only three games into the season, which is far too early to read those records as form. The schedule tells us more. Both teams have two days of rest, and neither is on a back-to-back (games on consecutive days). Harvard's previous game went to overtime. This is game 3 of a road trip, and the trip from Boston covered 394 miles with no time-zone change.
George Washington plays game 4 of a home stand. Harvard leaned hard on its regulars in that overtime game: Ben Eisendrath played 42 minutes, Thomas Batties II 40 and Robert Hinton 37. George Washington's heaviest minutes in its last game were 26 each for Dylan James and Lovro Urbiha. Our rating is a simple Elo model built on past results. It is context only, never a bet, and it is much less sure than the market: George Washington 64%, Harvard 36%.
Players to Watch
Harvard runs through Batties. He is averaging 17.0 points per game over three games, which is a small sample. Over his last five games he is at 14.6 points and 7.4 rebounds per game. Thursday's headline, "Harvard plays George Washington after Batties' 21-point game," tells you who carries the Crimson. Jean Aranguren leads George Washington with 12.7 points per game over three games, also a small sample.
Over his last five games he averages 10.8 points. Team per-game averages over three games are another small sample. They show George Washington hitting 39.33% from three and allowing 28.67% shooting, while Harvard has allowed 35%. Over the last 10 stored games, George Washington played at 68.5 possessions per game and scored 108 points per 100 possessions. Harvard played at 65.4 possessions and scored 103.
Harvard vs George Washington Odds and Spread
The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. The point spread is a bet on the margin. A half point means no push (a tie that refunds your bet). The total is a bet on combined points, set at 134.5. The best Over price is -105 at Hard Rock Bet, and the best Under price is -103 at Courtside. That total ticked up from 133.5. By our closing-line math, George Washington is 2-1 against the spread (ATS) over three graded games and 0-3 on the over-under over three games. Novig holds the best moneyline and spread prices on both sides, which is why line shopping matters.
Where the Value Is
Every price includes the vig, the book's built-in cut. Strip it out and the market says George Washington 88.8%, Harvard 11.2%. Expected value is your average result over many identical bets, not what one ticket pays. George Washington at -733 needs 88%. George Washington -12.5 (minus $1.92), the Over (minus $2.38) and the Under (minus $1.46) are all negative per $100.
The Pick
It is the one side that clears its break-even on both the market's no-vig read and our fair price. The edge is thin. You risk $100 to profit $13.64, and a worse price elsewhere can erase it. Our softer rating is a reminder that nothing here is certain.
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The Prediction
Our George Washington vs Harvard prediction: George Washington 72, Harvard 61. That adds to 133, which is under 134.5, but we pass on the total because both sides are negative. An 11-point margin would also cover Harvard +12.5, and that spread is a separate bet we are not making. That is our Harvard vs George Washington prediction on this number. The Desk posts a documented free daily play, and it sits right below.
Harvard vs George Washington FAQ
Who is favored in Harvard vs George Washington?
George Washington is the market favorite at -610 (best price at ProphetX) on the moneyline, with Harvard at +590. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Where to watch Harvard vs George Washington?
Harvard vs George Washington streams on ESPN+. The game tips off Friday, November 13 at 7:00 PM ET at the Charles E. Smith Center, the home arena of the George Washington Revolutionaries.
What time is the Harvard vs George Washington game?
The Harvard Crimson at George Washington Revolutionaries game tips off Friday, November 13, 2026 at 7:00 PM Eastern time at the Charles E. Smith Center, with the broadcast on ESPN+.
Who will win George Washington vs Harvard?
Harvard Crimson vs George Washington Revolutionaries College Basketball prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
What is the total (over/under) for Harvard vs George Washington?
The total is 133.5, with the over priced at +100 at Novig and the under at -102 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Are these College Basketball picks free?
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
How does the Wise Guy Desk find value in College Basketball games?
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
Quick answers
Where has the Harvard Crimson vs George Washington Revolutionaries line moved?
Several books (3) moved the spread on away to 12.5 together.
As of Nov 12, 11:46 PM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.