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Kennesaw State Owls play at Sam Houston Bearkats in college football on Saturday, November 14, at Elliott T. Bowers Stadium. As of 9:41 AM ET, Kennesaw State are 7.5-point favorites and the total is 46.5. Prices come from 16 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 16 sportsbooks · college football betting splits
DraftKings bettors lean Kennesaw State Owls on the moneyline (95% of tickets).
| Book | BetsKennesaw State Owls -7Sam Houston Bearkats +7 | MoneyKennesaw State Owls -7Sam Houston Bearkats +7 |
|---|---|---|
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) | ||
| BetMGM | Bets only |
| Book | BetsKennesaw State OwlsSam Houston Bearkats | MoneyKennesaw State OwlsSam Houston Bearkats |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Kennesaw State Owls (-278) / Sam Houston Bearkats (+225)) | ||
| BetMGM (Kennesaw State Owls (-285) / Sam Houston Bearkats (+230)) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsOver 46.5Under 46.5 | MoneyOver 46.5Under 46.5 |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | Bets only |
Splits data from DraftKings, Circa and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
| Market | Kennesaw State Owls | Sam Houston Bearkats |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -7 | +7 |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
| Market | Kennesaw State Owls | Sam Houston Bearkats |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -270Bet at Novig → exchange price | +264Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Spread | -7.5 +106Bet at Novig → exchange price | +7.5 -110Bet at FanDuel → |
| Total 46.5 | O +100Bet at Novig → exchange price | U -108Bet at Novig → exchange price |
As of 9:41 AM ET, the spread is Kennesaw State -7.5 and the total is 46.5, with 16 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Kennesaw State ML | Sam Houston ML | Kennesaw State spread | Sam Houston spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | -305 | +235 | -7.5 -106 | +7.5 -114 | O 46.5 -110 | U 46.5 -109 |
| bet365 | -280 | +230 | -7.5 -110 | +7.5 -110 | O 46.5 -110 | U 46.5 -110 |
| betPARX | -305 | +235 | -7.5 -106 | +7.5 -114 | O 46.5 -110 | U 46.5 -109 |
| BetRivers | -305 | +235 | -7.5 -108 | +7.5 -115 | O 46.5 -113 | U 46.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | -300 | +240 | -7.5 -110 | +7.5 -110 | O 46.5 -110 | U 46.5 -110 |
| Fliff | -295 | +225 | -7.5 -110 | +7.5 -120 | O 46.5 -115 | U 46.5 -120 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -300 | +240 | -7.5 -105 | +7.5 -115 | O 46.5 -110 | U 46.5 -110 |
| Novig | -270 | +264 | -7.5 +106 | +7.5 -111 | O 46.5 +100 | U 46.5 -108 |
| ProphetX | -265 | +260 | -7.5 +105 | +7.5 -113 | O 46.5 +100 | U 46.5 -108 |
| BetMGM | -285 | +230 | – | – | O 46.5 -108 | U 46.5 -110 |
Prices from 16 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Kennesaw State Owls9th in the Conference USASam Houston Bearkats10th in the Conference USA
Landyn Locke (SHSU)163/257, 1,779 YDS, 13 TD, 5 INT (8 GP)
Rickie Collins (KENN)165/236, 1,687 YDS, 7 TD, 7 INT (9 GP)A 3-6 team is laying 7.5 points on the road, and the number has not moved an inch since the open. That half point is the whole fight, because a seven-point win and an eight-point win cash completely different tickets. The Kennesaw State Owls visit the Sam Houston Bearkats at Elliott T. Bowers Stadium on Saturday, November 14, at 2:00 PM ET in Week 11, streaming on ESPN+. Our question is simple: is either side of that number priced right?
Kennesaw State is the favorite. As of publication the Owls are 3-6 and 9th of 10 in Conference USA. The Bearkats are 1-8 and 10th of 10. This is a conference game, and the last meeting, 728 days ago, went to Sam Houston. Against the spread (ATS, meaning results after the point handicap is applied), Kennesaw State is 6-3 over nine graded games, including 3-1 on the road. Per-game averages over nine games each: the Owls gain 364.44 yards and run for 130.33.
The Bearkats gain 315.11 and run for 74.67, while allowing 192.33 rushing yards per game. PPA (predicted points added per play, roughly how much each snap moves the expected score) rates the Owls offense at 0.07 and Sam Houston's at -0.04 over nine games. Both teams had six days of rest. Kennesaw State traveled 677 miles and crossed one time zone west. The forecast calls for 65 degrees, a 10 mph wind from the east and a 14% chance of rain.
Sam Houston quarterback Landyn Locke has thrown for 1,779 yards, 13 touchdowns and 5 interceptions over eight games, which works out to 222.4 yards, 1.6 touchdowns and 0.6 interceptions per game. His recent stretch is quieter: 161.2 passing yards per game over his last five. For Kennesaw State, Rickie Collins has played all nine games, averaging 187.4 passing yards, 0.8 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions per game, plus 27.2 rushing yards per game over his last five. One flag: the Owls quarterback of record last game was Landon Varnes, a change from the game before. Watch who takes the first snap.
The moneyline is a bet on who wins, nothing else. Strip out the vig (the book's built-in fee) and the market reads it about 72.6% Owls, 27.4% Bearkats. The spread is a bet on the margin. A 7-point win loses, and the half point means no push (a tie that refunds your stake). Sam Houston +7.5 at -110 (best at FanDuel) wins if the Bearkats win outright or lose by 7 or fewer. Line shopping, meaning checking several books for the best price, is how you find these numbers.
Break-even is the win rate a price needs just to tie over time. Expected value is your average result per bet over the long run. That is thin. Our rating gives the Owls 66% to win versus the market's 72.6%, context only. The public split shows 75% of BetMGM spread tickets on the Owls, and on Kalshi 66% of the money traded on the spread is on Kennesaw State (22 trades, $577 traded), light action that can swing.
The Owls must win by 8 or more, and the ticket breaks even at 48.5%. This is a price play first.
Our sam houston vs kennesaw state prediction: Kennesaw State 27, Sam Houston 17. That adds to 44, below the 46.5 total, though we are not betting the Under at -108. A ten-point Owls win covers the 7.5. Kennesaw State has gone 3-6 to the over-under in nine games, and a Bearkats offense averaging 74.67 rushing yards per game has to throw into a defense that has allowed 242 passing yards per game. That is our read on Sam Houston vs Kennesaw State; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it sits right below.
Kennesaw State is the market favorite at -270 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with Sam Houston at +264. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Kennesaw State vs Sam Houston streams on ESPN+. Kickoff is Saturday, November 14, at 2:00 PM ET from Elliott T. Bowers Stadium, home of the Sam Houston Bearkats, in a Week 11 Conference USA game.
The Kennesaw State Owls are favored. They are -270 on the moneyline and -7.5 on the spread at the best prices we track, while the Sam Houston Bearkats are +257. With the vig removed, the market reads it about 72.6% Owls and 27.4% Bearkats.
The game kicks off Saturday, November 14, 2026, at 2:00 PM Eastern time at Elliott T. Bowers Stadium. It is Week 11 of the 2026 regular season, and the broadcast is on ESPN+.
Kennesaw State Owls vs Sam Houston Bearkats College Football prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 46.5, with the over priced at +100 at Novig and the under at -108 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College football betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college football odds · FanDuel betting splits
Public is on Owls (76% of BetMGM tickets on the spread).
The spread has held at Bearkats +7.5 since it opened; the total has held at 46.5.
On Kalshi, 66% of the money traded on the spread is on Kennesaw State Owls (22 trades, $577 traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 13, 9:42 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.