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Wagner Seahawks play at UConn Huskies in the college basketball on Monday, November 9, at MT Bank Center at Gampel Pavilion. As of 11:13 AM ET, UConn are 39.5-point favorites and the total is 140.5. Prices come from 14 sportsbooks we track. The Desk leans UConn -40.5.
Prices updated (6 min ago) · from 14 sportsbooks · college basketball betting splits
DraftKings bettors lean UConn on the spread (78% of tickets).
| Book | BetsWagner +39.5UConn -39.5 | MoneyWagner +39.5UConn -39.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsOver 140.5Under 140.5 | MoneyOver 140.5Under 140.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
Splits data from DraftKings. See every game's betting splits
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of trades since the market opened and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
| Market | Wagner Seahawks | UConn Huskies |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +39.5 -104Bet at FanDuel → | -39.5 +100Bet at theScore Bet → |
| Total 140.5 | O +100Bet at Novig → exchange price | U -108Bet at Courtside → |
As of 11:13 AM ET, the spread is UConn -39.5 and the total is 140.5, with 14 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Wagner ML | UConn ML | Wagner spread | UConn spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics | +15000 | -100000 | +39.5 -110 | -39.5 -110 | O 140.5 -110 | U 140.5 -110 |
| theScore Bet | +3500 | -50000 | +39.5 -120 | -39.5 +100 | O 140.5 -110 | U 140.5 -110 |
| BetMGM | – | – | +39.5 -105 | -39.5 -115 | O 140.5 -110 | U 140.5 -110 |
| Courtside | – | – | +39.5 -113 | -39.5 -103 | O 140.5 -108 | U 140.5 -108 |
| DraftKings | – | – | +39.5 -115 | -39.5 -105 | O 140.5 -110 | U 140.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | – | – | +39.5 -104 | -39.5 -118 | O 140.5 -110 | U 140.5 -110 |
| Novig | – | – | +39.5 -104 | -39.5 -102 | O 140.5 +100 | U 140.5 -108 |
| ProphetX | – | – | +39.5 -106 | -39.5 -104 | O 140.5 +103 | U 140.5 -107 |
| ReBet | – | – | +39.5 -119 | -39.5 -109 | O 140.5 -116 | U 140.5 -111 |
| Bally Bet | – | – | +39.5 -110 | -39.5 -110 | – | – |
Prices from 14 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated (6 min ago). Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Braylon Mullins (CONN)21.5 PPG (2 GP)
Kareem Watson (WAG)11.0 PPG (2 GP)The number is 40.5. That is how many points the market asks the UConn Huskies to win by on Monday night, and the best prices on the two sides of that line do not match. One side pays +113. The other costs -102. When a gap like that shows up in a blowout spot, slow down and do the math. That is what we do here for Wagner vs UConn, tipping at 7:00 PM ET on truTV from M&T Bank Center at Gampel Pavilion.
UConn, by a mile. As of publication the Wagner Seahawks are 0-2 and UConn is 2-0, but this is only two games into the season, far too early to call form. A Nov. 8 headline billed it as Wagner visiting No. 4 UConn. There is no season series to lean on. Both teams have two days of rest, and neither is on a back-to-back.
Wagner is on game 5 of a road trip and traveled 1,202 miles from Coral Gables. UConn came 72 miles from Boston. Our rating, an Elo model built on stored results, gives UConn a 93% chance to win. That is context, not a bet. No moneyline (a bet on who wins outright) is posted, so there is no market win percent to compare it with.
For UConn, Braylon Mullins is the listed leader at 21.5 over two games, or 10.8 per game, a small sample. A Nov. 8 headline pointed to his 23-point performance. He played 27 minutes last game, while Silas Demary Jr. carried the heaviest load at 36. For Wagner, Kareem Watson leads at 11.0 over two games, 5.5 per game, also a small sample. Tajae Jones (34), Cam Estevez (32) and Taj Bryant (32) logged the most minutes last game.
The spread is a handicap on the final margin. Wagner +40.5 at -102 (best at BetMGM) wins if Wagner wins or loses by 40 or fewer. A 41-point loss sinks it. The -102 means $100 risked profits $98.04, so you need to win 50.5% of the time to break even. UConn -40.5 at +113 (best at Kalshi) wins only if UConn wins by 41 or more.
The +113 means $100 risked profits $113.00, a break-even of 46.9%, the lowest on this board. The total (combined points) is 140.5. The line has moved: the consensus spread opened UConn -36.5 and sits at -37.5 after 7 moves, and DraftKings moved first from -39.5 to -40.5 at 8:37 AM ET, with 7 books following within 10 minutes. The total opened 142.5 and is now 140.5. Shop every book.
The vig is the book's fee baked into every price. Remove it and you get the no-vig number, the market's own read with the fee stripped out. On UConn -40.5, the no-vig cover probability is 50.5%. The +113 price only needs 46.9%. That gap is the value. That is an average, not what a winner pays.
UConn Huskies -40.5 at +113 at Kalshi. This is a margin bet, not a bet on who wins. It needs a 41-point win. We like it because the price beats the market's own cover read. At a worse price the math shrinks, so take the best number.
UConn vs Wagner shapes up as an efficiency mismatch. Over the last 10 stored games, UConn scored 110.8 points per 100 possessions to Wagner's 100.9, at a similar pace (64.8 and 65.4 possessions per game). We project UConn 89, Wagner 47. Huge spreads swing on late-game minutes, so size the bet modestly. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
A 40.5-point spread at Gampel Pavilion, and the best prices on each side of it are far from even.
Wagner vs UConn airs on truTV. The game tips Monday, November 9, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET from M&T Bank Center at Gampel Pavilion, with the Wagner Seahawks visiting the UConn Huskies.
The UConn Huskies are heavy favorites. The best spread prices we track list UConn at -40.5, meaning the market expects a lopsided margin. No moneyline was posted. Our Elo rating, used only as context, gives UConn a 93% chance to win.
The Wagner Seahawks at UConn Huskies game starts Monday, November 9, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. It will be broadcast on truTV from M&T Bank Center at Gampel Pavilion.
A 40.5-point spread at Gampel Pavilion, and the best prices on each side of it are far from even. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 140.5, with the over priced at +100 at Novig and the under at -108 at Courtside. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college basketball odds · FanDuel betting splits
The spread opened Huskies -36.5 and is now -37.5; the total moved from 142.5 to 140.5; several books (3) moved the spread on home to -39.5 together.
On Kalshi, 93% of the money traded on the moneyline is on UConn Huskies (92 trades, $8.4k traded). Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 9, 8:44 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
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