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App State Mountaineers play at Auburn Tigers in the college basketball on Monday, November 9, at Neville Arena. As of 10:57 AM ET, Auburn are 23.5-point favorites and the total is 145.5. Prices come from 9 sportsbooks we track. The Desk leans App State +23.5. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated (23 min ago) · from 9 sportsbooks · college basketball betting splits
DraftKings bettors lean Auburn on the spread (75% of tickets).
| Book | BetsApp State +23.5Auburn -23.5 | MoneyApp State +23.5Auburn -23.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
Splits data from DraftKings. See every game's betting splits
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of trades since the market opened and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
| Market | App State Mountaineers | Auburn Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +23.5 -106Bet at Courtside → | -23.5 +102Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Total 145.5 | O -104Polymarket Global exchange price | U -105Bet at DraftKings → |
As of 10:57 AM ET, the spread is Auburn -23.5 and the total is 145.5, with 9 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | App State ML | Auburn ML | App State spread | Auburn spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +2000 | -6500 | +23.5 -108 | -23.5 -112 | O 145.5 -115 | U 145.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | +2800 | -10000 | +23.5 -110 | -23.5 -110 | O 145.5 -110 | U 145.5 -110 |
| ProphetX | +2250 | -4600 | +23.5 -105 | -23.5 +102 | O 145.5 -109 | U 145.5 +100 |
| ReBet | +1375 | -10000 | +23.5 -116 | -23.5 -111 | O 145.5 -116 | U 145.5 -111 |
| theScore Bet | +3000 | -20000 | +23.5 -110 | -23.5 -110 | O 145.5 -110 | U 145.5 -110 |
| BetMGM | – | – | +23.5 -110 | -23.5 -110 | O 145.5 -115 | U 145.5 -105 |
| Courtside | +2246 | -4862 | +23.5 -106 | -23.5 -110 | – | – |
| Fanatics | +3000 | -10000 | +23.5 -110 | -23.5 -110 | – | – |
| Novig | +3126 | -3604 | +23.5 -113 | -23.5 +102 | – | – |
Prices from 9 sportsbooks we track, updated (23 min ago). Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Tahaad Pettiford (AUB)18.0 PPG (1 GP)
Jaylen Colon (APP)11.5 PPG (2 GP)Prices are posted now. The full best-price table sits at the top of this page.
Twenty-three and a half points. That is how much the sportsbooks say Auburn should win by on Monday night, and one book is paying better than even money on the other side. The App State Mountaineers visit the Auburn Tigers at Neville Arena at 9:00 PM ET on SEC Network. The scoreboard matters, but for a bettor the real story is a small gap between what the market thinks and what one price pays.
Auburn is the favorite. It is very early. App State is two games into the season and Auburn is one game in, which is far too little to judge anyone's form, so we won't try. A moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. That leaves the spread to do the talking, and it makes Auburn a 23.5-point favorite.
Our rating, an Elo model built on stored results, gives the Auburn Tigers 71% to win and the App State Mountaineers 29%. Treat that as context, not a bet. A chance to win says nothing exact about winning by 24. Rest is even. Both teams have four days off, and neither is on a back-to-back. Auburn plays game two of a home stand with no travel. App State traveled 331 miles and crossed one time zone west.
Tahaad Pettiford is listed as Auburn's leader at 18 per game over one game played, which is a small sample. Jaylen Colon leads App State at 5.8 per game over two games played, which is also a small sample. Neither line tells us much yet. Minutes reveal a bit more. In Auburn's last game, Thomas Dowd played 27 minutes, Kevin Overton 23 and Pettiford 22.
For App State, Jonathan Moss logged 19, Da'Mori Lytch 17 and Mason Costello 16. Over their last 10 stored games, Auburn averaged 68.7 possessions per game (a possession is one trip down the floor) and scored 120.7 points per 100 possessions. App State averaged 64 possessions and scored 116.7 per 100.
A spread is a handicap that evens out a lopsided game. App State +23.5 wins if App State wins outright or loses by 23 or fewer. A 24-point loss loses. Auburn -23.5 wins only if Auburn wins by 24 or more, so a 23-point Auburn win loses. The half point means there is no push (a tie that refunds your stake). The best App State price is +111 at ProphetX: risk $100, profit $111. The total is 145.5 combined points. The Over is best at -110 on FanDuel (risk $100 to profit $90.91).
The Under is best at -105 on BetMGM (risk $100 to profit $95.24). Each price includes the vig, which is the book's built-in fee. Shopping across books for the best number is how you shrink that fee. One more thing: on ProphetX, 73% of the money traded on the spread is on Auburn Tigers (10 trades, $1.6k traded), and on Kalshi, 93% of the moneyline money is on Auburn Tigers (93 trades, $1.4k traded). That is light trading, so those shares can swing.
Break-even is how often a bet has to win at its price just to avoid losing money. App State +23.5 at +111 breaks even at 47.4%. With the vig removed, the market's own no-vig read on App State covering this exact line is 48.2%. That is more than the price requires. The total offers nothing. The App State edge is thin, and it lives at the best number.
We like App State +23.5 at +111 on ProphetX. This is Desk analysis, not an official Wise Guy Team play. The case rests on the price: a 48.2% no-vig cover read against a 47.4% break-even. If your book offers App State +23.5 at a shorter price, check the break-even again before you bet, because the edge is small. A bigger number at the same price would be even better, since every extra point gives you more room.
We expect Auburn vs App State to be a comfortable Auburn win that stops short of the number. Our App State vs Auburn prediction is Auburn 82, App State 61. That is a 21-point margin, so App State covers +23.5 by two and a half points. The 143 combined points land under the 145.5 total, though we have no bet on the total. Nothing here is guaranteed, and a few late threes can swing a margin this wide. That is the Desk's read on this number. If you want to see how we handle the rest of the board, the free daily play and the $1 trial sit right below.
App State Mountaineers vs Auburn Tigers College Basketball prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk.
App State vs Auburn airs on SEC Network. The game tips off Monday, November 9, 2026, at 9:00 PM ET from Neville Arena, Auburn's home floor, where the Auburn Tigers host the App State Mountaineers.
The App State Mountaineers and Auburn Tigers tip off Monday, November 9, 2026, at 9:00 PM Eastern time at Neville Arena. The game will be broadcast on SEC Network, and both teams come in on four days of rest.
App State Mountaineers vs Auburn Tigers College Basketball prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 145.5, with the over priced at -104 at Polymarket Global and the under at -105 at DraftKings. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college basketball odds · FanDuel betting splits
On Kalshi, 93% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Auburn Tigers (93 trades, $1.4k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. On ProphetX, 73% of the money traded on the spread is on Auburn Tigers (10 trades, $1.6k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 9, 8:27 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.