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Eastern Illinois Panthers play at Notre Dame Fighting Irish in the college basketball on Monday, November 9, at Purcell Pavilion. As of 10:18 AM ET, Notre Dame are 28.5-point favorites and the total is 141.5. Prices come from 12 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated (just now) · from 12 sportsbooks · college basketball betting splits
DraftKings bettors lean Notre Dame on the spread (73% of tickets).
| Book | BetsE Illinois +28.5Notre Dame -28.5 | MoneyE Illinois +28.5Notre Dame -28.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsE Illinois (+5000)Notre Dame (-100000) | MoneyE Illinois (+5000)Notre Dame (-100000) |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsOver 141.5Under 141.5 | MoneyOver 141.5Under 141.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
Splits data from DraftKings. See every game's betting splits
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of trades since the market opened and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
| Market | Eastern Illinois Panthers | Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +28.5 -104Bet at Novig → exchange price | -28.5 +100Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Total 141.5 | O -104Bet at Novig → exchange price | U -104Bet at Novig → exchange price |
As of 10:18 AM ET, the spread is Notre Dame -28.5 and the total is 141.5, with 12 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Eastern Illinois ML | Notre Dame ML | Eastern Illinois spread | Notre Dame spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | +6746 | -16569 | +28.5 -110 | -28.5 -106 | O 141.5 -106 | U 141.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | +5000 | -100000 | +28.5 -112 | -28.5 -108 | O 141.5 -108 | U 141.5 -112 |
| Bally Bet | – | – | +28.5 -113 | -28.5 -108 | O 141.5 -113 | U 141.5 -107 |
| BetMGM | – | – | +28.5 -110 | -28.5 -110 | O 141.5 -105 | U 141.5 -115 |
| betPARX | – | – | +28.5 -113 | -28.5 -108 | O 141.5 -113 | U 141.5 -107 |
| BetRivers | – | – | +28.5 -114 | -28.5 -109 | O 141.5 -114 | U 141.5 -108 |
| Fanatics | +8000 | -50000 | +28.5 -110 | -28.5 -110 | – | – |
| FanDuel | – | – | +28.5 -104 | -28.5 -118 | O 141.5 -115 | U 141.5 -105 |
| Novig | – | – | +28.5 -104 | -28.5 +100 | O 141.5 -104 | U 141.5 -104 |
| ProphetX | – | – | +28.5 -104 | -28.5 -103 | O 141.5 -103 | U 141.5 -105 |
Prices from 12 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated (just now). Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Brady Koehler (ND)16.5 PPG (2 GP)
Tanner Vogel (EIU)9.5 PPG (2 GP)Twenty-eight and a half points. That is how much Notre Dame has to win by for its backers to cash, and that number has already climbed a full point since it opened. The Eastern Illinois Panthers arrive at Purcell Pavilion on the third stop of a road trip. The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are at home and rested. Eastern Illinois vs Notre Dame tips Monday at 7:00 PM ET on ACCNX. Nobody is really asking who wins this one. The bettor's question is by how much, and whether the price is fair.
Notre Dame is the heavy favorite. Both teams are only two games into the season. Notre Dame is 2-0 and Eastern Illinois is 0-2, which is far too few games to read as form. The last meeting came 363 days ago, and Notre Dame won. Our rating is an Elo model built on past results, and it is context, not a bet. It gives Notre Dame a 73% chance to win.
Over the last 10 stored games, Notre Dame scored 113.8 points per 100 possessions and Eastern Illinois scored 98.8. That stat measures scoring efficiency with the speed of play stripped out. Notre Dame also plays a bit faster, at 68.3 possessions per game to 65.8. The schedule adds to the gap. Eastern Illinois has two days of rest, traveled 273 miles from Iowa City and crossed one time zone east. Notre Dame has three days of rest and has not traveled at all.
Brady Koehler leads Notre Dame in our leader category at 8.3 per game over two games, a small sample. Tanner Vogel leads Eastern Illinois at 4.8 per game over two games, also a small sample. Two games tell us little. Minutes show more about who carries the load. For the Irish last game, Braeden Smith played 28, Braeden Shrewsberry 27 and Ethan Roberts 23. For the Panthers, Jaden Miller played 25 last game and 47 over the past seven days. Andrew Austin has played 41 over that stretch. Eastern Illinois has played two games in seven days, and Notre Dame has played one.
Our feed shows no moneyline (a straight bet on who wins) for this game. The point spread is a handicap. The +108 means a $100 bet profits $108.00. The -111 means you risk $100 to profit $90.09. The half point rules out a push (a tie on the spread that refunds your bet). The total of 141.5 is a bet on combined points.
The spread opened at Notre Dame -27.5. The total opened between 140.5 at DraftKings and 142.5 at Betparx. Hard Rock then moved it from 142.5 to 141.5, and three books followed. The public split shows 83% of DraftKings spread tickets and 100% of the money on the Irish. On Kalshi, 91% of moneyline money is on Notre Dame, over 175 trades and $4.7k traded.
The vig is the sportsbook's built-in cut. When you remove it, you get the market-implied probability, which is the market's own read. The break-even rate is how often a bet must win to stop losing money at its price. Notre Dame -28.5 at +108 breaks even at 48.1%, the lowest break-even on this board. The market's no-vig cover probability for that line is 48.8%. The Over projects to plus $0.44 and the Under to minus $2.87. The edge is real but thin.
The ticket needs 48.1% to break even, and the market's own no-vig number, 48.8%, clears that. The efficiency gap and the travel back it up. A thin edge calls for a small stake. Shop every book, because a worse price wipes this out quickly.
We see Notre Dame controlling the pace at home and pulling away from a tired road team. Our projection is Notre Dame 86, Eastern Illinois 55. That adds to 141 points, a hair under the 141.5 total, and the 31-point margin covers -28.5. It is a read, not a promise. That is our read on this number, and the Desk's documented free play for today sits right below.
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish College Basketball prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk.
Eastern Illinois vs Notre Dame airs on ACCNX. The game is played at Purcell Pavilion, Notre Dame's indoor home arena, and tips off Monday, November 9, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.
Notre Dame is the heavy favorite. The point spread is Notre Dame -28.5, so the Irish must win by 29 or more to cover. The spread opened at -27.5. Our Elo rating, used only as context, gives Notre Dame a 73% chance to win.
The game starts Monday, November 9, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET at Purcell Pavilion. It is broadcast on ACCNX. Eastern Illinois comes in on two days of rest, and Notre Dame on three.
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish College Basketball prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 141.5, with the over priced at -104 at Novig and the under at -104 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college basketball odds · FanDuel betting splits
Public is on Irish (83% of DraftKings tickets on the spread), DraftKings money is also on Irish (100%).
The spread opened Irish -27.5 and is now -28.5; the total moved from 140.5 to 141.5; several books (4) moved the total on under to 141.5 together.
On Kalshi, 91% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Notre Dame Fighting Irish (175 trades, $4.7k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 9, 7:59 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.