@
Grambling Tigers play at Texas Longhorns in the college basketball on Monday, November 9, at Moody Center. As of 10:54 AM ET, Texas are 36.5-point favorites and the total is 152.5. Prices come from 11 sportsbooks we track. The Desk leans Under 152.5. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated (5 min ago) · from 11 sportsbooks · college basketball betting splits
DraftKings bettors lean Texas on the spread (83% of tickets).
| Book | BetsGrambling +36.5Texas -36.5 | MoneyGrambling +36.5Texas -36.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsOver 153.5Under 153.5 | MoneyOver 153.5Under 153.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
Splits data from DraftKings. See every game's betting splits
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of trades since the market opened and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
| Market | Grambling Tigers | Texas Longhorns |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +36.5 +100Bet at Courtside → | -36.5 -110Bet at FanDuel → |
| Total 152.5 | O -115Bet at FanDuel → | U +116Bet at ProphetX → exchange price |
As of 10:54 AM ET, the spread is Texas -36.5 and the total is 152.5, with 11 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Grambling ML | Texas ML | Grambling spread | Texas spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | – | – | +36.5 -110 | -36.5 -110 | O 152.5 -118 | U 152.5 -103 |
| betPARX | – | – | +36.5 -110 | -36.5 -110 | O 152.5 -118 | U 152.5 -103 |
| BetRivers | – | – | +36.5 -112 | -36.5 -112 | O 152.5 -120 | U 152.5 -104 |
| Courtside | – | – | +36.5 +100 | -36.5 -116 | O 152.5 -118 | U 152.5 -108 |
| Fanatics | +10000 | -50000 | – | – | O 152.5 -115 | U 152.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | – | – | +36.5 -110 | -36.5 -110 | O 152.5 -115 | U 152.5 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | – | – | +36.5 -110 | -36.5 -110 | O 152.5 -120 | U 152.5 +100 |
| ProphetX | – | – | +36.5 +102 | -36.5 -118 | O 152.5 -119 | U 152.5 +116 |
| DraftKings | – | – | +36.5 -102 | -36.5 -118 | – | – |
| Novig | – | – | +36.5 +106 | -36.5 -111 | – | – |
Prices from 11 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated (5 min ago). Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Matas Vokietaitis (TEX)19.0 PPG (2 GP)
Isaiah Miranda (GRAM)29.0 PPG (1 GP)The books could not agree on how big a favorite Texas is. At the open, twelve sportsbooks posted spreads ranging from -37.5 at ESPN BET to -34.5 at FanDuel, a 3-point gap. Then the total climbed overnight, and that small move is where we found the only number worth a look. The Grambling Tigers visit the Texas Longhorns on Monday, November 9 at 7:00 PM ET at Moody Center, on SEC Network.
Texas is the clear favorite. It is very early, though. Grambling is one game into its season (1-0) and Texas is two games in (2-0), which is far too little to call form. Our rating, an Elo model built on stored results and used here only as context, gives Texas an 87% chance to win and Grambling 13%. Our tracked books posted no moneyline (a straight bet on who wins), so we have no market win percent to compare it with.
On the Kalshi exchange, 73% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Texas, but trading is light (186 trades, $3.2k), so that share can swing. On the schedule, Grambling has had 6 days of rest and traveled 1,023 miles from Rock Hill, crossing one time zone west. Texas has had 3 days of rest and is playing the third game of a home stand. Over their last 10 stored games, Grambling averaged 70 possessions (trips down the floor) and 101.2 points per 100 possessions. Texas averaged 68.7 possessions and 119.3 points per 100.
Grambling's Isaiah Miranda scored 29 points over one game, a small sample, and a recent headline put him front and center against Texas. For Texas, Matas Vokietaitis has 19 points over two games, or 9.5 per game, also a small sample. Neither line tells us much yet. The minutes are worth a glance: in their last game, no Texas player logged more than 23 minutes (Austin Goosby 23, Amari Evans 22, Isaiah Johnson 22), while Grambling leaned on Isaiah Howard (31), Dwayne Pierce (31) and Brandon Hardy (29).
The spread is a handicap. Grambling +35.5 at -108 (best at Courtside) wins if Grambling wins outright or loses by 35 or fewer. A price of -108 means you risk $100 to profit $92.59. Texas -35.5 at -105 (best at Hard Rock Bet) wins only if Texas wins by 36 or more. Risk $100, profit $95.24. The total is the combined score of both teams.
Over 152.5 sits at -108 at Courtside. Under 152.5 is +107 at ProphetX, meaning $100 risked profits $107. That total moved from 151.5 to 152.5: Caesars moved first at 3:34 AM ET and four more books followed within 10 minutes. That is a line move, nothing more. These are the Grambling vs Texas odds, and line shopping matters, because the extra cents are the vig (the bookmaker's built-in fee).
Break-even is how often a bet must win to stop losing money at that price. Expected value, or EV, is your average result per $100 risked over many tries. Removing the vig, the market rates each side of these lines at 50%. The Under at +107 is the one exception. That is an average, not what you collect on a win. The edge is thin, and the price is the entire case.
Under 152.5 at +107 on ProphetX. Under bettors want the highest total at the best price, so do not settle for 151.5 or a shorter price somewhere else.
For anyone searching a Texas vs Grambling prediction, here is our read: Texas 91, Grambling 58. That adds up to 149 points, 3.5 under the 152.5 total. We are not playing the spread, because both sides of it show negative expectation at the best prices. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Texas is a 35.5-point favorite, but the price we like is on the total: Under 152.5 at +107 on ProphetX.
Grambling vs Texas airs on SEC Network. The game tips at 7:00 PM ET on Monday, November 9, 2026, at Moody Center, with the Texas Longhorns hosting the Grambling Tigers.
Texas is the favorite. The best spread prices show Texas -35.5 at -105 (Hard Rock Bet) and Grambling +35.5 at -108 (Courtside). Our tracked books posted no moneyline. Our Elo rating, used only as context, gives Texas 87% and Grambling 13%.
The Grambling Tigers at Texas Longhorns game starts Monday, November 9, 2026, at 7:00 PM ET. It is played indoors at Moody Center and broadcast on SEC Network.
Texas is a 35.5-point favorite, but the price we like is on the total: Under 152.5 at +107 on ProphetX. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 152.5, with the over priced at -115 at FanDuel and the under at +116 at ProphetX. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college basketball odds · FanDuel betting splits
Several books (5) moved the total on over to 152.5 together.
On Kalshi, 73% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Texas Longhorns (186 trades, $3.2k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. On ProphetX, 51% of the money traded on the total is on the Over (35 trades, $550 traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 9, 6:40 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.