Alabama A&M vs DePaul Prediction: The Total That Fell 32 Points
The total on this game opened at 170.5 and now sits at 138.5. That is a 32-point slide across four moves. The market's first guess and its current guess are nowhere near each other. Meanwhile the spread drifted the other way, from DePaul -21.5 to -22.5. So when the Alabama A&M Bulldogs visit the DePaul Blue Demons, the number itself is the story, and shopping for the best price matters more than usual.
Who Is Favored to Win Alabama A&M vs DePaul?
DePaul, by a lot. Both teams are 2-0, but that is two games into the season, far too early to call it form. This non-conference game tips Monday, November 9, at 9:00 PM ET at Wintrust Arena on truTV. DePaul has 3 days of rest, zero travel, and is playing game 3 of a home stand. Alabama A&M has 2 days of rest and traveled 495 miles, with no time-zone change.
Our rating, an Elo model built on stored results, gives DePaul a 64% chance to win and Alabama A&M 36%. That is context only, and it reads closer than a 22.5-point spread suggests. On Kalshi, an exchange where people trade with each other instead of a sportsbook, 95% of the money traded on the moneyline is on DePaul (125 trades, $3.8k traded). Light trading, so that share can swing.
Players to Watch
DePaul's leader line belongs to Magoon Gwath at 13.0 over two games, or 6.5 per game. Alabama A&M's is Jalen Carruth at 16.0 over two games, 8 per game. Both are small samples, so treat them as names to know, not trends. Minutes tell you more. DePaul leaned hard on Noah Meeusen (36 last game), Ade Popoola (34) and Kruz McClure (29). Alabama A&M spread it out: Sami Pissis played 25, with Devin Brown and Carruth at 21 each. Over their last 10 stored games, Alabama A&M averaged 69 possessions per game and 116.4 points per 100 possessions. DePaul played slower, at 66.7 possessions and 102.6 points per 100.
What Is the Alabama A&M vs DePaul Spread?
No moneyline (a bet on who simply wins) is posted, so the spread and total carry the Alabama A&M vs DePaul odds. The spread is a handicap. DePaul -22.5 wins only if DePaul wins by 23 or more; a 22-point win loses. Alabama A&M +22.5 wins if Alabama A&M wins outright or loses by 22 or fewer. The half point means no push (a tie that refunds your bet). The total is 138.5 combined points.
Where the Value Is
Books bake in a fee called the vig. Strip it out and you get the no-vig number, the market's implied probability without the fee. Here it is 50% on both spread sides and both totals. Expected value is what a bet averages per $100 risked if you made it many times. Alabama A&M +22.5 at -106 averages minus $2.83. Each total averages minus $3.70. So this is a matchup lean, not a value play.
The Pick
The market's 50% no-vig cover read matches the 50% break-even; it does not beat it. We like DePaul's rest edge and home stand against a team coming off a 495-mile trip, and we refuse to pay extra vig to back it. If DePaul vs Alabama A&M moves to -23.5 or a worse price where you bet, the case thins fast.
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The Prediction
We see DePaul controlling a slower game and pulling away late: DePaul 80, Alabama A&M 56. That is a 24-point margin, enough to cover -22.5, and it adds up to 136 points, under the 138.5 total, though at -108 on both sides we are passing on the total. That is our read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Alabama Am vs DePaul FAQ
Who is favored in Alabama Am vs DePaul?
DePaul -22.5 at even money on Novig is the only ticket on this board that costs nothing against the market's own read, and that is where we lean.
What time is the Alabama A&M vs DePaul game?
The game tips off Monday, November 9, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET at Wintrust Arena. It is a non-conference matchup between the Alabama A&M Bulldogs and the DePaul Blue Demons, broadcast on truTV.
Who will win DePaul vs Alabama Am?
DePaul -22.5 at even money on Novig is the only ticket on this board that costs nothing against the market's own read, and that is where we lean. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
What is the total (over/under) for Alabama Am vs DePaul?
The total is 139.5, with the over priced at -110 at Hard Rock Bet and the under at -105 at FanDuel. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Are these College Basketball picks free?
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
How does the Wise Guy Desk find value in College Basketball games?
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
Quick answers
Where has the Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs DePaul Blue Demons line moved?
The spread opened Demons -21.5 and is now -22.5; the total moved from 170.5 to 138.5; several books (7) moved the total on under to 138.5 together.
Where is the money on the exchanges for Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs DePaul Blue Demons?
On Kalshi, 95% of the money traded on the moneyline is on DePaul Blue Demons (125 trades, $3.8k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 9, 7:19 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.