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Chance to win, per the betting market (vig removed)
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Players to watch
Kenyon Giles (WICH)16.0 PPG (3 GP)
Zyree Collins (APSU)18.3 PPG (3 GP)How to read this: "chance to win per the betting market" comes from the actual odds with the sportsbook's built-in fee (the vig) stripped out, the market's honest opinion of the game.
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moneyline bet is picking who wins, nothing else. In this game, +614 means a $100 bet profits $614 if it wins. The
spread is a head start: -7.5 must win by 8+, while +7.5 cashes by losing by 7 or fewer (or winning). The
total is combined points by both teams, over or under the books' number.
+EV means the price pays better than the market-implied fair odds (vig removed); consistently taking better prices raises your expected return over time. Learn free:
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Who Is Favored to Win Austin Peay vs Wichita State?
Wichita State is the clear favorite. Both teams are 2-1 as of publication, but it is only three games into the season. That is far too few games to call anything form. Austin Peay arrives with three days of rest after traveling 556 miles, with no time-zone change. Wichita State has two days of rest and plays game two of a home stand. Neither team is on a back-to-back. Our rating's 71% is context only, not a bet. It simply shows the market is more bullish on the home side than a results-only model.
Players to Watch
Zyree Collins leads Austin Peay at 18.3 points per game over three games, a small sample. Kenyon Giles leads Wichita State at 16.0 points per game over three games, also a small sample. As teams, the Shockers are hitting 48.33% from three per game over three games, while the Governors are forcing 20 turnovers per game over three games. Those numbers jump off the page, but three games is a tiny window. We note them. We do not bet on them.
What Is the Austin Peay vs Wichita State Spread and Odds?
Start with the moneyline, a bet on who wins outright. Wichita State is -646 at Courtside, so a $100 bet profits $15.48 if the Shockers win. The spread is a bet on the margin. Austin Peay +12.5 wins if the Governors win or lose by 12 or fewer. Wichita State -12.5 wins only by 13 or more.
Both sides cost -108 at Courtside, meaning a $100 bet profits $92.59, with a break-even (the win rate needed to not lose money long term) of 51.9%. The total, a bet on combined points, is 153.5, with Over and Under each -108 at Courtside. Seven books opened that total between 152.5 (FanDuel) and 153.5 (DraftKings). Shopping across books is how you get the best number, every time.
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Austin Peay vs Wichita State FAQ
Who is favored in Austin Peay vs Wichita State?
Wichita State is the market favorite at -646 (best price at Courtside) on the moneyline, with Austin Peay at +614. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Who will win Wichita State vs Austin Peay?
A 12.5-point spread, a 153.5 total, and a big gap between the market and our rating make Austin Peay vs Wichita State a numbers game worth reading closely. Wise Guy Team has an official play on this game. Members see it on their board.
What is the total (over/under) for Austin Peay vs Wichita State?
The total is 153.5, with the over priced at -108 at Courtside and the under at -108 at Courtside. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Are these College Basketball picks free?
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
How does the Wise Guy Desk find value in College Basketball games?
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.