Central Michigan vs Northern Kentucky Prediction (Nov 14) | WGT
The Wise Guy Desk · College Basketball
Central Michigan Chippewas logo@Northern Kentucky Norse logo

Central Michigan vs Northern Kentucky Prediction (Nov 14)

Quick answer
Central Michigan Chippewas vs Northern Kentucky Norse starts Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET at Truist Arena. Listed numbers: spread Norse -3.5, total 162.5 and moneyline +143 / -163 (away / home). The Desk's lean: best price now Central Michigan Chippewas +143 at Courtside, Northern Kentucky Norse -163 at Courtside (as of 7:36 PM ET).
From the numbers on this page, compiled by the Wise Guy Desk. Page content last changed November 11, 2026.
Central Michigan Chippewas vs Northern Kentucky Norse: We lean Northern Kentucky on its home floor, but only at the best moneyline price a number. · Truist Arena
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Who will win Central Michigan vs Northern Kentucky?

Central Michigan Chippewas play at Northern Kentucky Norse in college basketball on Saturday, November 14, at Truist Arena. As of 7:36 PM ET, Northern Kentucky are 3.5-point favorites and the total is 162.5. Prices come from 9 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.

Prices updated · from 9 sportsbooks · college basketball betting splits

Chippewas vs Norse: line and start time right now

Line
spread Norse -3.5; total 162.5; moneyline Chippewas +140, Norse -170 (consensus of 9 sportsbooks) updated
Start
updated
The lean: best price now Central Michigan Chippewas +143 at Courtside, Northern Kentucky Norse -163 at Courtside (as of 7:36 PM ET)
SpreadNorse -3.5
Total162.5
Moneyline, away / home+143 / -163
Tip-offSat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET
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Exchange buyers: Central Michigan Chippewas at Northern Kentucky Norse

Kalshi and Polymarket list this game, but not enough has traded yet to show the buyers (we show markets with at least 10 trades and $500 traded).

Polymarket US: prices only

Polymarket US lists moneyline for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.

  • Moneyline: Chippewas 37% chance (price only)

Central Michigan Chippewas vs Northern Kentucky Norse: odds, trends and our lean

📊 Best prices from the regulated US sportsbooks we track Live prices as of 7:36 PM ET · Line shopping can improve your price
MarketCentral Michigan ChippewasNorthern Kentucky Norse
Moneyline+143Bet at Courtside →-163Bet at Courtside →
Spread+3.5 -108Bet at Courtside →-3.5 -105Bet at Fanatics →
Total 162.5O -108Bet at Courtside →U -105Bet at BetMGM →

What are the odds for Central Michigan vs Northern Kentucky at each sportsbook?

As of 7:36 PM ET, the spread is Northern Kentucky -3.5 and the total is 162.5, with 9 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.

SportsbookCentral Michigan MLNorthern Kentucky MLCentral Michigan spreadNorthern Kentucky spreadOverUnder
BetMGM+140-170+3.5 -110-3.5 -110O 162.5 -115U 162.5 -105
Courtside+143-163+3.5 -108-3.5 -108O 162.5 -108U 162.5 -108
DraftKings+140-166+3.5 -110-3.5 -110O 162.5 -110U 162.5 -110
Caesars––+3.5 -110-3.5 -110O 162.5 -110U 162.5 -110
Fanatics+135-165+3.5 -115-3.5 -105––
FanDuel+142-172+3.5 -110-3.5 -110––
ProphetX+127-184+3.5 -110-3.5 -106––
theScore Bet––+3.5 -110-3.5 -110O 162.5 -110U 162.5 -110
Novig+138-170––––

Prices from 9 sportsbooks we track, updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.

📊 Team Breakdown real data · updated daily
Season win %
Central Michigan Chippewas
100%
Northern Kentucky Norse
50%
Chance to win, per the betting market (vig removed)

Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →

Players to watch
Willie FosterWillie Foster (NKU)18.5 PPG (4 GP)
Phat Phat BrooksPhat Phat Brooks (CMU)19.0 PPG (3 GP)
How to read this: "chance to win per the betting market" comes from the actual odds with the sportsbook's built-in fee (the vig) stripped out, the market's honest opinion of the game.
🛈 Wise Guy Desk analysis - not an official play. A free breakdown to help you find value and bet the best number. Ross's documented plays are graded win or loss on the members board.
📘 New to betting? Two-minute translation. A moneyline bet is picking who wins, nothing else. In this game, +143 means a $100 bet profits $143 if it wins. The spread is a head start: -7.5 must win by 8+, while +7.5 cashes by losing by 7 or fewer (or winning). The total is combined points by both teams, over or under the books' number. +EV means the price pays better than the market-implied fair odds (vig removed); consistently taking better prices raises your expected return over time. Learn free: Sports Betting 101 · Odds converter · No-vig calculator

Prices are posted now. Best prices as of 7:36 PM ET: Central Michigan Chippewas +143 at Courtside, Northern Kentucky Norse -163 at Courtside. The full best-price table sits at the top of this page.

A Rating and a Box Score That Disagree

Our rating makes Northern Kentucky a 69% favorite. The early box scores point the other way: Central Michigan is shooting 52.67% from the field per game over three games. That gap is the whole puzzle on Saturday, and no sportsbook has posted a number yet to settle it.

The Matchup: Northern Kentucky vs Central Michigan

The Central Michigan Chippewas visit the Northern Kentucky Norse at Truist Arena on Saturday, November 14, at 3:30 PM ET, streaming on ESPN+. As of November 11, Central Michigan is 3-0 and Northern Kentucky is 2-2. That is only three and four games into the season, far too early to call either record form. The last meeting came 359 days ago, last season, and Northern Kentucky won it. Rest is even. Both teams get three days off and neither is on a back-to-back. Central Michigan travels 316 miles with no time-zone change. Northern Kentucky comes home 310 miles from its last game in St.

Louis, crossing one time zone east. Pace means possessions per game, or how many trips down the floor a team gets. Over the last 10 stored games, Central Michigan averages 68.5 possessions and 113.8 points per 100 possessions. Northern Kentucky averages 73.7 possessions and 112 points per 100. Those scoring rates are close. The early per-game averages are not. Central Michigan holds opponents to 41.67% shooting over three games. Northern Kentucky allows 51.5% shooting and 48 paint points, and commits 18.25 turnovers per game, over four games. Those samples are tiny and against early-season opponents, so we treat them as noise until proven otherwise.

Players to Watch

Phat Phat Brooks leads Central Michigan at 19.0 points per game over three games, a small sample. Over his last five games he averages 16.4 points (15.1 over his last 10), with 29.6 minutes per game, and he played a team-high 32 minutes last game. Keenan Garner and Jalen Kampen each logged 26 minutes last game. For Northern Kentucky, Willie Foster averages 18.5 points per game across all four of the team's games. B.J. Davis-Ray carried the heaviest load last game at 34 minutes.

Central Michigan vs Northern Kentucky Odds: Who Is Favored?

When they arrive, you will see three main bets. The moneyline is a straight bet on who wins. The spread is a handicap: the favorite must win by more than the number, while the underdog can lose by less and still cash. The total, or over-under, is a bet on combined points.

Northern Kentucky's betting record so far: 2-2 against the spread (meaning versus the handicap) in four graded games, 1-2 against the spread on the road, 1-2 as an underdog, and the over hit in all four of its games. Our rating gives Northern Kentucky 69% and Central Michigan 31%, built on 71 and 65 rated games. That is context, not a bet., prices will differ across books, and grabbing the best one is extra value you keep.

Where the Value Is

Sportsbooks build in a fee called the vig, so both sides' implied chances add up to more than 100%. Strip it out and you get the no-vig number, the market's own estimate with the fee removed. Expected value asks one question: if you risked $100 on this bet many times, would you average a profit or a loss? You only profit long term when your price beats the no-vig number. Our side is Northern Kentucky, a matchup lean built on the home floor, even rest, last season's win in this matchup and near-identical scoring rates per 100 possessions, where home court tips it.

The Pick

Northern Kentucky moneyline, price and book to be determined. If no price clears that bar, passing is a smart bet too.

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The Prediction

We see Northern Kentucky pushing the pace at home and holding on late, Northern Kentucky 77, Central Michigan 73, 150 total points. The turnover issue is the risk on our side, so size it small. the Desk's documented free daily play sits right below if you want another angle on today's card.

Central Michigan vs Northern Kentucky FAQ

Who is favored in Central Michigan vs Northern Kentucky?

Northern Kentucky is the market favorite at -163 (best price at Courtside) on the moneyline, with Central Michigan at +143. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.

Where to watch Central Michigan vs Northern Kentucky?

Central Michigan vs Northern Kentucky streams on ESPN+. The game is played indoors at Truist Arena, home of the Northern Kentucky Norse, on Saturday, November 14, 2026, with tipoff set for 3:30 PM Eastern time.

What time is the Central Michigan vs Northern Kentucky game?

The Central Michigan Chippewas and Northern Kentucky Norse tip off Saturday, November 14, 2026, at 3:30 PM Eastern time at Truist Arena. Both teams enter on three days of rest, and neither is playing on a back-to-back.

Who is favored to win Central Michigan vs Northern Kentucky?

Sportsbooks had not posted odds as of November 11. Our rating, an Elo model used only as context, gives Northern Kentucky a 69% chance to win and Central Michigan 31%. Check every book once lines open to find the best available price.

Who will win Northern Kentucky vs Central Michigan?

We lean Northern Kentucky on its home floor, but only at the best moneyline price a number. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.

What is the total (over/under) for Central Michigan vs Northern Kentucky?

The total is 162.5, with the over priced at -108 at Courtside and the under at -105 at BetMGM. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.

Are these College Basketball picks free?

Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.

How does the Wise Guy Desk find value in College Basketball games?

Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.

This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.

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