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Colorado Buffaloes play at Providence Friars in college basketball on Saturday, November 14, at Amica Mutual Pavilion. As of 7:34 PM ET, Providence are 9.5-point favorites and the total is 152.5. Prices come from 8 sportsbooks we track. The Desk leans Over 152.5. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 8 sportsbooks · college basketball betting splits
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket US lists moneyline for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.
| Market | Colorado Buffaloes | Providence Friars |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +375Bet at BetMGM → | -475Bet at Fanatics → |
| Spread | +9.5 -105Bet at BetMGM → | -9.5 -108Bet at Courtside → |
| Total 152.5 | O -110Bet at theScore Bet → | U +100Bet at ProphetX → exchange price |
As of 7:34 PM ET, the spread is Providence -9.5 and the total is 152.5, with 8 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Colorado ML | Providence ML | Colorado spread | Providence spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | +300 | -610 | +9.5 -107 | -9.5 -109 | O 152.5 -122 | U 152.5 +100 |
| BetMGM | +375 | -500 | +9.5 -105 | -9.5 -115 | – | – |
| FanDuel | +365 | -490 | +9.5 -110 | -9.5 -110 | – | – |
| Novig | +413 | -525 | – | – | O 152.5 -122 | U 152.5 -115 |
| theScore Bet | – | – | +9.5 -110 | -9.5 -110 | O 152.5 -110 | U 152.5 -110 |
| Courtside | – | – | +9.5 -108 | -9.5 -108 | – | – |
| DraftKings | – | – | +9.5 -110 | -9.5 -110 | – | – |
| Fanatics | +360 | -475 | – | – | – | – |
Prices from 8 sportsbooks we track, updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Malik Mack (PROV)13.0 PPG (3 GP)
Barrington Hargress (COLO)20.0 PPG (3 GP)The spread on this game has not moved since it opened. The total has climbed two full points. That split is the most interesting thing on the Colorado vs Providence board. The Colorado Buffaloes fly 1,760 miles and cross two time zones east to face the Providence Friars at Amica Mutual Pavilion on Saturday, November 14, with tip-off at 6:00 PM ET.
Providence vs Colorado streams on Peacock. Both teams are 2-1 as of Friday. That is only three games into the season, far too early to call anything form. The last meeting came 365 days ago, and Providence lost it. Rest is even. Each side has had three days off, and neither is on a back-to-back.
Providence is playing game two of a home stand and has played twice in the last seven days. Colorado has played once. Against the spread (whether a team beat the betting margin), Providence is 0-3 and Colorado is 1-2, each over three graded games. Those samples are too tiny to lean on. Our rating, an Elo model built on stored results, gives Providence 62% to win. That is context only.
Barrington Hargress leads Colorado at 20.0 points per game over three games, a small sample. He played 35 minutes last game, the most on his team. Malik Mack leads Providence at 13.0 points per game over three games, also a small sample, and logged 32 minutes last game. Miles Byrd carried the heaviest Providence load last game at 37 minutes. A Friday headline also noted Vanterpool leading Providence after a 21-point performance.
Providence is the clear favorite. The moneyline (a bet on who wins outright) has the Friars at -475, best at Fanatics. A $100 bet there profits $21.05 if Providence wins. Colorado is +365 at FanDuel, so $100 risked profits $365 if the Buffaloes win. The point spread (a handicap on the margin) is Providence -9.5 at -108 at Courtside. The Friars must win by 10 or more. Colorado +9.5 at -105 at Fanatics wins if the Buffaloes win outright or lose by nine or fewer.
The half point means no push (a tie that refunds your stake). The total (combined points by both teams) is 152.5 at FanDuel, with Over and Under each at -110. The consensus total opened at 152.5 and now sits at 154.5 after three moves. At the open, six books ranged from 152 at Fanatics to 154.5 at ESPN BET. That spread of numbers is why you shop. On Kalshi, an exchange, 96% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Colorado, but that is only 26 trades and $530, so it can swing.
Every price carries vig (the book's built-in fee). Remove it and the market reads Providence about 81.5% to win, Colorado 18.5%. Colorado at +365 has a break-even of 21.5% (the win rate where you neither gain nor lose over time). Both spreads carry a 50% no-vig cover read. Not one side shows a positive number. So we look at the total, where the edge is the number itself.
FanDuel still hangs 152.5 while the consensus sits at 154.5. Tempo backs points. Over the last 10 stored games, Colorado has played at 71.8 possessions per game and scored 113.2 points per 100 possessions, while Providence sits at 69.9 and 109.1. There is no no-vig percent for the total, so this is a matchup lean, not a proven edge.
We lean Over 152.5 at -110 at FanDuel. It wins if the teams combine for 153 or more points. A $100 bet profits $90.91 when it wins and loses $100 when it does not, with a break-even of 52.4%. This is Desk analysis, not an official play. Those two points below the 154.5 consensus are the whole reason to play it at FanDuel. At 154.5 you are paying for a worse number.
We expect two teams that like to run to keep the scoreboard busy, with the Providence Friars holding serve at home and the Colorado Buffaloes staying within range. Our projection is Providence 81, Colorado 76. That adds up to 157 points, over the 152.5 total, and a five-point Providence win. That is our read on this number. The Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Providence is the market favorite at -475 (best price at Fanatics) on the moneyline, with Colorado at +375. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Colorado vs Providence streams on Peacock. The game tips off Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET from Amica Mutual Pavilion, home of the Providence Friars, with the Colorado Buffaloes traveling 1,760 miles to play.
The Providence Friars are favored. The best moneyline is Providence -475 at Fanatics against Colorado +365 at FanDuel. The point spread is Providence -9.5, and with the vig removed the market reads it about 81.5% Providence to 18.5% Colorado.
The Colorado Buffaloes and Providence Friars tip off Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET at Amica Mutual Pavilion. The game streams on Peacock. Both teams come in on three days of rest, and neither is on a back-to-back.
Providence is the heavy favorite, but our lean is the Over 152.5 at FanDuel while the market has moved to 154.5. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 152.5, with the over priced at -110 at theScore Bet and the under at +100 at ProphetX. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college basketball odds · FanDuel betting splits
The spread has held at Friars -9.5 since it opened; the total moved from 152.5 to 154.5.
On Kalshi, 96% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Colorado Buffaloes (26 trades, $530 traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 13, 6:26 PM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
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