📊 Match Breakdown archived pregame data
Chance of each result, per the betting market (vig removed)
Form, last 5 matches (W win · D draw · L loss)
Ivory CoastWLWWW
NorwayLWWDWHow to read this: the result probabilities come from the actual betting odds with the sportsbook's built-in fee (the vig) stripped out, the market's honest opinion. Soccer has THREE outcomes, and the draw is priced like a real contender, not an afterthought.
📘 New to soccer betting? The one rule that surprises everyone. Soccer uses a
three-way moneyline: you bet Ivory Coast win, Norway win, or the draw, settled after 90 minutes plus stoppage. Unlike American sports, a tie does NOT refund your bet, a draw beats BOTH win bets. In this match, Ivory Coast at +260 means a $100 bet profits $260. The
total is combined goals by both teams, usually set at 2.5.
+EV means the price pays better than the market-implied fair odds (vig removed). Learn free:
Sports Betting 101 ·
Odds converter ·
No-vig calculator
The Hook
Two teams arrive in Texas playing some of their best soccer. One is the market's clear favorite. The other has won four of its last five. The World Cup does not wait for anyone, and a single result here can shape who advances and who flies home.
The Matchup
Ivory Coast comes in on a strong run, with a last-five form line of WLWWW. Read that newest-first: four wins in five, with only one loss mixed in. Norway counters with LWWDW, which is three wins, one draw, and one loss. Both are in good rhythm. This is a World Cup group-stage type clash where every point matters, because finishing tables and goal differential decide who survives.
How World Cup Betting Works
Soccer does not use a two-way line like most American sports. It uses a three-way moneyline: home win, away win, or draw, all measured at the end of 90 minutes. That third option is the trap for new bettors. If you back Norway at +115 and the game ends level, your bet does not push or refund. It simply loses. The same is true if you back Ivory Coast and the score is tied at the whistle. A draw is its own outcome, and it beats both win tickets. So when you bet a side, you are really betting that one specific team wins in regulation, nothing else.
The Numbers
Here is the best price at each outcome after shopping the regulated US sportsbooks we track. Ivory Coast to win is +260, best at FanDuel, meaning a $100 bet returns $260 in profit. The draw is +240, best at BetRivers. Norway to win is +115, best at DraftKings, where you risk $100 to win $115. Always grab these top numbers. A +260 instead of +250 elsewhere costs nothing extra and compounds over time. On the total, Over 2.5 goals is -118 at BetRivers and Under 2.5 is -105 at BetMGM, a near coin flip the market sees as a tight, mid-scoring game.
Conditions
The match is at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. This is a neutral host venue, so neither side gets a true home crowd, which slightly levels the playing field in a spot the market already treats as close.
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Ivory Coast vs Norway FAQ
Who is favored in Ivory Coast vs Norway?
Norway is the slight market favorite at +115 (best price at DraftKings) on the moneyline, with Ivory Coast at +260. The draw is priced at +240. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Can you bet on a draw in the World Cup?
Yes. Soccer's standard bet is the three-way moneyline: home win, away win, or draw in 90 minutes. The draw is a real, often valuable outcome, and a draw makes both win bets lose, which is the biggest adjustment for bettors coming from American sports.
Are these World Cup picks free?
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.