Exchange buyers: which side buyers took (Kalshi, Polymarket, Novig, ProphetX)
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
How to read these numbers
Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of trades since the market opened and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Kalshi
Match result$900 traded · 43 trades
TorinoDrawFrosinone
Trades
Money
Light trading: $900 so far, percentages can swingPolymarket
Match result$563 traded · 20 trades
TorinoDrawFrosinone
Trades
Money
Light trading: $563 so far, percentages can swingFrosinone vs Torino: odds, trends and our lean
📊 Match odds, best prices from the US sportsbooks we track Live prices as of 6:22 AM ET · 3-way moneyline · 90 minutes
| Frosinone win | Draw | Torino win |
|---|---|---|
| +115Bet at theScore Bet → | +300Bet at Fanatics → | +210Bet at BetRivers → |
| Total goals 3.5: O +105 (BetRivers) · U -113 (Kalshi) | ||
📊 Match Breakdown real data · updated daily
Chance of each result, per the betting market (vig removed)
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Form, last 5 matches (W win · D draw · L loss)
FrosinoneDDWLW
TorinoDWWWDSerie A table
| Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internazionale | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 |
| Lazio | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 |
| AS Roma | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21 |
| Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 |
| AC Milan | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 |
| Frosinone | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
How to read this: the result probabilities come from the actual betting odds with the sportsbook's built-in fee (the vig) stripped out. Soccer has THREE outcomes, and the draw is priced like a real contender, not an afterthought.
🛈 Wise Guy Desk analysis - not an official play. A free breakdown to help you find value and bet the best number. Ross's documented plays are graded win or loss on the members board.
📘 New to soccer betting? The one rule that surprises everyone. Soccer uses a three-way moneyline: you bet Frosinone win, Torino win, or the draw, settled after 90 minutes plus stoppage. Unlike American sports, a tie does NOT refund your bet, a draw beats BOTH win bets. In this match, Frosinone at +115 means a $100 bet profits $115. The total is combined goals by both teams, usually set at 2.5. +EV means the price pays better than the market-implied fair odds (vig removed). Learn free: Sports Betting 101 · Odds converter · No-vig calculator
Torino vs Frosinone Prediction: The Newcomer Wears the Favorite Tag
Frosinone Calcio came up from Serie B this season and is 8-1 against the spread (beating the betting handicap) across 9 graded games. Now the market makes the newcomer a 45% shot to beat Torino FC. When a promoted club gets priced like a contender, the real question is whether the number has caught up to the hype or run past it.
How Do Frosinone and Torino Stack Up?
Frosinone sits 6th of 20 with 17 points from 9 matches and a +8 goal difference. It scores 2.44 goals and allows 1.56 per match. Its league form reads WDWLW, newest first. Torino is 9th with 13 points from 9 matches and an even goal difference, scoring and conceding 1.6 per match over 10. Its league form reads LWWWD. Frosinone is 5-0 against the spread at home. Torino is 3-1 on the road. In per-game averages, Frosinone fires 19.11 shots but allows 19.33. Torino takes 10.67 and allows 19. Torino has a 7-2 over-under record (9 games).
How Does Soccer Betting Work? Meet the Draw
An NFL moneyline (a straight bet on who wins) has two sides. Soccer has three: Frosinone, Torino or a draw, settled after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No overtime, no shootout. If this ends 1-1, every Frosinone ticket loses and every Torino ticket loses. Only the draw cashes, and at +300 a $100 bet profits $300. Backing a team means betting against two outcomes, not one. That is why soccer favorites often carry plus prices.
Who Is Favored to Win Frosinone vs Torino?
Frosinone. A plus number shows profit on a $100 bet. Frosinone +115 is best at theScore Bet, paying $115. The draw +300 is best at Fanatics. Torino +233 is best at Polymarket, paying $233. Convert those to percentages and they total about 101.5%. The extra is the vig, the book's built-in fee.
Strip it out and the market reads Frosinone 45%, draw 24%, Torino 31%. The 3.5 goal total shows Over +105 (BetRivers) and Under -135 (BetMGM), where -135 means risking $135 to win $100. Our rating, an Elo model on stored results, has Frosinone 65% and Torino 35% with no draw, but it has rated only 9 Frosinone games. It is context only.
Where the Value Is
Expected value (EV) is what a bet earns on average over many repeats. Torino flips it. Small, but positive. Take +220 at another book and it turns negative. That is line shopping in one sentence.
Where to Watch Frosinone vs Torino and What Time It Starts
Kickoff is Sunday, November 1 at 9:00 AM ET on Paramount+, at Stadio Benito Stirpe in Frosinone. The forecast is 53 F with a 4 mph wind from the ESE, so weather is a non-factor. Frosinone plays game 2 of a home stand on 2 days of rest. Torino has 4 days of rest after a 369-mile trip with no time-zone change.
The Pick
Torino to win at +233, best at Polymarket. This is a price bet. Frosinone wins this game more often than Torino, and we are not arguing otherwise. We are saying +233 pays more than Torino's chances justify. Two extra days of rest help the case.
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The Prediction
Frosinone's attack is legit, but a defense allowing 19.33 shots per game invites trouble, and Torino arrives fresher. Our Frosinone vs Torino prediction is Torino 2-1. Treat it as a thin edge and size it small. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play every day, and it sits right below.
More Serie A matchups
Frosinone vs Torino FAQ
Who is favored in Frosinone vs Torino?
Frosinone is the slight market favorite at +115 (best price at theScore Bet) on the moneyline, with Torino at +210. The draw is priced at +300. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Where to watch Frosinone vs Torino?
Frosinone vs Torino streams on Paramount+. Kickoff is Sunday, November 1 at 9:00 AM ET at Stadio Benito Stirpe in Frosinone, Italy, as part of the Serie A schedule.
Who is favored to win Frosinone vs Torino?
Frosinone is favored. The best prices we track are Frosinone +115 at theScore Bet, the draw +300 at Fanatics and Torino +233 at Polymarket. The market's no-vig read gives Frosinone 45%, the draw 24% and Torino 31%.
What time is the Frosinone vs Torino game?
The match kicks off Sunday, November 1 at 9:00 AM ET and airs on Paramount+. The kickoff forecast at Stadio Benito Stirpe is 53 F with a 4 mph wind from the ESE.
Can you bet on a draw in Serie A?
Yes. Soccer's standard bet is the three-way moneyline: home win, away win, or draw in 90 minutes. The draw is a real, often valuable outcome, and a draw makes both win bets lose, which is the biggest adjustment for bettors coming from American sports.
Are these Serie A picks free?
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
More for this game: Soccer betting splits · DraftKings betting splits