The side the money favored (money share 8+ points ahead of its ticket share) went 16-20 (44.4% winners) across 36 graded games. In the 36 games where most tickets were on the other side, fading the public went 16-20 and following the public went 20-16. The most-bet sides (65%+ of tickets) went 22-7. One week is a small sample; it shows what happened, not what will happen.

Units: moneylines only, at the price in the snapshot, one unit per game. Spreads and totals are graded win, loss or push with no units, because the snapshot records the line, not a price. "Split games" means most tickets sat on the other side of the money. Records only for following the public, because the other side's moneyline price was not logged.

Where the money and the tickets split

Every game and market where the money share ran 8+ points ahead of the ticket share in the last snapshot before the game (37).
Game date	Game	Market	Side	Tickets	Money	Final	Result
Oct 26	NHL · Kings @ Rangers	Total	Under U 6	29%	94%	Kings 6, Rangers 3	Lost
Oct 26	NBA · Pacers @ Bucks	Moneyline	Bucks +153	22%	83%	Pacers 102, Bucks 110	Won
Oct 26	MLB · Brewers @ Rays	Spread	Brewers -1.5	41%	99%	Brewers 10, Rays 1	Won
Oct 27	CFB · Delaware @ Western Kentucky	Total	Under U 56.5	33%	92%	Delaware 35, Western Kentucky 21	Won
Oct 27	NBA · Kings @ Spurs	Moneyline	Kings +1150	20%	92%	Kings 103, Spurs 130	Lost
Oct 28	CFB · Kennesaw State @ Middle Tennessee	Total	Under U 50.5	29%	91%	Kennesaw State 44, Middle Tennessee 28	Lost
Oct 28	NBA · Warriors @ Timberwolves	Spread	Warriors +3.5	33%	100%	Warriors 119, Timberwolves 114	Won
Oct 28	NHL · Devils @ Avalanche	Total	Over O 6	33%	100%	Devils 2, Avalanche 5	Won
Oct 29	NHL · Capitals @ Predators	Total	Under U 6.5	33%	89%	Capitals 4, Predators 3	Lost
Oct 29	NHL · Islanders @ Wild	Moneyline	Islanders +174	17%	69%	Islanders 4, Wild 3	Won
Oct 29	NHL · Senators @ Kings	Total	Over O 6	33%	89%	Senators 5, Kings 6	Won
Oct 30	NHL · Jets @ Panthers	Moneyline	Jets +200	33%	94%	Jets 2, Panthers 5	Lost
Oct 30	CFB · Baylor @ UCF	Total	Under U 48.5	22%	83%	Baylor 41, UCF 9	Lost
Oct 30	NBA · Rockets @ Mavericks	Total	Over O 226.5	25%	90%	Rockets 111, Mavericks 116	Won
Oct 31	CFB · Notre Dame @ Navy	Moneyline	Navy +3604	11%	88%	Notre Dame 35, Navy 13	Lost
Oct 31	CFB · Arizona @ Texas Tech	Spread	Arizona +4.5	25%	99%	Arizona 26, Texas Tech 34	Lost
Oct 31	CFB · Arizona @ Texas Tech	Total	Under U 54.5	42%	94%	Arizona 26, Texas Tech 34	Lost
Oct 31	CFB · Wisconsin @ Iowa	Moneyline	Iowa -153	45%	97%	Wisconsin 0, Iowa 30	Won
Oct 31	CFB · Auburn @ Mississippi	Moneyline	Auburn +441	9%	76%	Auburn 15, Mississippi 45	Lost
Oct 31	CFB · Auburn @ Mississippi	Spread	Auburn +13.5	36%	95%	Auburn 15, Mississippi 45	Lost
Oct 31	NHL · Oilers @ Islanders	Total	Under U 6.5	40%	98%	Oilers 4, Islanders 0	Won
Oct 31	CFB · Florida @ Georgia	Moneyline	Florida +365	8%	78%	Florida 8, Georgia 27	Lost
Oct 31	CFB · Minnesota @ Indiana	Total	Over O 41	38%	97%	Minnesota 16, Indiana 23	Lost
Oct 31	CFB · Minnesota @ Indiana	Moneyline	Minnesota +1150	8%	66%	Minnesota 16, Indiana 23	Lost
Oct 31	CFB · Arizona State @ BYU	Moneyline	Arizona State +600	5%	63%	Arizona State 20, BYU 27	Lost
Oct 31	CFB · Arizona State @ BYU	Spread	Arizona State +16.5	31%	84%	Arizona State 20, BYU 27	Won
Oct 31	NHL · Senators @ Sharks	Total	Over O 6.5	40%	100%	Senators 5, Sharks 1	Lost
Oct 31	NBA · 76ers @ Hornets	Spread	Hornets	22%	84%	--	Not graded: no line recorded in the snapshot
Oct 31	CFB · Miami @ North Carolina	Moneyline	North Carolina +567	9%	81%	Miami 38, North Carolina 35	Lost
Oct 31	CFB · Ohio State @ USC	Spread	USC +7.5	20%	90%	Ohio State 18, USC 30	Won
Oct 31	CFB · Miami @ North Carolina	Spread	North Carolina +16.5	40%	99%	Miami 38, North Carolina 35	Won
Oct 31	CFB · Ohio State @ USC	Total	Under U 51.5	29%	86%	Ohio State 18, USC 30	Won
Oct 31	CFB · Ohio State @ USC	Moneyline	USC +214	7%	59%	Ohio State 18, USC 30	Won
Oct 31	NBA · Kings @ Grizzlies	Total	Over O 233.5	20%	75%	Kings 105, Grizzlies 136	Won
Nov 1	NFL · Browns @ Steelers	Moneyline	Browns +175	24%	80%	Browns 6, Steelers 27	Lost
Nov 1	NHL · Mammoth @ Flyers	Spread	Mammoth -1.5	25%	99%	Mammoth 3, Flyers 6	Lost
Nov 1	NHL · Senators @ Ducks	Spread	Senators -1.5	33%	92%	Senators 3, Ducks 6	Lost

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The most-bet sides

Every side that drew 65%+ of the tickets in the last snapshot before the game (30).
Game date	Game	Market	Side	Tickets	Money	Final	Result
Oct 26	NHL · Kings @ Rangers	Moneyline	Rangers -127	90%	80%	Kings 6, Rangers 3	Lost
Oct 26	NBA · Suns @ Thunder	Moneyline	Thunder -344	91%	47%	Suns 114, Thunder 125	Won
Oct 26	NFL · Cowboys @ Eagles	Moneyline	Cowboys -208	88%	78%	Cowboys 38, Eagles 21	Won
Oct 28	NBA · Rockets @ Bucks	Moneyline	Rockets -300	94%	97%	Rockets 132, Bucks 100	Won
Oct 28	NBA · Knicks @ Bulls	Moneyline	Knicks -245	96%	98%	Knicks 133, Bulls 127	Won
Oct 29	NHL · Bruins @ Blues	Moneyline	Bruins +102	99%	98%	Bruins 1, Blues 4	Lost
Oct 29	NHL · Canucks @ Sharks	Moneyline	Sharks -170	96%	99%	Canucks 2, Sharks 3	Won
Oct 30	NBA · Bulls @ Celtics	Moneyline	Celtics -770	94%	49%	Bulls 111, Celtics 125	Won
Oct 31	CFB · Notre Dame @ Navy	Spread	Notre Dame -30.5	89%	100%	Notre Dame 35, Navy 13	Lost
Oct 31	CFB · Southern Methodist @ Syracuse	Moneyline	Southern Methodist -317	95%	84%	--	Not graded: game not found in the ESPN final scores
Oct 31	CFB · Auburn @ Mississippi	Moneyline	Mississippi -400	95%	91%	Auburn 15, Mississippi 45	Won
Oct 31	NHL · Blackhawks @ Bruins	Spread	Bruins -1.5	96%	100%	Blackhawks 4, Bruins 5	Lost
Oct 31	NHL · Blackhawks @ Bruins	Moneyline	Bruins -213	97%	97%	Blackhawks 4, Bruins 5	Won
Oct 31	NHL · Oilers @ Islanders	Moneyline	Oilers -122	96%	100%	Oilers 4, Islanders 0	Won
Oct 31	CFB · Northwestern @ Oregon	Spread	Northwestern +3.5	90%	99%	Northwestern 26, Oregon 34	Lost
Oct 31	CFB · Minnesota @ Indiana	Moneyline	Indiana -1076	94%	95%	Minnesota 16, Indiana 23	Won
Oct 31	CFB · Arizona State @ BYU	Moneyline	BYU -641	99%	86%	Arizona State 20, BYU 27	Won
Oct 31	CFB · Florida @ Georgia	Moneyline	Georgia -388	91%	47%	Florida 8, Georgia 27	Won
Oct 31	CFB · Miami @ North Carolina	Moneyline	Miami -525	96%	83%	Miami 38, North Carolina 35	Won
Oct 31	CFB · Ohio State @ USC	Moneyline	Ohio State -233	93%	41%	Ohio State 18, USC 30	Lost
Oct 31	NHL · Flames @ Avalanche	Moneyline	Avalanche -355	98%	100%	Flames 2, Avalanche 5	Won
Nov 1	NHL · Jets @ Hurricanes	Moneyline	Hurricanes -265	88%	95%	Jets 0, Hurricanes 7	Won
Nov 1	NFL · Titans @ Bengals	Total	Over O 46.5	93%	100%	Titans 36, Bengals 43	Won
Nov 1	NFL · Titans @ Bengals	Moneyline	Bengals -641	93%	88%	Titans 36, Bengals 43	Won
Nov 1	NFL · Colts @ Jaguars	Moneyline	Jaguars -441	93%	87%	Colts 7, Jaguars 42	Won
Nov 1	NFL · Ravens @ Bills	Spread	Bills -3.5	91%	82%	Ravens 10, Bills 36	Won
Nov 1	NFL · Titans @ Bengals	Spread	Bengals -10	92%	48%	Titans 36, Bengals 43	Lost
Nov 1	NBA · Celtics @ Magic	Moneyline	Celtics -228	96%	97%	Celtics 108, Magic 97	Won
Nov 1	NFL · Chargers @ Rams	Moneyline	Rams -258	92%	67%	Chargers 9, Rams 24	Won
Nov 1	NFL · Patriots @ Dolphins	Moneyline	Patriots -317	95%	89%	Patriots 24, Dolphins 19	Won

How this week was built

Our systems snapshot the live market splits every morning (Eastern time). This page keeps one row per game and market: the last snapshot taken before the game started.
Each row is graded against the official final score at the line in that snapshot. A push is a push. A row we cannot match to exactly one final, or that has no recorded line, stays in the table as "not graded" with the reason. Nothing is removed.
These are market observations. They are not Wise Guy Team picks, and they are not part of our graded play record, which lives on the records page under the rules on how we grade.

Public betting report: week of Oct 26

Where the money and the tickets split

The most-bet sides

How this week was built

Cite this report