The side the money favored (money share 8+ points ahead of its ticket share) went 17-17 (50% winners) across 34 graded games. In the 34 games where most tickets were on the other side, fading the public went 17-17 and following the public went 17-17. The most-bet sides (65%+ of tickets) went 16-12. One week is a small sample; it shows what happened, not what will happen.

Units: moneylines only, at the price in the snapshot, one unit per game. Spreads and totals are graded win, loss or push with no units, because the snapshot records the line, not a price. "Split games" means most tickets sat on the other side of the money. Records only for following the public, because the other side's moneyline price was not logged.

Where the money and the tickets split

Every game and market where the money share ran 8+ points ahead of the ticket share in the last snapshot before the game (37).
Game date	Game	Market	Side	Tickets	Money	Final	Result
Oct 20	CFB · Middle Tennessee @ FIU	Moneyline	Middle Tennessee +360	10%	70%	Middle Tennessee 26, FIU 23	Won
Oct 21	NBA · Bucks @ Wizards	Spread	Wizards -5.5	33%	86%	Bucks 116, Wizards 128	Won
Oct 21	NBA · Hornets @ Nets	Total	Over O 221	25%	98%	Hornets 110, Nets 103	Lost
Oct 21	NBA · Hornets @ Nets	Spread	Nets -2	37%	94%	Hornets 110, Nets 103	Lost
Oct 21	CFB · New Mexico State @ Sam Houston	Total	Under U 44.5	13%	82%	New Mexico State 30, Sam Houston 24	Lost
Oct 21	NBA · Jazz @ Grizzlies	Total	Over O 242.5	17%	69%	Jazz 103, Grizzlies 123	Lost
Oct 21	NBA · Mavericks @ Rockets	Moneyline	Mavericks +308	26%	83%	Mavericks 110, Rockets 128	Lost
Oct 21	NBA · Warriors @ Lakers	Spread	Lakers -6	9%	91%	Warriors 105, Lakers 127	Won
Oct 21	NBA · Warriors @ Lakers	Total	Over O 235.5	25%	83%	Warriors 105, Lakers 127	Lost
Oct 22	CFB · Liberty @ Kennesaw State	Moneyline	Kennesaw State +365	20%	94%	Liberty 34, Kennesaw State 6	Lost
Oct 22	NHL · Rangers @ Maple Leafs	Total	Over O 6.5	20%	90%	Rangers 4, Maple Leafs 5	Won
Oct 22	NHL · Golden Knights @ Blues	Total	Over O 6.5	25%	100%	Golden Knights 2, Blues 6	Won
Oct 23	CFB · Duke @ Virginia	Total	Under U 47	14%	81%	Duke 19, Virginia 16	Won
Oct 23	NBA · Knicks @ Celtics	Total	Under U 222.5	14%	80%	Knicks 103, Celtics 107	Won
Oct 23	CFB · Massachusetts @ Connecticut	Moneyline	Massachusetts +530	27%	88%	--	Not graded: game not found in the ESPN final scores
Oct 23	MLB · Rays @ Brewers	Spread	Rays +1.5	24%	97%	Rays 2, Brewers 3	Won
Oct 23	MLB · Rays @ Brewers	Moneyline	Rays +147	36%	87%	Rays 2, Brewers 3	Lost
Oct 24	CFB · Pittsburgh @ Miami	Total	Under U 48.5	13%	99%	Pittsburgh 23, Miami 52	Lost
Oct 24	CFB · Pittsburgh @ Miami	Moneyline	Pittsburgh +720	8%	64%	Pittsburgh 23, Miami 52	Lost
Oct 24	CFB · Indiana @ Michigan	Moneyline	Michigan +257	17%	70%	Indiana 13, Michigan 6	Lost
Oct 24	CFB · Iowa @ Minnesota	Spread	Minnesota +7	33%	96%	Iowa 10, Minnesota 13	Won
Oct 24	CFB · Iowa @ Minnesota	Total	Under U 40.5	35%	96%	Iowa 10, Minnesota 13	Won
Oct 24	CFB · Texas A&M @ Alabama	Moneyline	Texas A&M +488	2%	60%	Texas A&M 20, Alabama 31	Lost
Oct 24	CFB · Michigan State @ UCLA	Total	Under U 44.5	33%	90%	Michigan State 10, UCLA 28	Won
Oct 24	NHL · Predators @ Penguins	Total	Over O 6.5	40%	99%	Predators 2, Penguins 3	Lost
Oct 24	NHL · Golden Knights @ Blue Jackets	Total	Over O 6.5	33%	84%	Golden Knights 1, Blue Jackets 2	Lost
Oct 24	NBA · Nets @ Cavaliers	Spread	Nets +12	20%	86%	Nets 121, Cavaliers 125	Won
Oct 24	CFB · Mississippi @ Texas	Total	Under U 54.5	25%	86%	Mississippi 27, Texas 34	Lost
Oct 24	CFB · Vanderbilt @ Kentucky	Total	Under U 52	33%	93%	Vanderbilt 17, Kentucky 34	Won
Oct 24	CFB · Vanderbilt @ Kentucky	Moneyline	Vanderbilt +400	3%	59%	Vanderbilt 17, Kentucky 34	Lost
Oct 24	NBA · Bucks @ 76ers	Spread	Bucks +12.5	29%	81%	Bucks 116, 76ers 127	Won
Oct 25	NFL · Colts @ Vikings	Total	Under U 41.5	28%	84%	Colts 10, Vikings 16	Won
Oct 25	NFL · Giants @ Texans	Moneyline	Giants +460	17%	70%	Giants 27, Texans 21	Won
Oct 25	NFL · Broncos @ Cardinals	Total	Under	33%	97%	--	Not graded: no line recorded in the snapshot
Oct 25	NFL · Packers @ Lions	Moneyline	Packers +163	32%	82%	Packers 17, Lions 20	Lost
Oct 25	NHL · Canadiens @ Jets	Spread	Canadiens	33%	86%	--	Not graded: no line recorded in the snapshot
Oct 25	NFL · Chiefs @ Seahawks	Total	Under U 42.5	14%	87%	Chiefs 3, Seahawks 20	Won

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The most-bet sides

Every side that drew 65%+ of the tickets in the last snapshot before the game (29).
Game date	Game	Market	Side	Tickets	Money	Final	Result
Oct 19	NFL · Commanders @ 49ers	Moneyline	49ers -376	94%	71%	Commanders 17, 49ers 23	Won
Oct 20	CFB · Missouri State @ Delaware	Total	Over O 53	94%	100%	Missouri State 38, Delaware 61	Won
Oct 20	CFB · Middle Tennessee @ FIU	Moneyline	FIU -400	90%	30%	Middle Tennessee 26, FIU 23	Lost
Oct 21	NBA · Bulls @ Raptors	Moneyline	Raptors -355	94%	86%	Bulls 92, Raptors 135	Won
Oct 21	CFB · New Mexico State @ Sam Houston	Moneyline	New Mexico State -130	93%	93%	New Mexico State 30, Sam Houston 24	Won
Oct 22	CFB · James Madison @ Appalachian State	Moneyline	James Madison -376	94%	82%	--	Not graded: game not found in the ESPN final scores
Oct 22	CFB · Liberty @ Kennesaw State	Moneyline	Liberty -355	94%	73%	Liberty 34, Kennesaw State 6	Won
Oct 22	CFB · East Carolina @ Memphis	Moneyline	Memphis -357	98%	100%	East Carolina 34, Memphis 41	Won
Oct 23	MLB · Rays @ Brewers	Total	Over O 6	95%	89%	Rays 2, Brewers 3	Lost
Oct 23	NBA · Trail Blazers @ Kings	Moneyline	Trail Blazers -300	97%	100%	Trail Blazers 128, Kings 120	Won
Oct 23	CFB · NC State @ Stanford	Moneyline	NC State -239	93%	95%	NC State 28, Stanford 31	Lost
Oct 24	CFB · Texas Tech @ Cincinnati	Moneyline	Texas Tech -400	98%	97%	Texas Tech 24, Cincinnati 37	Lost
Oct 24	CFB · Pittsburgh @ Miami	Moneyline	Miami -1329	93%	44%	Pittsburgh 23, Miami 52	Won
Oct 24	CFB · Tennessee @ South Carolina	Moneyline	Tennessee +117	95%	100%	Tennessee 24, South Carolina 27	Lost
Oct 24	CFB · Iowa @ Minnesota	Moneyline	Iowa -270	96%	96%	Iowa 10, Minnesota 13	Lost
Oct 24	CFB · BYU @ UCF	Moneyline	BYU -264	96%	86%	BYU 31, UCF 39	Lost
Oct 24	CFB · Michigan State @ UCLA	Moneyline	UCLA -590	97%	70%	Michigan State 10, UCLA 28	Won
Oct 24	CFB · Texas A&M @ Alabama	Moneyline	Alabama -525	98%	62%	Texas A&M 20, Alabama 31	Won
Oct 24	NBA · Bucks @ 76ers	Moneyline	76ers -545	98%	100%	Bucks 116, 76ers 127	Won
Oct 24	CFB · Vanderbilt @ Kentucky	Moneyline	Kentucky -376	98%	68%	Vanderbilt 17, Kentucky 34	Won
Oct 24	NBA · Pelicans @ Nuggets	Moneyline	Nuggets -426	98%	84%	Pelicans 135, Nuggets 141	Won
Oct 25	NFL · Buccaneers @ Panthers	Spread	Panthers -3.5	92%	99%	Buccaneers 43, Panthers 13	Lost
Oct 25	NFL · 49ers @ Falcons	Moneyline	49ers -223	93%	91%	49ers 20, Falcons 29	Lost
Oct 25	NFL · Colts @ Vikings	Moneyline	Vikings -277	90%	80%	Colts 10, Vikings 16	Won
Oct 25	NFL · Packers @ Lions	Total	Over O 53.5	96%	95%	Packers 17, Lions 20	Lost
Oct 25	NBA · Lakers @ Jazz	Moneyline	Lakers -223	94%	98%	Lakers 132, Jazz 123	Won
Oct 25	NBA · Clippers @ Thunder	Moneyline	Thunder -950	97%	99%	Clippers 101, Thunder 108	Won
Oct 25	NHL · Avalanche @ Predators	Moneyline	Avalanche -212	92%	97%	Avalanche 2, Predators 6	Lost
Oct 25	NFL · Chiefs @ Seahawks	Spread	Chiefs +2	93%	100%	Chiefs 3, Seahawks 20	Lost

How this week was built

Our systems snapshot the live market splits every morning (Eastern time). This page keeps one row per game and market: the last snapshot taken before the game started.
Each row is graded against the official final score at the line in that snapshot. A push is a push. A row we cannot match to exactly one final, or that has no recorded line, stays in the table as "not graded" with the reason. Nothing is removed.
These are market observations. They are not Wise Guy Team picks, and they are not part of our graded play record, which lives on the records page under the rules on how we grade.

Public betting report: week of Oct 19

Where the money and the tickets split

The most-bet sides

How this week was built

Cite this report