Public Betting Report: Week of Oct 12, 2026

Public betting report: week of Oct 12

Oct 12 to Oct 18, 2026 · graded against the finals · archived Oct 20, 2026

The side the money favored (money share 8+ points ahead of its ticket share) went 11-12 (47.8% winners) across 23 graded games. In the 22 games where most tickets were on the other side, fading the public went 10-12 and following the public went 12-10. The most-bet sides (65%+ of tickets) went 11-10-1. One week is a small sample; it shows what happened, not what will happen.

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Followed the money
11-12
47.8% winners · +2.87u
Faded the public (split games)
10-12
45.5% winners · +1.96u
Followed the public (split games)
12-10
54.5% winners · record only
Most-bet sides
11-10-1
52.4% winners · -4.55u · 1 not graded

Units: moneylines at the price in the snapshot, spreads and totals at a standard -110, one unit per game. "Split games" means most tickets sat on the other side of the money. Records only for following the public, because the other side's moneyline price was not logged.

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Where the money and the tickets split

Every game and market where the money share ran 8+ points ahead of the ticket share in the last snapshot before the game (23).
Game dateGameMarketSideTicketsMoneyFinalResult
Oct 12MLB · Guardians @ RaysMoneylineGuardians +1507%58%Guardians 7, Rays 3Won
Oct 12NFL · Bills @ RamsSpreadRams -3.535%87%Bills 37, Rams 34Lost
Oct 13CFB · Delaware @ Middle TennesseeMoneylineDelaware -13343%89%Delaware 30, Middle Tennessee 33Lost
Oct 13CFB · FIU @ Jacksonville StateTotalUnder U 43.544%96%FIU 24, Jacksonville State 27Lost
Oct 14NHL · Canadiens @ CapitalsTotalOver O 6.525%96%Canadiens 4, Capitals 5Won
Oct 15CFB · Georgia Southern @ Old DominionTotalUnder U 47.512%83%Georgia Southern 23, Old Dominion 15Won
Oct 15CFB · Colorado State @ Texas StateMoneylineColorado State +5754%71%Colorado State 27, Texas State 66Lost
Oct 16CFB · Washington @ PurdueTotalUnder U 5028%78%Washington 38, Purdue 26Lost
Oct 17CFB · Mississippi State @ LSUSpreadLSU -1428%83%Mississippi State 0, LSU 31Won
Oct 17CFB · Ohio State @ IndianaTotalUnder U 50.550%100%Ohio State 19, Indiana 15Won
Oct 17CFB · Penn State @ MichiganTotalUnder U 42.525%98%Penn State 18, Michigan 21Won
Oct 17CFB · Missouri @ MississippiTotalOver O 5925%92%Missouri 3, Mississippi 31Lost
Oct 17CFB · Penn State @ MichiganMoneylinePenn State +20012%71%Penn State 18, Michigan 21Lost
Oct 17CFB · Florida State @ MiamiMoneylineFlorida State +100014%98%Florida State 35, Miami 43Lost
Oct 17NHL · Islanders @ Maple LeafsMoneylineIslanders +11715%81%Islanders 4, Maple Leafs 1Won
Oct 17NHL · Sabres @ CanadiensTotalOver O 6.540%98%Sabres 3, Canadiens 4Won
Oct 17CFB · Florida State @ MiamiSpreadMiami -2140%97%Florida State 35, Miami 43Lost
Oct 17CFB · Kentucky @ OklahomaMoneylineKentucky +24031%99%Kentucky 21, Oklahoma 13Won
Oct 17CFB · Notre Dame @ BYUMoneylineBYU +34410%75%Notre Dame 24, BYU 28Won
Oct 18NFL · Ravens @ BrownsTotalUnder U 4133%92%Ravens 10, Browns 13Won
Oct 18NFL · Panthers @ EaglesSpreadEagles -1.545%98%Panthers 25, Eagles 14Lost
Oct 18NFL · Chargers @ ChiefsMoneylineChargers +37013%75%Chargers 6, Chiefs 22Lost
Oct 18NFL · Bills @ RaidersMoneylineRaiders +23310%61%Bills 33, Raiders 30Lost
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The most-bet sides

Every side that drew 65%+ of the tickets in the last snapshot before the game (23).
Game dateGameMarketSideTicketsMoneyFinalResult
Oct 12MLB · Guardians @ RaysMoneylineRays -16493%42%Guardians 7, Rays 3Lost
Oct 13CFB · Delaware @ Middle TennesseeTotalOver O 4889%99%Delaware 30, Middle Tennessee 33Won
Oct 13CFB · FIU @ Jacksonville StateMoneylineJacksonville State -14593%81%FIU 24, Jacksonville State 27Won
Oct 13NHL · Oilers @ KingsMoneylineOilers -12095%100%Oilers 4, Kings 1Won
Oct 15CFB · Colorado State @ Texas StateMoneylineTexas State -45595%59%Colorado State 27, Texas State 66Won
Oct 15NHL · Flames @ Golden KnightsMoneylineGolden Knights -29297%49%Flames 2, Golden Knights 6Won
Oct 16CFB · Memphis @ TulaneMoneylineMemphis -26096%94%Memphis 17, Tulane 31Lost
Oct 17CFB · Virginia @ Southern MethodistMoneylineSouthern Methodist -33595%97%--Not graded: game not found in the ESPN final scores
Oct 17CFB · Florida @ TexasMoneylineTexas -35794%73%Florida 27, Texas 24Lost
Oct 17CFB · Auburn @ GeorgiaMoneylineGeorgia -120098%97%Auburn 27, Georgia 24Lost
Oct 17CFB · Auburn @ GeorgiaTotalOver O 49.593%92%Auburn 27, Georgia 24Won
Oct 17CFB · Alabama @ TennesseeMoneylineAlabama -25094%87%Alabama 10, Tennessee 26Lost
Oct 17CFB · Arizona State @ Texas TechMoneylineTexas Tech -52698%90%Arizona State 25, Texas Tech 53Won
Oct 17NHL · Canucks @ LightningMoneylineLightning -33594%56%Canucks 2, Lightning 4Won
Oct 17CFB · Notre Dame @ BYUMoneylineNotre Dame -45092%98%Notre Dame 24, BYU 28Lost
Oct 18NFL · Jets @ PatriotsSpreadPatriots -791%98%Jets 19, Patriots 26Push
Oct 18NFL · Jets @ PatriotsMoneylinePatriots -31794%90%Jets 19, Patriots 26Won
Oct 18NFL · Titans @ ColtsMoneylineColts -28592%84%Titans 26, Colts 20Lost
Oct 18NFL · Cardinals @ RamsMoneylineRams -70095%65%Cardinals 18, Rams 16Lost
Oct 18NFL · Bills @ RaidersSpreadBills -692%95%Bills 33, Raiders 30Lost
Oct 18NFL · Bills @ RaidersMoneylineBills -21291%82%Bills 33, Raiders 30Won
Oct 18NFL · Chargers @ ChiefsMoneylineChiefs -37692%69%Chargers 6, Chiefs 22Won
Oct 18NFL · Cowboys @ PackersTotalOver O 52.597%100%Cowboys 13, Packers 23Lost

How this week was built

  • Our systems snapshot the live market splits every morning (Eastern time). This page keeps one row per game and market: the last snapshot taken before the game started.
  • Each row is graded against the official final score at the line in that snapshot. A push is a push. A row we cannot match to exactly one final, or that has no recorded line, stays in the table as "not graded" with the reason. Nothing is removed.
  • These are market observations. They are not Wise Guy Team picks, and they are not part of our graded play record, which lives on the records page under the rules on how we grade.

Cite this report

Writers, researchers and bloggers are welcome to quote these numbers. Please credit Wise Guy Team with a link to this page, the same way you would cite any data source.

21+. Market data for information and research, not betting advice. Responsible gambling · Editorial policy