Public Betting Report: Week of Oct 5, 2026

Public betting report: week of Oct 5

Oct 5 to Oct 11, 2026 · graded against the finals · archived Oct 13, 2026

The side the money favored (money share 8+ points ahead of its ticket share) went 18-18 (50% winners) across 36 graded games. In the 34 games where most tickets were on the other side, fading the public went 16-18 and following the public went 18-16. The most-bet sides (65%+ of tickets) went 19-5. One week is a small sample; it shows what happened, not what will happen.

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Followed the money
18-18
50% winners · +6.85u · 2 not graded
Faded the public (split games)
16-18
47.1% winners · +5.03u · 2 not graded
Followed the public (split games)
18-16
52.9% winners · record only · 2 not graded
Most-bet sides
19-5
79.2% winners · +7.71u

Units: moneylines at the price in the snapshot, spreads and totals at a standard -110, one unit per game. "Split games" means most tickets sat on the other side of the money. Records only for following the public, because the other side's moneyline price was not logged.

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Where the money and the tickets split

Every game and market where the money share ran 8+ points ahead of the ticket share in the last snapshot before the game (38).
Game dateGameMarketSideTicketsMoneyFinalResult
Oct 5NHL · Flyers @ LightningTotalUnder U 620%94%Flyers 1, Lightning 4Won
Oct 5NHL · Senators @ BruinsTotalUnder U 5.513%88%Senators 4, Bruins 1Won
Oct 6CFB · Southern Miss @ TroySpreadSouthern Miss +10.59%84%Southern Miss 34, Troy 55Lost
Oct 6NHL · Blues @ BlackhawksMoneylineBlues -11525%98%Blues 2, Blackhawks 4Lost
Oct 6CFB · Southern Miss @ TroyTotalOver O 49.550%96%Southern Miss 34, Troy 55Won
Oct 6NHL · Golden Knights @ KrakenTotalOver O 6.513%96%Golden Knights 6, Kraken 2Won
Oct 7MLB · Guardians @ White SoxMoneylineGuardians +11222%89%Guardians 9, White Sox 3Won
Oct 7CFB · Jacksonville State @ Kennesaw StateTotalOver O 5025%94%Jacksonville State 27, Kennesaw State 26Won
Oct 7NHL · Penguins @ CapitalsMoneylinePenguins +14519%87%Penguins 3, Capitals 5Lost
Oct 7WNBA · Liberty @ DreamTotalUnder U 170.533%97%Liberty 98, Dream 101Lost
Oct 8NHL · Predators @ CanadiensMoneylinePredators +1609%77%Predators 5, Canadiens 2Won
Oct 8NHL · Flyers @ SenatorsMoneylineSenators -11533%98%Flyers 1, Senators 2Won
Oct 8NBA · Kings @ LakersMoneylineKings +32025%94%Kings 110, Lakers 114Lost
Oct 9WNBA · Dream @ LibertyMoneylineDream +13526%78%Dream 85, Liberty 83Won
Oct 9NBA · Grizzlies @ BullsMoneylineGrizzlies +12825%87%Grizzlies 104, Bulls 100Won
Oct 9CFB · Iowa @ WashingtonTotalUnder U 41.533%98%Iowa 41, Washington 24Lost
Oct 9CFB · Iowa @ WashingtonSpreadWashington -2.527%79%Iowa 41, Washington 24Lost
Oct 9CFB · Iowa State @ BYUTotalUnder U 46.523%82%Iowa State 10, BYU 24Won
Oct 10CFB · East Tennessee State @ CitadelMoneylineCitadel +34033%100%--Not graded: game not found in the ESPN final scores
Oct 10CFB · Indiana @ NebraskaMoneylineNebraska +26410%76%Indiana 20, Nebraska 17Lost
Oct 10CFB · UCF @ Oklahoma StateMoneylineUCF +3753%64%UCF 28, Oklahoma State 42Lost
Oct 10CFB · Indiana @ NebraskaTotalUnder U 4829%89%Indiana 20, Nebraska 17Won
Oct 10CFB · South Carolina @ FloridaMoneylineSouth Carolina +4759%88%South Carolina 38, Florida 19Won
Oct 10NHL · Flyers @ BruinsTotalUnder U 5.529%96%Flyers 1, Bruins 5Lost
Oct 10CFB · Samford @ UT-ChattanoogaMoneylineSamford +35033%99%--Not graded: game not found in the ESPN final scores
Oct 10CFB · UCLA @ OregonMoneylineUCLA +38815%85%UCLA 17, Oregon 15Won
Oct 10CFB · Mississippi @ VanderbiltTotalUnder U 5925%94%Mississippi 52, Vanderbilt 17Lost
Oct 10NHL · Canucks @ DevilsTotalOver O 6.533%98%Canucks 1, Devils 4Lost
Oct 10CFB · Mississippi @ VanderbiltSpreadVanderbilt +9.519%75%Mississippi 52, Vanderbilt 17Lost
Oct 10NBA · Clippers @ RaptorsSpreadRaptors -4.520%81%Clippers 106, Raptors 114Won
Oct 10NHL · Predators @ SenatorsTotalUnder U 629%100%Predators 2, Senators 3Won
Oct 10NHL · Stars @ PenguinsTotalOver O 6.533%94%Stars 1, Penguins 2Lost
Oct 10CFB · Georgia @ AlabamaMoneylineAlabama +10523%99%Georgia 20, Alabama 17Lost
Oct 10CFB · Georgia @ AlabamaTotalUnder U 5750%98%Georgia 20, Alabama 17Won
Oct 11NBA · Mavericks @ RocketsTotalUnder U 23140%86%Mavericks 132, Rockets 115Lost
Oct 11NFL · Giants @ CommandersTotalUnder U 4233%83%Giants 27, Commanders 27Lost
Oct 11NFL · Broncos @ ChargersTotalUnder U 41.547%95%Broncos 23, Chargers 17Won
Oct 11NHL · Canucks @ RangersMoneylineCanucks +24028%83%Canucks 2, Rangers 6Lost
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The most-bet sides

Every side that drew 65%+ of the tickets in the last snapshot before the game (24).
Game dateGameMarketSideTicketsMoneyFinalResult
Oct 5NBA · Suns @ PistonsMoneylinePistons -14494%95%Suns 107, Pistons 109Won
Oct 5NHL · Flyers @ LightningMoneylineLightning -19093%80%Flyers 1, Lightning 4Won
Oct 5MLB · Yankees @ RaysMoneylineYankees -12692%98%Yankees 2, Rays 5Lost
Oct 7CFB · Jacksonville State @ Kennesaw StateMoneylineJacksonville State -16290%74%Jacksonville State 27, Kennesaw State 26Won
Oct 8CFB · Sam Houston @ LibertyMoneylineLiberty -52096%65%Sam Houston 3, Liberty 35Won
Oct 8NHL · Avalanche @ FlamesMoneylineAvalanche -23397%100%Avalanche 7, Flames 3Won
Oct 9CFB · Iowa @ WashingtonMoneylineIowa +12492%100%Iowa 41, Washington 24Won
Oct 9CFB · Iowa @ WashingtonSpreadIowa +395%100%Iowa 41, Washington 24Won
Oct 9CFB · Iowa State @ BYUMoneylineBYU -40096%89%Iowa State 10, BYU 24Won
Oct 10CFB · UCF @ Oklahoma StateTotalOver O 53.593%100%UCF 28, Oklahoma State 42Won
Oct 10CFB · Texas A&M @ MissouriTotalOver O 49.595%100%Texas A&M 6, Missouri 27Lost
Oct 10CFB · UCF @ Oklahoma StateMoneylineOklahoma State -36597%75%UCF 28, Oklahoma State 42Won
Oct 10CFB · Indiana @ NebraskaMoneylineIndiana -29593%24%Indiana 20, Nebraska 17Won
Oct 10CFB · South Carolina @ FloridaMoneylineFlorida -45098%89%South Carolina 38, Florida 19Lost
Oct 10NHL · Flyers @ BruinsMoneylineBruins -13595%68%Flyers 1, Bruins 5Won
Oct 10CFB · UCLA @ OregonTotalOver O 5897%94%UCLA 17, Oregon 15Lost
Oct 10CFB · Texas @ OklahomaMoneylineOklahoma +26096%91%Texas 24, Oklahoma 27Won
Oct 10CFB · Mississippi @ VanderbiltMoneylineMississippi -32596%89%Mississippi 52, Vanderbilt 17Won
Oct 10CFB · Texas @ OklahomaSpreadOklahoma +7.592%75%Texas 24, Oklahoma 27Won
Oct 10CFB · LSU @ KentuckyMoneylineLSU -32094%56%LSU 34, Kentucky 35Lost
Oct 10NHL · Lightning @ IslandersMoneylineLightning -16294%100%Lightning 5, Islanders 3Won
Oct 11NFL · Bengals @ DolphinsMoneylineBengals -33591%79%Bengals 31, Dolphins 24Won
Oct 11NFL · Texans @ TitansMoneylineTexans -34590%70%Texans 26, Titans 3Won
Oct 11NHL · Hurricanes @ FlyersMoneylineHurricanes -17789%96%Hurricanes 4, Flyers 1Won

How this week was built

  • Our systems snapshot the live market splits every morning (Eastern time). This page keeps one row per game and market: the last snapshot taken before the game started.
  • Each row is graded against the official final score at the line in that snapshot. A push is a push. A row we cannot match to exactly one final, or that has no recorded line, stays in the table as "not graded" with the reason. Nothing is removed.
  • These are market observations. They are not Wise Guy Team picks, and they are not part of our graded play record, which lives on the records page under the rules on how we grade.

Cite this report

Writers, researchers and bloggers are welcome to quote these numbers. Please credit Wise Guy Team with a link to this page, the same way you would cite any data source.

21+. Market data for information and research, not betting advice. Responsible gambling · Editorial policy