Public Betting Report: Week of Sep 28, 2026

Public betting report: week of Sep 28

Sep 28 to Oct 4, 2026 · graded against the finals · archived Oct 6, 2026

The side the money favored (money share 8+ points ahead of its ticket share) went 13-12 (52% winners) across 25 graded games. In the 25 games where most tickets were on the other side, fading the public went 13-12 and following the public went 12-13. The most-bet sides (65%+ of tickets) went 17-3. One week is a small sample; it shows what happened, not what will happen.

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Followed the money
13-12
52% winners · +2.30u · 2 not graded
Faded the public (split games)
13-12
52% winners · +2.30u · 2 not graded
Followed the public (split games)
12-13
48% winners · record only · 2 not graded
Most-bet sides
17-3
85% winners · +3.98u

Units: moneylines at the price in the snapshot, spreads and totals at a standard -110, one unit per game. "Split games" means most tickets sat on the other side of the money. Records only for following the public, because the other side's moneyline price was not logged.

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Where the money and the tickets split

Every game and market where the money share ran 8+ points ahead of the ticket share in the last snapshot before the game (27).
Game dateGameMarketSideTicketsMoneyFinalResult
Sep 29NHL · Panthers @ HurricanesMoneylinePanthers +11230%92%Panthers 1, Hurricanes 0Won
Sep 29NHL · Canadiens @ Maple LeafsMoneylineCanadiens -10435%91%Canadiens 3, Maple Leafs 2Won
Sep 29NHL · Canucks @ OilersMoneylineCanucks +26410%77%Canucks 6, Oilers 5Won
Sep 29NHL · Blackhawks @ Golden KnightsMoneylineBlackhawks +22024%82%Blackhawks 2, Golden Knights 5Lost
Sep 30NHL · Islanders @ Maple LeafsTotalUnder U 5.514%85%Islanders 1, Maple Leafs 2Won
Oct 1NHL · Sabres @ Blue JacketsTotalOver O 6.540%94%Sabres 3, Blue Jackets 6Won
Oct 1NHL · Wild @ PredatorsMoneylinePredators +12517%87%Wild 3, Predators 1Lost
Oct 1NHL · Wild @ PredatorsTotalOver O 6.544%99%Wild 3, Predators 1Lost
Oct 2CFB · Liberty @ DelawareMoneylineDelaware +2454%70%Liberty 30, Delaware 14Lost
Oct 2CFB · Pittsburgh @ Virginia TechSpreadVirginia Tech -5.530%83%Pittsburgh 35, Virginia Tech 33Lost
Oct 2CFB · Penn State @ NorthwesternMoneylineNorthwestern +12713%81%Penn State 13, Northwestern 34Won
Oct 3CFB · Vanderbilt @ GeorgiaMoneylineVanderbilt +150020%95%Vanderbilt 14, Georgia 38Lost
Oct 3CFB · Notre Dame @ North CarolinaTotalUnder U 47.514%87%Notre Dame 37, North Carolina 26Lost
Oct 3CFB · Merrimack @ YaleMoneylineMerrimack +39013%79%--Not graded: game not found in the ESPN final scores
Oct 3CFB · Notre Dame @ North CarolinaMoneylineNorth Carolina +12007%68%Notre Dame 37, North Carolina 26Lost
Oct 3CFB · Auburn @ TennesseeTotalUnder U 5415%92%Auburn 14, Tennessee 24Won
Oct 3CFB · Ohio State @ IowaTotalUnder U 4610%78%Ohio State 31, Iowa 14Won
Oct 3CFB · North Carolina A&T @ BryantMoneylineNorth Carolina A&T +47525%98%--Not graded: game not found in the ESPN final scores
Oct 3CFB · BYU @ TCUTotalUnder U 4811%83%BYU 17, TCU 10Won
Oct 3NHL · Canadiens @ PenguinsMoneylinePenguins +10420%81%Canadiens 5, Penguins 6Won
Oct 3NHL · Hurricanes @ FlyersTotalUnder U 5.540%99%Hurricanes 3, Flyers 2Won
Oct 3CFB · Washington @ USCTotalUnder U 585%83%Washington 21, USC 25Won
Oct 3CFB · Miami @ ClemsonSpreadClemson +16.533%98%Miami 41, Clemson 13Lost
Oct 3CFB · Miami @ ClemsonTotalUnder U 4812%75%Miami 41, Clemson 13Lost
Oct 3NHL · Stars @ PredatorsTotalOver O 640%99%Stars 1, Predators 2Lost
Oct 4NFL · Dolphins @ VikingsTotalUnder U 38.538%87%Dolphins 10, Vikings 15Won
Oct 4NHL · Mammoth @ RangersMoneylineMammoth +11538%87%Mammoth 2, Rangers 4Lost
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The most-bet sides

Every side that drew 65%+ of the tickets in the last snapshot before the game (20).
Game dateGameMarketSideTicketsMoneyFinalResult
Oct 1NHL · Oilers @ CanucksMoneylineOilers -20596%100%Oilers 9, Canucks 7Won
Oct 2CFB · Liberty @ DelawareMoneylineLiberty -27095%51%Liberty 30, Delaware 14Won
Oct 2NHL · Bruins @ JetsMoneylineBruins -10597%100%Bruins 4, Jets 3Won
Oct 3CFB · Alabama @ Mississippi StateTotalOver O 60.597%97%Alabama 56, Mississippi State 23Won
Oct 3CFB · UCF @ HoustonMoneylineHouston -42597%81%UCF 17, Houston 27Won
Oct 3CFB · Vanderbilt @ GeorgiaMoneylineGeorgia -320097%89%Vanderbilt 14, Georgia 38Won
Oct 3CFB · Vanderbilt @ GeorgiaSpreadGeorgia -2595%75%Vanderbilt 14, Georgia 38Lost
Oct 3CFB · Florida @ MissouriTotalOver O 57.596%100%Florida 17, Missouri 45Won
Oct 3CFB · Ohio State @ IowaMoneylineOhio State -60096%87%Ohio State 31, Iowa 14Won
Oct 3CFB · Auburn @ TennesseeMoneylineTennessee -25097%87%Auburn 14, Tennessee 24Won
Oct 3CFB · Florida @ MissouriMoneylineFlorida -20896%73%Florida 17, Missouri 45Lost
Oct 3CFB · Washington @ USCMoneylineUSC -34599%97%Washington 21, USC 25Won
Oct 3CFB · Miami @ ClemsonMoneylineMiami -72097%90%Miami 41, Clemson 13Won
Oct 3CFB · Texas Tech @ ColoradoMoneylineTexas Tech -53099%52%Texas Tech 29, Colorado 7Won
Oct 3NHL · Blues @ AvalancheMoneylineAvalanche -28597%99%Blues 1, Avalanche 6Won
Oct 4NFL · Titans @ RavensMoneylineRavens -65094%68%Titans 18, Ravens 24Won
Oct 4NFL · Dolphins @ VikingsMoneylineVikings -51093%63%Dolphins 10, Vikings 15Won
Oct 4NBA · Jazz @ NuggetsMoneylineNuggets -15296%84%Jazz 109, Nuggets 97Lost
Oct 4NHL · Flames @ KrakenMoneylineKraken -13094%100%Flames 1, Kraken 6Won
Oct 4NHL · Golden Knights @ CanucksMoneylineGolden Knights -23095%79%Golden Knights 3, Canucks 2Won

How this week was built

  • Our systems snapshot the live market splits every morning (Eastern time). This page keeps one row per game and market: the last snapshot taken before the game started.
  • Each row is graded against the official final score at the line in that snapshot. A push is a push. A row we cannot match to exactly one final, or that has no recorded line, stays in the table as "not graded" with the reason. Nothing is removed.
  • These are market observations. They are not Wise Guy Team picks, and they are not part of our graded play record, which lives on the records page under the rules on how we grade.

Cite this report

Writers, researchers and bloggers are welcome to quote these numbers. Please credit Wise Guy Team with a link to this page, the same way you would cite any data source.

21+. Market data for information and research, not betting advice. Responsible gambling · Editorial policy