Public Betting Report: Week of Sep 21, 2026

Public betting report: week of Sep 21

Sep 21 to Sep 27, 2026 · graded against the finals · archived Sep 29, 2026

The side the money favored (money share 8+ points ahead of its ticket share) went 11-14-1 (44% winners) across 26 graded games. In the 23 games where most tickets were on the other side, fading the public went 10-12-1 and following the public went 12-10-1. One week is a small sample; it shows what happened, not what will happen.

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Followed the money
11-14-1
44% winners · -0.89u · 1 not graded
Faded the public (split games)
10-12-1
45.5% winners · +0.20u · 1 not graded
Followed the public (split games)
12-10-1
54.5% winners · record only · 1 not graded
Most-bet sides
--
nothing graded

Units: moneylines at the price in the snapshot, spreads and totals at a standard -110, one unit per game. "Split games" means most tickets sat on the other side of the money. Records only for following the public, because the other side's moneyline price was not logged.

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Where the money and the tickets split

Every game and market where the money share ran 8+ points ahead of the ticket share in the last snapshot before the game (27).
Game dateGameMarketSideTicketsMoneyFinalResult
Sep 21WNBA · Dream @ LibertySpreadLiberty +2.525%83%Dream 95, Liberty 84Lost
Sep 21NFL · Giants @ RamsSpreadGiants +750%88%Giants 6, Rams 28Lost
Sep 23MLB · Padres @ DodgersTotalOver O 8.533%100%Padres 5, Dodgers 1Lost
Sep 24WNBA · Tempo @ SunMoneylineTempo +11525%84%Tempo 81, Sun 95Lost
Sep 25MLB · Rays @ PhilliesTotalUnder U 6.522%89%Rays 2, Phillies 0Won
Sep 25MLB · Pirates @ TigersTotalOver O 850%100%Pirates 7, Tigers 8Won
Sep 25MLB · Guardians @ RoyalsTotalUnder U 7.550%100%Guardians 12, Royals 9Lost
Sep 26CFB · Illinois @ Ohio StateMoneylineIllinois +18005%63%Illinois 19, Ohio State 42Lost
Sep 26CFB · Wake Forest @ LouisvilleSpreadWake Forest 28%85%--Not graded: no line recorded in the snapshot
Sep 26MLB · Mets @ NationalsMoneylineNationals +11648%98%Mets 7, Nationals 1Lost
Sep 26CFB · Notre Dame @ PurdueMoneylinePurdue +20003%64%Notre Dame 49, Purdue 10Lost
Sep 26MLB · Reds @ Blue JaysTotalOver O 7.531%83%Reds 5, Blue Jays 1Lost
Sep 26CFB · Oklahoma @ GeorgiaTotalUnder U 44.521%87%Oklahoma 13, Georgia 41Lost
Sep 26CFB · Iowa @ MichiganMoneylineIowa +17043%99%Iowa 20, Michigan 19Won
Sep 26CFB · Mississippi @ FloridaMoneylineFlorida -13513%68%Mississippi 28, Florida 52Won
Sep 26CFB · Iowa @ MichiganTotalUnder U 3843%98%Iowa 20, Michigan 19Lost
Sep 26CFB · Iowa @ MichiganSpreadIowa +533%82%Iowa 20, Michigan 19Won
Sep 26MLB · Rangers @ TwinsTotalOver O 818%82%Rangers 6, Twins 2Push
Sep 26CFB · Vanderbilt @ AuburnTotalUnder U 55.533%100%Vanderbilt 15, Auburn 21Won
Sep 26CFB · Wisconsin @ Penn StateSpreadWisconsin +9.528%87%Wisconsin 24, Penn State 20Won
Sep 26CFB · Wisconsin @ Penn StateMoneylineWisconsin +3405%55%Wisconsin 24, Penn State 20Won
Sep 26CFB · Wisconsin @ Penn StateTotalUnder U 44.511%61%Wisconsin 24, Penn State 20Won
Sep 26CFB · Oregon @ USCSpreadOregon -2.518%91%Oregon 41, USC 27Won
Sep 27WNBA · Liberty @ LynxSpreadLiberty +6.540%91%Liberty 91, Lynx 75Won
Sep 27MLB · Reds @ Blue JaysTotalOver O 8.543%93%Reds 1, Blue Jays 5Lost
Sep 27MLB · Pirates @ TigersTotalOver O 825%87%Pirates 4, Tigers 2Lost
Sep 27MLB · Rockies @ White SoxMoneylineRockies +18011%67%Rockies 2, White Sox 4Lost

The most-bet sides log began after this week, so this week has only the money-versus-tickets table.

How this week was built

  • Our systems snapshot the live market splits every morning (Eastern time). This page keeps one row per game and market: the last snapshot taken before the game started.
  • Each row is graded against the official final score at the line in that snapshot. A push is a push. A row we cannot match to exactly one final, or that has no recorded line, stays in the table as "not graded" with the reason. Nothing is removed.
  • These are market observations. They are not Wise Guy Team picks, and they are not part of our graded play record, which lives on the records page under the rules on how we grade.

Cite this report

Writers, researchers and bloggers are welcome to quote these numbers. Please credit Wise Guy Team with a link to this page, the same way you would cite any data source.

21+. Market data for information and research, not betting advice. Responsible gambling · Editorial policy

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