The side the money favored (money share 8+ points ahead of its ticket share) went 15-28 (34.9% winners) across 43 graded games. In the 43 games where most tickets were on the other side, fading the public went 15-28 and following the public went 28-15. The most-bet sides (65%+ of tickets) went 29-6. One week is a small sample; it shows what happened, not what will happen.

Units: moneylines only, at the price in the snapshot, one unit per game. Spreads and totals are graded win, loss or push with no units, because the snapshot records the line, not a price. "Split games" means most tickets sat on the other side of the money. Records only for following the public, because the other side's moneyline price was not logged.

Where the money and the tickets split

Every game and market where the money share ran 8+ points ahead of the ticket share in the last snapshot before the game (50).
Game date	Game	Market	Side	Tickets	Money	Final	Result
Nov 2	CBB · Memphis @ Iowa State	Moneyline	Memphis +650	17%	87%	Memphis 80, Iowa State 76	Won
Nov 2	NBA · Bulls @ 76ers	Total	Over O 239.5	36%	93%	Bulls 107, 76ers 126	Lost
Nov 2	CBB · Gonzaga @ Purdue	Moneyline	Purdue +200	17%	66%	--	Not graded: game not found in the ESPN final scores
Nov 2	CBB · Ohio State @ BYU	Moneyline	BYU -135	31%	97%	Ohio State 83, BYU 94	Won
Nov 2	CBB · Arizona @ UCLA	Moneyline	UCLA +180	43%	98%	Arizona 75, UCLA 84	Won
Nov 3	CBB · Wofford @ Tennessee	Moneyline	Wofford +6000	33%	98%	Wofford 59, Tennessee 90	Lost
Nov 3	CBB · IPFW @ Duquesne	Total	Over O 153.5	33%	94%	--	Not graded: game not found in the ESPN final scores
Nov 3	CBB · Sam Houston @ Alabama	Moneyline	Sam Houston +5000	14%	89%	Sam Houston 74, Alabama 96	Lost
Nov 3	CBB · Cleveland State @ Missouri	Moneyline	Cleveland State +4000	20%	90%	Cleveland State 50, Missouri 111	Lost
Nov 4	CFB · Toledo @ Sacramento State	Moneyline	Sacramento State +1900	21%	93%	Toledo 20, Sacramento State 17	Lost
Nov 4	CBB · Fairleigh Dickinson @ Butler	Moneyline	Fairleigh Dickinson +3233	31%	96%	Fairleigh Dickinson 65, Butler 99	Lost
Nov 4	NBA · 76ers @ Pistons	Moneyline	Pistons -122	17%	81%	76ers 112, Pistons 106	Lost
Nov 4	CBB · Fairleigh Dickinson @ Butler	Total	Over O 153.5	25%	83%	Fairleigh Dickinson 65, Butler 99	Won
Nov 5	CBB · Mercer @ Virginia Tech	Moneyline	Mercer +2400	7%	89%	Mercer 67, Virginia Tech 96	Lost
Nov 5	NHL · Mammoth @ Canadiens	Total	Over O 6.5	25%	100%	Mammoth 4, Canadiens 5	Won
Nov 5	NHL · Mammoth @ Canadiens	Spread	Mammoth -1.5	25%	98%	Mammoth 4, Canadiens 5	Lost
Nov 5	CBB · Toledo @ Michigan State	Moneyline	Toledo +6000	8%	98%	Toledo 61, Michigan State 91	Lost
Nov 5	NHL · Canucks @ Jets	Moneyline	Canucks +194	7%	93%	Canucks 2, Jets 6	Lost
Nov 5	CFB · James Madison @ Southern Miss	Moneyline	Southern Miss +575	15%	82%	James Madison 54, Southern Miss 23	Lost
Nov 5	CBB · Cal Poly-San Luis Obispo @ Arizona	Moneyline	Cal Poly-San Luis Obispo +9000	13%	100%	--	Not graded: game not found in the ESPN final scores
Nov 6	CBB · St. Louis @ Missouri	Total	Over O 162	33%	97%	--	Not graded: game not found in the ESPN final scores
Nov 6	CBB · Troy @ Florida State	Total	Over O 159.5	33%	96%	Troy 68, Florida State 91	Lost
Nov 6	CBB · UNC-Greensboro @ Elon	Moneyline	UNC-Greensboro +344	9%	72%	UNC-Greensboro 65, Elon 74	Lost
Nov 6	NBA · Wizards @ Hawks	Spread	Hawks -6.5	29%	91%	Wizards 132, Hawks 139	Won
Nov 6	NBA · Wizards @ Hawks	Moneyline	Wizards +223	13%	73%	Wizards 132, Hawks 139	Lost
Nov 6	CBB · Florida Atlantic @ Wright State	Moneyline	Florida Atlantic +156	33%	94%	Florida Atlantic 71, Wright State 97	Lost
Nov 6	CBB · Connecticut @ Michigan	Total	Under U 144.5	25%	90%	--	Not graded: game not found in the ESPN final scores
Nov 7	CFB · UCLA @ Minnesota	Total	Under U 39.5	22%	94%	UCLA 34, Minnesota 20	Lost
Nov 7	CFB · Texas @ Missouri	Spread	Missouri +3	29%	94%	Texas 34, Missouri 20	Lost
Nov 7	CFB · UCLA @ Minnesota	Moneyline	Minnesota +202	12%	64%	UCLA 34, Minnesota 20	Lost
Nov 7	CFB · BYU @ Utah	Moneyline	BYU +190	27%	78%	BYU 20, Utah 28	Lost
Nov 7	CFB · Columbia @ Harvard	Moneyline	Columbia +1100	20%	96%	--	Not graded: game not found in the ESPN final scores
Nov 7	CBB · LIU @ La Salle	Moneyline	LIU +184	43%	97%	LIU 80, La Salle 88	Lost
Nov 7	NHL · Rangers @ Kraken	Total	Over O 6.5	33%	86%	Rangers 4, Kraken 3	Won
Nov 7	NHL · Canadiens @ Maple Leafs	Spread	Canadiens -1.5	22%	97%	Canadiens 4, Maple Leafs 2	Won
Nov 7	CFB · Miami @ Notre Dame	Total	Under U 57.5	25%	85%	Miami 24, Notre Dame 31	Won
Nov 7	CFB · Georgia @ Mississippi	Moneyline	Mississippi +156	23%	81%	Georgia 42, Mississippi 7	Lost
Nov 7	NHL · Penguins @ Kings	Moneyline	Penguins +117	29%	95%	Penguins 5, Kings 2	Won
Nov 8	CBB · Iona @ St. John's	Total	Over O 151.5	20%	78%	Iona 65, St. John's 104	Won
Nov 8	NFL · Browns @ Saints	Total	Under U 42.5	26%	88%	Browns 22, Saints 23	Lost
Nov 8	NFL · Rams @ Commanders	Total	Under U 47.5	33%	94%	Rams 20, Commanders 13	Won
Nov 8	NFL · Broncos @ Panthers	Spread	Panthers +3	33%	92%	Broncos 26, Panthers 21	Lost
Nov 8	NFL · Giants @ Eagles	Total	Under U 38.5	19%	74%	Giants 19, Eagles 11	Won
Nov 8	NFL · Cardinals @ Seahawks	Total	Under U 39.5	30%	84%	Cardinals 3, Seahawks 17	Won
Nov 8	CBB · Saint Mary's @ Nevada	Spread	Nevada -1.5	42%	98%	Saint Mary's 95, Nevada 96	Lost
Nov 8	CBB · Richmond @ Temple	Spread	Richmond -1.5	29%	93%	Richmond 79, Temple 53	Won
Nov 8	NHL · Lightning @ Jets	Total	Under U 6.5	20%	76%	Lightning 3, Jets 4	Lost
Nov 8	NBA · Jazz @ Timberwolves	Moneyline	Jazz +500	6%	68%	Jazz 100, Timberwolves 115	Lost
Nov 8	NBA · Pelicans @ Clippers	Total	Under U 230.5	40%	95%	Pelicans 123, Clippers 139	Lost
Nov 8	CBB · Texas-Arlington @ Hawaii	Moneyline	Texas-Arlington +471	20%	89%	--	Not graded: game not found in the ESPN final scores

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The most-bet sides

Every side that drew 65%+ of the tickets in the last snapshot before the game (42).
Game date	Game	Market	Side	Tickets	Money	Final	Result
Nov 2	CBB · UTSA @ San Jose State	Moneyline	San Jose State -344	96%	87%	UTSA 74, San Jose State 95	Won
Nov 2	CBB · Memphis @ Iowa State	Moneyline	Iowa State -1111	96%	82%	Memphis 80, Iowa State 76	Lost
Nov 2	NBA · Pistons @ Hornets	Moneyline	Pistons -169	93%	96%	Pistons 124, Hornets 91	Won
Nov 2	NBA · Nets @ Knicks	Moneyline	Knicks -809	96%	98%	Nets 90, Knicks 103	Won
Nov 2	NBA · Bulls @ 76ers	Moneyline	76ers -488	93%	94%	Bulls 107, 76ers 126	Won
Nov 2	CBB · Gonzaga @ Purdue	Spread	Gonzaga -5	95%	86%	--	Not graded: game not found in the ESPN final scores
Nov 2	NBA · Bucks @ Timberwolves	Moneyline	Timberwolves -400	96%	99%	Bucks 100, Timberwolves 112	Won
Nov 3	CBB · Manhattan @ Kentucky	Spread	Kentucky -33.5	93%	100%	Manhattan 57, Kentucky 85	Lost
Nov 3	CFB · Ohio @ Akron	Moneyline	Ohio -525	96%	99%	Ohio 28, Akron 20	Won
Nov 4	CBB · Longwood @ St. Joseph's	Moneyline	St. Joseph's -410	93%	99%	--	Not graded: game not found in the ESPN final scores
Nov 4	NBA · Bulls @ Knicks	Moneyline	Knicks -525	97%	88%	Bulls 105, Knicks 135	Won
Nov 4	NBA · Bucks @ Celtics	Moneyline	Celtics -480	96%	81%	Bucks 102, Celtics 109	Won
Nov 4	CBB · Wisconsin-Milwaukee @ Santa Clara	Moneyline	Santa Clara -1900	94%	97%	--	Not graded: game not found in the ESPN final scores
Nov 4	NBA · Lakers @ Kings	Moneyline	Lakers -506	99%	100%	Lakers 116, Kings 103	Won
Nov 5	CBB · Georgia State @ UNC-Charlotte	Moneyline	UNC-Charlotte -669	93%	97%	--	Not graded: game not found in the ESPN final scores
Nov 5	NHL · Blackhawks @ Lightning	Moneyline	Lightning -390	95%	82%	Blackhawks 1, Lightning 4	Won
Nov 5	CBB · Mercer @ Virginia Tech	Moneyline	Virginia Tech -4500	93%	11%	Mercer 67, Virginia Tech 96	Won
Nov 5	NHL · Ducks @ Oilers	Moneyline	Oilers -175	95%	30%	Ducks 5, Oilers 4	Lost
Nov 5	NHL · Canucks @ Jets	Moneyline	Jets -199	93%	7%	Canucks 2, Jets 6	Won
Nov 6	CFB · Virginia Tech @ Southern Methodist	Total	Over O 56.5	95%	99%	--	Not graded: game not found in the ESPN final scores
Nov 6	NBA · Celtics @ Hornets	Moneyline	Celtics -300	98%	100%	Celtics 119, Hornets 80	Won
Nov 6	CFB · Virginia Tech @ Southern Methodist	Moneyline	Southern Methodist -208	95%	78%	--	Not graded: game not found in the ESPN final scores
Nov 6	CFB · New Mexico @ Nevada	Moneyline	New Mexico -355	97%	83%	New Mexico 31, Nevada 3	Won
Nov 6	NBA · Spurs @ Kings	Moneyline	Spurs -900	97%	83%	Spurs 124, Kings 109	Won
Nov 6	CFB · TCU @ Arizona	Total	Over O 46.5	93%	100%	TCU 28, Arizona 29	Won
Nov 6	CFB · TCU @ Arizona	Moneyline	Arizona -270	97%	94%	TCU 28, Arizona 29	Won
Nov 7	CFB · North Carolina @ Connecticut	Moneyline	North Carolina -277	97%	93%	--	Not graded: game not found in the ESPN final scores
Nov 7	CFB · UCLA @ Minnesota	Moneyline	UCLA -208	93%	64%	UCLA 34, Minnesota 20	Won
Nov 7	CFB · Oregon @ Ohio State	Moneyline	Ohio State -251	94%	71%	Oregon 41, Ohio State 28	Lost
Nov 7	NBA · Wizards @ Thunder	Moneyline	Thunder -449	99%	100%	Wizards 75, Thunder 114	Won
Nov 7	NHL · Blackhawks @ Hurricanes	Moneyline	Hurricanes -400	97%	84%	Blackhawks 2, Hurricanes 9	Won
Nov 7	NBA · Rockets @ Suns	Moneyline	Rockets -277	99%	100%	Rockets 99, Suns 102	Lost
Nov 7	NHL · Canucks @ Oilers	Moneyline	Oilers -326	97%	92%	Canucks 2, Oilers 4	Won
Nov 7	NBA · Spurs @ Trail Blazers	Moneyline	Spurs -175	98%	91%	Spurs 125, Trail Blazers 103	Won
Nov 8	NFL · Giants @ Eagles	Moneyline	Giants -159	92%	100%	Giants 19, Eagles 11	Won
Nov 8	NFL · Cowboys @ Colts	Spread	Cowboys -5.5	97%	100%	Cowboys 27, Colts 23	Lost
Nov 8	NFL · Lions @ Dolphins	Moneyline	Lions -277	95%	83%	Lions 19, Dolphins 9	Won
Nov 8	NFL · Jets @ Chiefs	Moneyline	Chiefs -426	95%	78%	Jets 12, Chiefs 35	Won
Nov 8	NBA · 76ers @ Bulls	Moneyline	76ers -376	99%	100%	76ers 127, Bulls 121	Won
Nov 8	NFL · Raiders @ 49ers	Moneyline	49ers -413	93%	76%	Raiders 17, 49ers 38	Won
Nov 8	NBA · Jazz @ Timberwolves	Moneyline	Timberwolves -525	94%	32%	Jazz 100, Timberwolves 115	Won
Nov 8	NBA · Celtics @ Bucks	Moneyline	Celtics -669	99%	95%	Celtics 117, Bucks 97	Won

How this week was built

Our systems snapshot the live market splits every morning (Eastern time). This page keeps one row per game and market: the last snapshot taken before the game started.
Each row is graded against the official final score at the line in that snapshot. A push is a push. A row we cannot match to exactly one final, or that has no recorded line, stays in the table as "not graded" with the reason. Nothing is removed.
These are market observations. They are not Wise Guy Team picks, and they are not part of our graded play record, which lives on the records page under the rules on how we grade.

Public betting report: week of Nov 2

Where the money and the tickets split

The most-bet sides

How this week was built

Cite this report