Two Wins, Two Losses, And No Board Yet
One of these teams has not lost. The other has not won. New Jersey sits 2-0-0 as of publication, New York sits 0-2-0, and the betting market for Thursday night has not posted a single number yet. That is the interesting part. When a price finally hangs, the public reads those records first and the number moves before most people have thought about why. We would rather do the thinking now, while the board is empty.
The Matchup
New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers, Thursday, September 24, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden. This event is tagged season type 1 on the league calendar, the exhibition portion, which matters more than casual bettors admit: rosters are deep, lines are experimental, and goalies often split the night. We have no head-to-head data for this pairing in the information provided, so we are not going to pretend a season series exists. What we do have are two small records and two rosters that look like early-calendar rosters. Rangers vs Devils in late September is a different animal than Rangers vs Devils in March.
Players to Watch
Timo Meier leads New Jersey on the scoring line we were given with 2. Anton Blidh leads New York with 1. Read those honestly. Two games in, a team leader with two is a player who has been on the ice for the important shifts, not a proven edge. Blidh topping the Rangers board is the tell for how this kind of night is staffed. Meier is the more established finisher of the two names, and if New Jersey is running him with its top group early, the Devils should carry more genuine finishing talent per shift.
The Numbers
There are no prices to walk through yet, so here is the checklist for when there are. The moneyline is the straight bet on who wins, no goals involved. The puck line in hockey is almost always 1.5 goals: the favorite must win by two or more, the underdog stays alive by losing by exactly one or winning outright. The total, also called over/under, is the combined goals by both teams.
The vig, or juice, is the book's built-in cut, the reason two sides of a coin flip are not both priced at even money. Shop all of it. A moneyline that is longer at one book than another pays you more for the identical outcome, and on an underdog a bigger cushion at the same price is always better because a one-goal loss still cashes. Never take the smaller number hoping it grows.
Where the Value Is
We cannot run fair-value math on a market that does not exist, and we will not invent one. Here is the process instead. Strip the vig out of the two posted prices to get the market-implied probability, which is the market's read with the house cut removed, not the truth. Compare that to your own estimate.
Expected value is simply what the bet returns on average per $100 risked if you could replay it forever. You want a price where your estimate of the win chance clears the break-even rate that price demands. Our lean on the side is New Jersey. Unbeaten, the better established scorer on the ice, and the shorter injury list.
Injuries
Five names are listed Out, three Rangers and two Devils. New York is without Vincent Iorio, Adam Sykora and Aidan Thompson. New Jersey is without Johnathan Kovacevic and Nick Bjugstad. No player carries a questionable tag here, so there is nothing to guess at. Confirm the final list before puck drop Thursday evening, not from any report dated after 7:00 PM ET.
The Pick
Desk analysis, not Ross's documented play: New Jersey Devils moneyline, taken at the longest price available across books the moment the market opens. If the Devils are priced as a meaningful favorite, the value shrinks fast, and we would rather pass than chase a short number in an exhibition.
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The Prediction
Devils vs Rangers reads like a 4-2 New Jersey night, six total goals, with the Devils' top group doing the damage in the middle period. That is the read on this number before it exists; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Devils vs Rangers FAQ
Who is favored in Devils vs Rangers?
New Jersey is 2-0-0, New York is 0-2-0, and the Desk leans Devils when the moneyline finally posts.
Who will win Rangers vs Devils?
New Jersey is 2-0-0, New York is 0-2-0, and the Desk leans Devils when the moneyline finally posts. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
Are these NHL picks free?
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
How does the Wise Guy Desk find value in NHL games?
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.