Exchange buyers: which side buyers took (Kalshi, Polymarket, Novig, ProphetX)
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
How to read these numbers
Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of trades since the market opened and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Kalshi
Match result$581 traded · 49 trades
DeportivoDrawEspanyol
Trades
Money
Light trading: $581 so far, percentages can swingEspanyol vs Deportivo: odds, trends and our lean
📊 Match odds, best prices from the US sportsbooks we track Live prices as of 7:13 AM ET · 3-way moneyline · 90 minutes
| Espanyol win | Draw | Deportivo win |
|---|---|---|
| +130Bet at Fanatics → | +250Bet at Hard Rock Bet → | +240Bet at Hard Rock Bet → |
| Total goals 2.5: O -105 (BetMGM) · U -121 (Bally Bet) | ||
What are the odds for Espanyol vs Deportivo at each sportsbook?
As of 7:13 AM ET, Espanyol +130 on the moneyline and the total is 2.5, with 9 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Deportivo ML | Espanyol ML | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | +235 | +114 | O 2.5 -108 | U 2.5 -121 |
| BetMGM | +210 | +125 | O 2.5 -105 | U 2.5 -135 |
| betPARX | +235 | +114 | O 2.5 -108 | U 2.5 -121 |
| BetRivers | +235 | +114 | O 2.5 -108 | U 2.5 -121 |
| DraftKings | +210 | +130 | – | – |
| Fanatics | +220 | +130 | – | – |
| FanDuel | +210 | +130 | – | – |
| Hard Rock Bet | +240 | +115 | – | – |
| theScore Bet | +210 | +125 | – | – |
Prices from 9 sportsbooks we track, updated (10 min ago). Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
📊 Match Breakdown real data · updated daily
Chance of each result, per the betting market (vig removed)
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Form, last 5 matches (W win · D draw · L loss)
EspanyolWLLLD
DeportivoWWLDLLa Liga table
| Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 30 |
| Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 |
| Real Madrid | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 27 |
| Real Betis | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
| Real Sociedad | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19 |
| Sevilla | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
How to read this: the result probabilities come from the actual betting odds with the sportsbook's built-in fee (the vig) stripped out. Soccer has THREE outcomes, and the draw is priced like a real contender, not an afterthought.
🛈 Wise Guy Desk analysis - not an official play. A free breakdown to help you find value and bet the best number. Ross's documented plays are graded win or loss on the members board.
📘 New to soccer betting? The one rule that surprises everyone. Soccer uses a three-way moneyline: you bet Espanyol win, Deportivo win, or the draw, settled after 90 minutes plus stoppage. Unlike American sports, a tie does NOT refund your bet, a draw beats BOTH win bets. In this match, Espanyol at +130 means a $100 bet profits $130. The total is combined goals by both teams, usually set at 2.5. +EV means the price pays better than the market-implied fair odds (vig removed). Learn free: Sports Betting 101 · Odds converter · No-vig calculator
Why Is a 15th-Place Team the Favorite?
The home team is favored, and the home team is 15th in La Liga. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona host Real Club Deportivo de La Coruña, a promoted side sitting seven places higher. Yet the market still makes Espanyol the most likely winner. Espanyol allow 17.5 shots per game on average this season. When the price and the performance disagree like that, bettors should slow down and look closer.
How Do Espanyol and Deportivo Stack Up?
Deportivo are newly promoted, meaning they came up from the second division. They have handled the jump. They sit 8th of 20 with 14 points from 11 matches and a +1 goal difference (goals scored minus goals allowed). Over their last 10 league games they score 1.4 and concede 1.3 per match. Their league form reads WLDLD. Espanyol are 15th with 11 points and a -1 goal difference. They score 1 and concede 1.4 per match over their last 10.
Their league form reads WLLDL, one win in five. The per-game averages over 11 stored games sharpen the picture. Espanyol put 3.36 shots on target and allow 7. Deportivo put 4.64 on target and allow just 2.67. Against the spread (whether a team beats the handicap the books set), Deportivo are 7-4 in 11 graded games and 5-1 as an underdog. Espanyol are 4-7 in 11 and 2-3 at home.
How Does Soccer Betting Work?
A moneyline is a straight bet on who wins. American odds show the profit on a $100 stake, so +130 pays $130. Most US sports have two outcomes. Soccer has three: an Espanyol win, a Deportivo win, or a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. That third outcome is the trap. If this ends 1-1, an Espanyol ticket loses and a Deportivo ticket loses. Only the draw at +250 cashes. Backing a side means betting against two results, not one. That is why both clubs here pay plus money.
What Are the Odds for Espanyol vs Deportivo?
Line shopping means comparing the same bet across sportsbooks and taking the best payout. The best Espanyol price is +130 at Fanatics. The best draw is +250 at Hard Rock Bet. The best Deportivo price is +240, also at Hard Rock Bet. Remove the vig (the sportsbook's built-in cut) and the market reads Espanyol 43%, draw 28%, Deportivo 30%. The goals total is 2.5. Over -105 at BetMGM means you risk $105 to win $100 and need three or more goals.
Under -121 at Bally Bet means you risk $121 to win $100 on two or fewer. Deportivo are 5-6 on over-unders across 11 games, and Espanyol are 4-7 across 11. Our rating, an Elo model built on past results, has Espanyol 52% and Deportivo 48% on a two-way basis. That is closer than the market, though it rests on just 11 rated Deportivo games. Treat it as context, not a bet.
Where the Value Is
Expected value (EV) is what a bet earns on average if you could place it many times. That is a thin edge, and it lives only at Hard Rock Bet. Settle for +230 somewhere else and it disappears.
Conditions and Where to Watch Espanyol vs Deportivo
Kickoff is Saturday, November 7 at 10:15 AM ET at RCDE Stadium in Barcelona. If you are wondering where to watch Espanyol vs Deportivo, the answer is ESPN Deportes and ESPN+. Espanyol come in on 7 days of rest after traveling 155 miles from their last game (Villarreal). Deportivo have 4 days of rest and traveled 557 miles from home. Both clubs have played 3 matches in the last 14 days, and neither changes time zones.
The Pick
Deportivo to win at +240 at Hard Rock Bet. A draw loses this bet, and we accept that risk because the price beats our fair price. The profile supports it. This is a promoted side 8th in the table and 4-1 against the spread on the road. They face a home team allowing 7 shots on target per game. Use a modest stake, and take the best number only. This is Desk analysis, not an official Wise Guy Team play.
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The Prediction
We expect Deportivo's better shot accuracy (4.64 on target per game) to find the space Espanyol concede. Espanyol's 1 goal per match should keep them close without letting them take control. Projected score: Espanyol 1, Deportivo 2. The draw stays live, which is exactly why the price matters more than the scoreline. That is our read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it sits right below.
More La Liga matchups
Espanyol vs Deportivo FAQ
Who is favored in Espanyol vs Deportivo?
Espanyol is the slight market favorite at +130 (best price at Fanatics) on the moneyline, with Deportivo at +240. The draw is priced at +250. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Where to watch Espanyol vs Deportivo?
The match airs on ESPN Deportes and ESPN+. Kickoff is Saturday, November 7 at 10:15 AM ET, and the game is played at RCDE Stadium in Barcelona, Espanyol's home ground.
What time does Espanyol vs Deportivo kick off?
Kickoff is Saturday, November 7 at 10:15 AM ET at RCDE Stadium in Barcelona. Espanyol come in on 7 days of rest, while Deportivo have 4 days of rest after traveling 557 miles from home.
What are the odds for Espanyol vs Deportivo?
The best prices across the US sportsbooks we track are Espanyol +130 at Fanatics, the draw +250 at Hard Rock Bet and Deportivo +240 at Hard Rock Bet. The goals total is 2.5, with Over -105 at BetMGM and Under -121 at Bally Bet.
Where do Espanyol and Deportivo sit in the La Liga table?
Deportivo, promoted this season, are 8th of 20 with 14 points from 11 matches and a +1 goal difference. Espanyol are 15th with 11 points from 11 matches and a -1 goal difference. Each club has 27 games left.
Can you bet on a draw in La Liga?
Yes. Soccer's standard bet is the three-way moneyline: home win, away win, or draw in 90 minutes. The draw is a real, often valuable outcome, and a draw makes both win bets lose, which is the biggest adjustment for bettors coming from American sports.
Are these La Liga picks free?
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
More for this game: Soccer betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · FanDuel betting splits