@
Houston Cougars play at Colorado Buffaloes in college football on Friday, November 13, at Folsom Field. As of 9:57 AM ET, Houston are 9.5-point favorites and the total is 51.5. Prices come from 16 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 16 sportsbooks · college football betting splits
DraftKings bettors lean Houston Cougars on the spread (86% of tickets).
| Book | BetsHouston CougarsColorado Buffaloes | MoneyHouston CougarsColorado Buffaloes |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Houston Cougars -8.5 / Colorado Buffaloes +8.5) | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (Houston Cougars -9 / Colorado Buffaloes +9) | ||
| BetMGM (Houston Cougars -8.5 / Colorado Buffaloes +8.5) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsHouston CougarsColorado Buffaloes | MoneyHouston CougarsColorado Buffaloes |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Houston Cougars (-360) / Colorado Buffaloes (+285)) | ||
| BetMGM (Houston Cougars (-350) / Colorado Buffaloes (+280)) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsOverUnder | MoneyOverUnder |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Over 51.5 / Under 51.5) | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (Over 51 / Under 51) | ||
| BetMGM (Over 51.5 / Under 51.5) | Bets only |
Splits data from DraftKings, Circa and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
| Market | Houston Cougars | Colorado Buffaloes |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -9 | +9 |
| Total 51 | O | U |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
Polymarket US lists moneyline for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.
| Market | Houston Cougars | Colorado Buffaloes |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -300Bet at Novig → exchange price | +310betPARX |
| Spread | -9.5 +106Bet at ProphetX → exchange price | +9.5 -105Bet at Hard Rock Bet → |
| Total 51.5 | O +100Bet at Courtside → | U -102Bet at Novig → exchange price |
As of 9:57 AM ET, the spread is Houston -9.5 and the total is 51.5, with 16 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Houston ML | Colorado ML | Houston spread | Colorado spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | -370 | +290 | -9.5 -107 | +9.5 -113 | O 51.5 -103 | U 51.5 -117 |
| FanDuel | -350 | +280 | -9.5 -110 | +9.5 -110 | O 51.5 -105 | U 51.5 -115 |
| Fliff | -375 | +280 | -9.5 -115 | +9.5 -120 | O 51.5 -110 | U 51.5 -125 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -425 | +300 | -9.5 -115 | +9.5 -105 | O 51.5 -115 | U 51.5 -105 |
| ProphetX | -310 | +295 | -9.5 +106 | +9.5 -109 | O 51.5 +101 | U 51.5 -104 |
| theScore Bet | -380 | +290 | -9.5 -115 | +9.5 -105 | O 51.5 -105 | U 51.5 -115 |
| BetMGM | -350 | +280 | – | – | O 51.5 -105 | U 51.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | -420 | +310 | – | – | O 51.5 -117 | U 51.5 -107 |
| Caesars | -380 | +290 | – | – | O 51.5 -105 | U 51.5 -115 |
| Courtside | -350 | +293 | – | – | O 51.5 +100 | U 51.5 -116 |
Prices from 16 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Houston Cougars4th in the Big 12 ConferenceColorado Buffaloes14th in the Big 12 Conference
Isaac Wilson (COLO)111/180, 1,412 YDS, 8 TD, 8 INT (7 GP)
Conner Weigman (HOU)170/257, 2,280 YDS, 22 TD, 2 INT (9 GP)Seventy-one percent of DraftKings spread tickets are on Houston, yet the line has dropped a full point, from Colorado +10.5 at the open to +9.5 after 23 moves, while Circa money leans 62% to Colorado. Here is the tension. The No. 14 Houston Cougars win nearly every per-game matchup on paper, yet they have covered (beaten the betting handicap) just once in six games as a favorite. The Colorado Buffaloes host at Folsom Field on Friday at 10:15 PM ET on ESPN.
Houston, clearly. As of November 11, Houston is 7-2 and sits 4th of 16 in the Big 12. Colorado is 3-6 and sits 14th. Colorado lost the last meeting, 427 days ago. These per-game averages cover nine stored games for each team. Houston gains 470.2 yards and allows 360.2. Colorado gains 387 and allows 376.9. Houston commits 0.67 turnovers a game. Colorado commits 2. Predicted points added per play (PPA) measures how much each snap moves a team toward points.
It rates Houston's offense at 0.33 and Colorado's at 0.04. Our rating, an Elo model built on past results, gives Houston 78% to win. That matches the market, and it is context only. Against the spread (ATS), Houston is 3-6 in nine graded games and Colorado is 2-6-1. Houston travels 903 miles and crosses one time zone west. It also climbs to about 1,630 meters from a low-elevation home. Both teams have five days of rest. The forecast calls for 47 degrees, a 3 mph wind and no rain.
Conner Weigman has played all nine games for Houston. He has 2,280 yards, 22 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, which works out to 253.3 yards, 2.4 touchdowns and 0.2 interceptions per game. Over his last five games he averages 266.6 passing yards and 34.6 rushing yards. Colorado's Isaac Wilson has played seven of nine games. He averages 201.7 yards, 1.1 touchdowns and 1.1 interceptions per game, and 251.8 passing yards a game over his last five. Per game, Weigman has been the cleaner passer. Past games are context, not a forecast.
The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. Houston is the favorite at -345 (best at ProphetX). Risk $100 and you profit $28.41 after the fee. The point spread is a handicap. The half point means no push (a tie that refunds your bet). The total, a bet on combined points, is 51.5. The total opened at 49. The best price on each side sits at a different book, so shopping is the edge.
Every book keeps a cut called the vig. Remove it and the market reads Houston at about 77.5% to win and Colorado at 22.5%. Break-even is how often a bet must win to stop losing money. Expected value is the long-run average result. Colorado +9.5 needs 50% against 49.3%, which is minus $1.39. The Over is minus $2.32 and the Under is minus $0.58. Nothing here is positive, so any play is a matchup opinion. Size it small.
This is a separate bet from the moneyline, and it cashes only on a Houston win by 10 or more. Its break-even is 51% and the market's cover read is 50.7%. We are betting on the yardage, turnover and PPA gaps. At a worse price, pass.
Our Colorado vs Houston prediction leans on the turnover gap and Houston's balance (207.7 rushing yards a game on average). The altitude, the late kickoff and Houston's 1-5 ATS mark as a favorite (six games) keep us measured. We project Houston 31, Colorado 20. That is an 11-point margin and adds up to 51 points, just below the 51.5 total. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Houston is the market favorite at -300 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with Colorado at +310. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Houston vs Colorado airs on ESPN. Kickoff is Friday, November 13 at 10:15 PM ET at Folsom Field, home of the Colorado Buffaloes. The game is a Big 12 conference matchup in Week 11 of the 2026 regular season.
The Houston Cougars at Colorado Buffaloes game kicks off Friday, November 13, 2026 at 10:15 PM Eastern time on ESPN. It is played at Folsom Field. The forecast calls for 47 degrees with a light 3 mph wind and no rain.
A ranked Houston team climbs to Folsom Field while the spread drops a full point against the public split. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 51.5, with the over priced at +100 at Courtside and the under at -102 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College football betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college football odds · FanDuel betting splits
Public is on Cougars (71% of DraftKings tickets on the spread), Circa money leans Buffaloes (62%).
The spread opened Buffaloes +10.5 and is now +9.5; the total moved from 49 to 51.5; several books (3) moved the spread on home to 9.5 together.
On Kalshi, 84% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Houston Cougars (574 trades, $9.9k traded). Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 11, 7:48 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.