UAB vs Jacksonville State Prediction & Odds (Nov 14) | WGT
The Wise Guy Desk · College Basketball
UAB Blazers logo@Jacksonville State Gamecocks logo

UAB vs Jacksonville State Prediction & Odds (Nov 14)

Quick answer
UAB Blazers vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks started Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET, so this preview is the read written before the game began. Before it started, the page listed spread Blazers -3.5, total 149.5 and moneyline -152 / +133 (away / home). The Desk's lean before the start: UAB -3.5 (-102, FanDuel).
From the numbers on this page, compiled by the Wise Guy Desk. Page content last changed November 14, 2026.
UAB Blazers vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks: UAB's rest and travel edge makes the Blazers -3.5 at FanDuel our matchup lean, even though no price on this board shows positive value. · Pete Mathews Coliseum

Blazers vs Gamecocks: start time right now

Start
(started) updated
The lean: UAB -3.5 (-102, FanDuel)
SpreadBlazers -3.5
Total149.5
Moneyline, away / home-152 / +133
Tip-offSat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET
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Who was the public betting on UAB Blazers vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks?

DraftKings bettors lean UAB Blazers on the spread (60% of tickets).

Spread
BookBetsUAB Blazers -2.5Jacksonville State Gamecocks +2.5MoneyUAB Blazers -2.5Jacksonville State Gamecocks +2.5
DraftKings
Moneyline
BookBetsUAB Blazers (-135)Jacksonville State Gamecocks (+114)MoneyUAB Blazers (-135)Jacksonville State Gamecocks (+114)
DraftKings
Total
BookBetsOver 147.5Under 147.5MoneyOver 147.5Under 147.5
DraftKings

Splits data from DraftKings. See every game's betting splits

Exchange buyers before tip-off: which side buyers took (Kalshi, Polymarket (international), Novig, ProphetX)

These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.

How to read these numbers

Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.

Kalshi
Moneyline$3.9k traded · 58 trades · $8.7k open
UAB BlazersJacksonville State Gamecocks
Trades
Money
Light trading: $3.9k so far, percentages can swing
Spread$8.2k traded · 68 trades · $14k open
UAB Blazers -3.5Jacksonville State Gamecocks +3.5
Trades
Money
Total 147.5$26k traded · 91 trades · $40k open
Over 147.5Under 147.5
Trades
Money
Polymarket (international)

Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.

Moneyline$1.2k traded · 12 trades · $2.4k open
UAB BlazersJacksonville State Gamecocks
Trades
Money
Light trading: $1.2k so far, percentages can swing
Total 147.5$3.7k traded · 19 trades · $7.6k open
Over 147.5Under 147.5
Trades
Money
Light trading: $3.7k so far, percentages can swing

Last read before tip-off .

How the number moved: UAB Blazers at Jacksonville State Gamecocks

MarketOpenedClosedCirca closed
Spread (home line)+3.5+2.5n/a
Total149.5147.5n/a
Moneyline (away / home)n/a-132 / +114n/a

Opened is the first number we saw and closed the last before tip-off, the median across the books we track. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book, shown as a reference.

UAB Blazers vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks: odds, trends and our lean

📊 Best prices from the regulated US sportsbooks we track Prices when this preview was published
MarketUAB BlazersJacksonville State Gamecocks
Moneyline-152Bet at Courtside →+133Bet at Courtside →
Spread-3.5 -102Bet at FanDuel →+3.5 -108Bet at Courtside →
Total 149.5O -108Bet at Courtside →U -108Bet at Courtside →
📊 Team Breakdown real data · updated daily
Season win %
UAB Blazers
67%
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
33%
Chance to win, per the betting market (vig removed)

Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →

Players to watch
Jordan StiemkeJordan Stiemke (JXST)18.0 PPG (3 GP)
Deuce JonesDeuce Jones (UAB)15.3 PPG (3 GP)
How to read this: "chance to win per the betting market" comes from the actual odds with the sportsbook's built-in fee (the vig) stripped out, the market's honest opinion of the game.
🛈 Wise Guy Desk analysis - not an official play. A free breakdown to help you find value and bet the best number. Ross's documented plays are graded win or loss on the members board.
📘 New to betting? Two-minute translation. A moneyline bet is picking who wins, nothing else. In this game, +133 means a $100 bet profits $133 if it wins. The spread is a head start: -7.5 must win by 8+, while +7.5 cashes by losing by 7 or fewer (or winning). The total is combined points by both teams, over or under the books' number. +EV means the price pays better than the market-implied fair odds (vig removed); consistently taking better prices raises your expected return over time. Learn free: Sports Betting 101 · Odds converter · No-vig calculator

UAB vs Jacksonville State Prediction: A Point That Moved Fast

The spread on UAB jumped from 2.5 to 3.5 at five books inside five minutes, and that one point frames this whole game. Jacksonville State's last game was a 92-46 loss to No. 8 Houston, then a 629-mile trip home on two days of rest, while UAB arrives with four days off and a 63-mile drive. The UAB Blazers at Jacksonville State Gamecocks tips Saturday, November 14, at 7:00 PM ET at Pete Mathews Coliseum, streaming on ESPN+. Our own rating leans the other way. That makes this a number worth slowing down on.

The Matchup: Who Is Favored to Win UAB vs Jacksonville State?

UAB is 2-1 and Jacksonville State is 1-2 as of Friday. That is three games into the season for each team, far too early to call form. UAB is the road favorite. Jacksonville State is the home underdog. Schedule tells us more than records right now. Neither team is on a back-to-back, and nobody changes time zones, but the rest gap is four days to two.

Over their last 10 stored games, UAB averages 68.2 possessions per game (pace, meaning trips down the floor) and scores 110.2 points per 100 possessions. Jacksonville State runs 69.2 possessions and scores 108.7 per 100. Our rating, an Elo model built on stored results, gives Jacksonville State 53% and UAB 47%. That is context, not a bet, and it runs opposite the market.

Players to Watch

Jordan Stiemke leads Jacksonville State at 18.0 points per game over three games, a small sample. He played 29 minutes last game, with Chris Lockett Jr. at 30 and Naas Cunningham at 29. Deuce Jones leads UAB at 15.3 points per game over three games, also a small sample. Jones and Jeremy Elyzee each played 26 minutes last game, and Justyn Fernandez played 23. A Friday headline reads "Fernandez leads UAB against Jacksonville State after 20-point game," so watch how UAB spreads the scoring. None of these three-game numbers drive our read.

The Numbers: UAB vs Jacksonville State Odds and Spread

The moneyline is a bet on who wins, nothing more. UAB is -152 at Courtside: risk $100 to profit $65.79. Jacksonville State is +133 at Courtside: $100 profits $133.00.

The spread hands the underdog a head start. UAB -3.5 at -102, best at FanDuel, wins only if UAB wins by 4 or more; a 3-point win loses. Jacksonville State +3.5 at -108, best at Courtside, wins outright or on a loss of 3 or fewer. The total, a bet on combined points, sits at 149.5, with Over and Under each -108 at Courtside. Shopping matters: seven books opened anywhere from 2.5 (FanDuel) to 3.5 (DraftKings), a one-point gap.

Where the Value Is

Break-even is the win rate a price needs just to tie over time. Expected value is your average result per bet if you made it many times. Every price here pays less than the market's own no-vig read. So this is a matchup lean, not a value play.

The Pick

UAB -3.5 at -102 at FanDuel, a matchup lean. Four days of rest against two, and a 63-mile trip against a 629-mile one, both tilt toward UAB. Only take -102 or better, because a worse price raises that 50.5% break-even. Remember a 3-point UAB win loses this ticket. Keep the stake small.

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The Prediction

We see UAB 76, Jacksonville State 71. That adds to 147 points, under the 149.5 total, though we are not playing either side of the total at -108. A five-point UAB win covers the 3.5. Jacksonville State vs UAB stays tight if the home team shoots well, and our rating's 53% lean toward Jacksonville State is a fair warning that this margin is thin. That is our read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it sits right below.

UAB vs Jacksonville State FAQ

Who is favored in UAB vs Jacksonville State?

UAB is the market favorite at -152 (best price at Courtside) on the moneyline, with Jacksonville State at +133. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.

Where to watch UAB vs Jacksonville State?

UAB vs Jacksonville State streams on ESPN+. The game is played at Pete Mathews Coliseum, home of the Jacksonville State Gamecocks, on Saturday, November 14, with tip-off scheduled for 7:00 PM Eastern time.

Who is favored to win UAB vs Jacksonville State?

The UAB Blazers are favored. UAB is -152 on the moneyline at Courtside and Jacksonville State is +133. With the vig removed, the market reads about 58.7% UAB to 41.3% Jacksonville State. UAB is also a 3.5-point favorite on the spread.

What time is the UAB vs Jacksonville State game?

The UAB Blazers at Jacksonville State Gamecocks game tips off Saturday, November 14, 2026, at 7:00 PM Eastern time at Pete Mathews Coliseum. The broadcast is on ESPN+.

What is the spread for UAB vs Jacksonville State?

UAB is -3.5, best at -102 at FanDuel, and Jacksonville State is +3.5, best at -108 at Courtside. UAB must win by 4 or more to cover. The spread moved from 2.5 to 3.5 at five books within five minutes.

Who will win Jacksonville State vs UAB?

UAB's rest and travel edge makes the Blazers -3.5 at FanDuel our matchup lean, even though no price on this board shows positive value. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.

What is the total (over/under) for UAB vs Jacksonville State?

The total is 149.5, with the over priced at -108 at Courtside and the under at -108 at Courtside. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.

Are these College Basketball picks free?

Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.

How does the Wise Guy Desk find value in College Basketball games?

Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.

Quick answers

Where has the UAB Blazers vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks line moved?

Several books (5) moved the spread on away to -3.5 together.

As of Nov 13, 8:40 PM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.

This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.

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