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UC Riverside Highlanders play at Fresno State Bulldogs in college basketball on Saturday, November 14, at Save Mart Center. As of 7:23 PM ET, Fresno State are 5.5-point favorites and the total is 149.5. Prices come from 9 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 9 sportsbooks · college basketball betting splits
Kalshi and Polymarket list this game, but not enough has traded yet to show the buyers (we show markets with at least 10 trades and $500 traded).
Polymarket US lists moneyline for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.
| Market | UC Riverside Highlanders | Fresno State Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +189Bet at Courtside → | -199Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Spread | +5.5 -113Bet at Courtside → | -5.5 -103Bet at Courtside → |
| Total 149.5 | O -108Bet at Courtside → | U -108Bet at Courtside → |
As of 7:23 PM ET, the spread is Fresno State -5.5 and the total is 149.5, with 9 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | UC Riverside ML | Fresno State ML | UC Riverside spread | Fresno State spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +180 | -220 | +5.5 -115 | -5.5 -105 | O 149.5 -110 | U 149.5 -110 |
| Courtside | +189 | -220 | +5.5 -113 | -5.5 -103 | O 149.5 -108 | U 149.5 -108 |
| DraftKings | +185 | -225 | +5.5 -115 | -5.5 -105 | O 149.5 -110 | U 149.5 -110 |
| Caesars | – | – | +5.5 -115 | -5.5 -105 | O 149.5 -110 | U 149.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | +180 | -220 | – | – | O 149.5 -110 | U 149.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +176 | -210 | – | – | O 149.5 -110 | U 149.5 -110 |
| Novig | +170 | -199 | +5.5 -125 | -5.5 -113 | – | – |
| ProphetX | +150 | -240 | – | – | O 149.5 -110 | U 149.5 -110 |
| theScore Bet | – | – | +5.5 -115 | -5.5 -105 | O 149.5 -110 | U 149.5 -110 |
Prices from 9 sportsbooks we track, updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Dragos Lungu (FRES)19.3 PPG (3 GP)Prices are posted now. The full best-price table sits at the top of this page.
Fresno State's top three players logged 79, 81 and 67 minutes over the last seven days, and one of those games went to overtime. UC Riverside played only once in that span, but it arrives on one day of rest, on game two of a road trip, after a 124-mile trip from San Jose. That is the tension in the UC Riverside Highlanders at Fresno State Bulldogs game at the Save Mart Center, Saturday, November 14 at 6:00 PM ET on YouTube.
No sportsbook has posted odds yet, so there is no betting favorite. As of publication UC Riverside is 2-0 and Fresno State is 2-1. That is two and three games into the season, far too early to call anything form. Our data has no season series between them. Our rating, an Elo model built on past results, gives Fresno State 62% and UC Riverside 38%. That is context, not a bet. Fresno State gets three days of rest and plays game two of a home stand with no travel. UC Riverside gets one day of rest.
Tyus Parrish-Tillman leads UC Riverside at 22.5 points per game over two games, a small sample. He also played 36 minutes last game, the most on the team. Dragos Lungu leads Fresno State at 19.3 points per game over three games, also a small sample. Both are clear first options. Neither number is reliable enough yet to build a bet on.
There isn't one yet., expect three main bets. The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. The spread is a handicap: the favorite must win by more than the posted margin. The total is a bet on combined points, over or under a set number. Until then, here are the real numbers. Possessions are the trips each team gets with the ball, and pace is how many a team averages per game.
Over the last 10 stored games, UC Riverside played at 71.9 possessions per game and scored 107.3 points per 100 possessions. Fresno State played at 68.3 and scored 107.5. Those efficiency numbers are nearly a dead heat. Over three games, a small sample, Fresno State shoots 46.67% from the field per game and allows 47.67%, and it scores 40.67 paint points per game while allowing 40., compare every book. Half a point or a few cents on the price adds up over a season.
Books build in a fee called the vig, so the two sides' implied chances add up to more than 100%. Strip that fee out and you get the no-vig number, the market's implied probability with the vig removed. Expected value is what a bet returns per $100 risked on average if you could make it thousands of times. Positive means the price pays more than the risk deserves. Our read is that two teams this even on efficiency get split by the floor and the calendar, and both favor Fresno State. The value question comes down to how steep the price is when it lands.
We lean Fresno State Bulldogs on the moneyline, at the best price you can find across books. This is a matchup lean from the Wise Guy Desk, not an official play. If the price comes out steep, the lean weakens, and passing is a fine answer.
Blend the two paces and you get roughly 70 possessions. At about 107 points per 100 possessions for each side, that points to the mid-70s for both teams. The tiebreakers are home floor, three days of rest against one, and a road team on its second stop. Fresno State's heavy minutes are the risk. We project Fresno State 76, UC Riverside 71, a 147-point game.
Fresno State is the market favorite at -199 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with UC Riverside at +189. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
UC Riverside vs Fresno State streams on YouTube. The game tips off Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET from the Save Mart Center, home of the Fresno State Bulldogs, with the UC Riverside Highlanders visiting.
The game starts Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. It is played indoors at the Save Mart Center and streams on YouTube. UC Riverside is on game two of a road trip, and Fresno State is on game two of a home stand.
Odds were not posted as of November 11, so there is no betting favorite yet. As context only, our Elo rating gives Fresno State a 62% chance to win and UC Riverside 38%. Check every sportsbook once lines appear to find the best price.
Fresno State's rest and home floor tilt a near-even efficiency matchup, so we lean Bulldogs on the moneyline and you can shop the best price. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 149.5, with the over priced at -108 at Courtside and the under at -108 at Courtside. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college basketball odds · FanDuel betting splits
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