@
Portland State Vikings play at San Francisco Dons in college basketball on Saturday, November 14, at The Sobrato Center. As of 7:43 PM ET, San Francisco are 9.5-point favorites and the total is 143.5. Prices come from 7 sportsbooks we track. The Desk leans Portland State +9.5.
Prices updated · from 7 sportsbooks · college basketball betting splits
Kalshi and Polymarket list this game, but not enough has traded yet to show the buyers (we show markets with at least 10 trades and $500 traded).
Polymarket US lists moneyline for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.
| Market | Portland State Vikings | San Francisco Dons |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +360Bet at FanDuel → | -475Bet at Fanatics → |
| Spread | +9.5 +100Bet at theScore Bet → | -9.5 -110Bet at FanDuel → |
| Total 143.5 | O -110Bet at Fanatics → | U -105Bet at FanDuel → |
As of 7:43 PM ET, the spread is San Francisco -9.5 and the total is 143.5, with 7 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Portland State ML | San Francisco ML | Portland State spread | San Francisco spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +360 | -475 | +9.5 -102 | -9.5 -118 | O 143.5 -110 | U 143.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +360 | -480 | +9.5 -110 | -9.5 -110 | O 143.5 -115 | U 143.5 -105 |
| Novig | +355 | -488 | +9.5 -117 | -9.5 -122 | O 143.5 -122 | U 143.5 -127 |
| Caesars | – | – | +9.5 -110 | -9.5 -110 | O 143.5 -110 | U 143.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | +360 | -475 | – | – | O 143.5 -110 | U 143.5 -110 |
| ProphetX | +300 | -610 | – | – | O 143.5 -122 | U 143.5 -127 |
| theScore Bet | – | – | +9.5 +100 | -9.5 -120 | – | – |
Prices from 7 sportsbooks we track, updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Ben Oosterbaan (SF)16.0 PPG (3 GP)
Yaroslav Nikonov (PRST)14.7 PPG (3 GP)San Francisco is -475 on the moneyline, so you would risk $475 to profit $100 on a straight win. One book is dealing Portland State +9.5 at even money, while the other side of that spread costs -110. That gap drives our Portland State vs San Francisco prediction. The Portland State Vikings visit the San Francisco Dons at The Sobrato Center on Saturday, November 14, at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+.
San Francisco is the clear favorite. As of publication, San Francisco is 3-0 and Portland State is 1-2. Both teams are only three games into the season, so those records tell us very little about form. The schedule tells us more. Portland State is playing game three of a road trip. It traveled 947 miles from Fort Collins, crossed one time zone west, and has two days of rest.
San Francisco has three days of rest and is playing game four of a home stand, with zero miles traveled. The last meeting was 367 days ago, and San Francisco won. Our rating, an Elo model built on stored results, gives San Francisco 71% and Portland State 29%. That is context only, not a bet, and it is less lopsided than the market.
Ben Oosterbaan leads San Francisco at 16.0 points per game over three games, which is a small sample. Yaroslav Nikonov leads Portland State at 14.7 points per game over three games, also a small sample. Both have played all three of their team's games, so the per-game numbers line up fairly, but three games is not a trend. Jaquay Randolph played 34 minutes in Portland State's last game (64 minutes over seven days), and a Nov 13 headline highlighted his 23-point showing. For San Francisco, Gustav Knudsen logged 36 minutes last game and Oosterbaan logged 35.
Start with the moneyline, a bet on who wins and nothing else. Portland State +360 at FanDuel means a $100 bet profits $360 if Portland State wins. San Francisco -475 at Fanatics means a $100 bet profits $21.05. Next is the spread, a handicap on the final margin. Portland State +9.5 wins if Portland State wins outright or loses by 9 or fewer. A 10-point loss loses. San Francisco -9.5 needs a win by 10 or more. The half point rules out a push (a tie that refunds your stake).
The best Portland State spread price is +100 at theScore Bet, which breaks even at 50%. San Francisco -9.5 is -110 at FanDuel, which breaks even at 52.4%. Last is the total of 143.5, a bet on combined points. The Over is -110 at Fanatics (break-even 52.4%), and the Under is -105 at FanDuel (break-even 51.2%). Books opened that total anywhere from 142.5 at ESPN BET to 143.5 at FanDuel. San Francisco is 1-2 against the spread (whether it covered the handicap) and 1-2 on over-unders, both over three games.
Expected value is what a bet averages per $100 risked if you could place it many times. Neither moneyline clears the bar. We pass on both moneylines. The spread is where the price helps. Portland State +9.5 at +100 needs 50%, while San Francisco's -110 side needs 52.4%. We cannot show that this spread's own no-vig number beats 50%, so treat this as a matchup lean, not a proven edge.
Here is the matchup case. San Francisco plays slowly, at 65.8 possessions per game over its last 10 stored games. Fewer possessions give a favorite fewer chances to stretch a lead. Shopping matters too. At +100, a winning $100 ticket profits $100, compared with $90.91 at a -110 price.
Portland State +9.5 at +100 at theScore Bet. This is a matchup lean with a 50% break-even. Portland State has to win outright or lose by 9 or fewer. If you find +10 at the same price, take it, because a 10-point loss would then push instead of lose.
Our San Francisco vs Portland State prediction is that San Francisco wins at home with the rest edge, but its slow pace keeps the margin in range. We project San Francisco 74, Portland State 67. That adds up to 141 points, under the 143.5 total, and the 7-point margin falls inside the +9.5. That is our read on this number, and the Desk's documented free play for the day sits right below if you want the next step.
San Francisco is the market favorite at -475 (best price at Fanatics) on the moneyline, with Portland State at +360. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Portland State vs San Francisco streams on ESPN+. The game is played at The Sobrato Center, the San Francisco Dons' home arena, on Saturday, November 14, 2026, with tip-off set for 7:00 PM Eastern time.
The San Francisco Dons are the favorite at -475 on the moneyline (best at Fanatics), and the Portland State Vikings are the underdog at +360 (best at FanDuel). The point spread has San Francisco at -9.5, and the total is 143.5.
The Portland State Vikings and San Francisco Dons tip off on Saturday, November 14, 2026, at 7:00 PM Eastern time at The Sobrato Center. The game streams on ESPN+.
San Francisco is a heavy favorite on the moneyline, but we lean Portland State +9.5 at even money at theScore Bet as a matchup play. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 143.5, with the over priced at -110 at Fanatics and the under at -105 at FanDuel. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college basketball odds · FanDuel betting splits
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.