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South Alabama Jaguars play at North Texas Mean Green in college basketball on Saturday, November 14, at The Super Pit. As of 6:08 PM ET, North Texas are 8.5-point favorites and the total is 136.5. Prices come from 8 sportsbooks we track. The Desk leans North Texas moneyline.
Prices updated · from 8 sportsbooks · college basketball betting splits
Kalshi and Polymarket list this game, but not enough has traded yet to show the buyers (we show markets with at least 10 trades and $500 traded).
Polymarket US lists moneyline for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.
| Market | South Alabama Jaguars | North Texas Mean Green |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +329Bet at Courtside → | -397Bet at Courtside → |
| Spread | +8.5 -108Bet at Courtside → | -8.5 -105Bet at theScore Bet → |
| Total 136.5 | O -110Bet at Caesars → | U -103Bet at Courtside → |
As of 6:08 PM ET, the spread is North Texas -8.5 and the total is 136.5, with 8 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | South Alabama ML | North Texas ML | South Alabama spread | North Texas spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | +329 | -397 | +8.5 -108 | -8.5 -108 | O 136.5 -113 | U 136.5 -103 |
| DraftKings | +320 | -410 | +8.5 -110 | -8.5 -110 | O 136.5 -115 | U 136.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | +320 | -420 | +8.5 -110 | -8.5 -110 | O 136.5 -115 | U 136.5 -105 |
| Novig | +365 | -488 | +8.5 -117 | -8.5 -117 | O 136.5 -130 | U 136.5 -117 |
| Caesars | – | – | +8.5 -110 | -8.5 -110 | O 136.5 -110 | U 136.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | +310 | -400 | +8.5 -110 | -8.5 -110 | – | – |
| theScore Bet | – | – | +8.5 -115 | -8.5 -105 | O 136.5 -115 | U 136.5 -105 |
| ProphetX | – | – | +8.5 -124 | -8.5 -118 | – | – |
Prices from 8 sportsbooks we track, updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Je'Shawn Stevenson (UNT)22.5 PPG (2 GP)
Stephen Williams (USA)19.7 PPG (3 GP)Prices are posted now. Best prices as of 6:08 PM ET: South Alabama Jaguars +329 at Courtside, North Texas Mean Green -397 at Courtside. The full best-price table sits at the top of this page.
One team gets one day of rest after a 613-mile trip from Pensacola. The other gets two days off and has not left home, because this is game four of its home stand. That gap is the sharpest edge in the data for the South Alabama Jaguars at the North Texas Mean Green, Saturday at The Super Pit.
As of November 11, South Alabama is 1-2 and North Texas is 2-0. It is very early: South Alabama is three games into the season and North Texas only two. That is far too little to call either team hot or cold, so we will not. The last meeting was 335 days ago, and North Texas won.
Tip is Saturday, November 14 at 6:00 PM ET on ESPN+. One betting note: South Alabama is 1-2 against the spread (ATS) over three graded games. ATS tracks whether a team beats the point handicap the sportsbook sets. South Alabama has also gone 2-1 to the over in three games, meaning the combined score topped the posted total. Three games is noise, not a pattern.
Je'Shawn Stevenson drives North Texas. He is averaging 22.5 points per game over two games, a small sample. A November 10 headline noted his 30-point outing. Over a longer window he has scored 21 points per game over his last five games and 19.2 over his last 10. For South Alabama, Stephen Williams is averaging 19.7 points per game over three games, also a small sample.
He has 16.8 points and 9.6 rebounds per game over his last five games, and 11.7 points per game over his last 10. Also watch the South Alabama minutes. In its last game Jalen Langsy played 37 and Aaron Goldstein played 35, and they get one day to recover.
No sportsbook has posted a line, so nobody is officially favored yet. When South Alabama vs North Texas odds land, you will see three bets. The moneyline is a straight bet on who wins. A minus price shows what you risk to win $100, and a plus price shows what $100 wins. The spread is a point handicap: the favorite must win by more than the number, and the underdog can lose by less and still cash. The total is a bet on combined points, over or under.
For context, South Alabama has averaged 66.4 possessions per game (a possession is one trip down the floor) and 113.3 points per 100 possessions over its last 10 stored games. North Texas sits at 68.3 and 112.3 over its last 10. Those offenses look similar. Our rating, an Elo model built on past results, gives North Texas 76% to win and South Alabama 24%. That is context, not the market and not a bet. Whatever posts, compare several books, because the same bet often carries different prices.
Value is about the price, not just the team. Every line includes the vig, the sportsbook's built-in fee. Strip it out and you get the no-vig number, the market-implied probability with the fee removed. Expected value is what a $100 bet would return on average if you could make it many times. Positive means the payout outweighs the risk. Our case for North Texas rests on the schedule: two days of rest at home against a team on one day of rest after 613 miles. If the posted price on North Texas is too steep, the right move is to pass.
North Texas moneyline, as a matchup lean, at the best price you can find across books. There is no price or book to quote yet. If you would rather play a spread, treat it as its own bet with its own break-even, and judge that number on its own merits when it appears.
Our North Texas vs South Alabama prediction: North Texas pulls away late as South Alabama runs out of gas on short rest. Projected score: North Texas 75, South Alabama 68. That is the read before the number exists;, the Desk's documented free play for the day sits right below, the natural next stop.
North Texas is the market favorite at -397 (best price at Courtside) on the moneyline, with South Alabama at +329. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
South Alabama vs North Texas airs on ESPN+. The game is played at The Super Pit, the home floor of the North Texas Mean Green, on Saturday, November 14.
The South Alabama Jaguars and North Texas Mean Green tip off Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 6:00 PM Eastern time at The Super Pit, with the broadcast on ESPN+.
As of November 11, no sportsbook odds were posted, so neither team is officially favored. For context only, our Elo rating gives North Texas a 76% chance to win and South Alabama 24%. That rating is not a betting line.
A rested North Texas at home against a South Alabama team on one day of rest and a 613-mile trip is our lean, but only at the best price. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 136.5, with the over priced at -110 at Caesars and the under at -103 at Courtside. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college basketball odds · FanDuel betting splits
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