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New Mexico Lobos play at Santa Clara Broncos in college basketball on Saturday, November 14, at Leavey Center. As of 5:57 PM ET, New Mexico are 1.5-point favorites and the total is 165.5. Prices come from 14 sportsbooks we track. The Desk leans Santa Clara +2.5 at Courtside.
Prices updated · from 14 sportsbooks · college basketball betting splits
Latest since this preview was written: spread now Lobos -1.5, was Lobos -2.5; total now 165.5, was 164.5.
DraftKings bettors lean New Mexico on the spread (50% of tickets).
| Book | BetsNew MexicoSanta Clara | MoneyNew MexicoSanta Clara |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (New Mexico -1.5 / Santa Clara +1.5) | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (New Mexico -2 / Santa Clara +2) |
| Book | BetsNew MexicoSanta Clara | MoneyNew MexicoSanta Clara |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (New Mexico (-125) / Santa Clara (+105)) | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (New Mexico (-135) / Santa Clara (+115)) |
Splits data from DraftKings and Circa. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
| Market | New Mexico Lobos | Santa Clara Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -2 | +2 |
| Moneyline | -135 | +115 |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
| Market | New Mexico Lobos | Santa Clara Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -122Bet at Courtside → | +122Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Spread | -1.5 -105Bet at Bally Bet → | +1.5 +101Bet at ProphetX → exchange price |
| Total 165.5 | O -110Bet at Fanatics → | U -105Bet at theScore Bet → |
As of 5:57 PM ET, the spread is New Mexico -1.5 and the total is 165.5, with 14 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | New Mexico ML | Santa Clara ML | New Mexico spread | Santa Clara spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -125 | +105 | -1.5 -110 | +1.5 -110 | O 165.5 -110 | U 165.5 -110 |
| Caesars | -125 | +105 | -1.5 -110 | +1.5 -110 | O 165.5 -110 | U 165.5 -110 |
| Courtside | -122 | +107 | -1.5 -108 | +1.5 -108 | O 165.5 -110 | U 165.5 -106 |
| DraftKings | -125 | +105 | -1.5 -110 | +1.5 -110 | O 165.5 -112 | U 165.5 -108 |
| Fanatics | -130 | +110 | -1.5 -110 | +1.5 -110 | O 165.5 -110 | U 165.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | -125 | +104 | -1.5 -110 | +1.5 -110 | O 165.5 -112 | U 165.5 -108 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -125 | +100 | -1.5 -105 | +1.5 -115 | O 165.5 -115 | U 165.5 -105 |
| ProphetX | -126 | +119 | -1.5 -112 | +1.5 +101 | O 165.5 -101 | U 165.5 -107 |
| ReBet | -131 | +107 | -1.5 -118 | +1.5 -105 | O 165.5 -115 | U 165.5 -109 |
| theScore Bet | -130 | +110 | -1.5 -115 | +1.5 -105 | O 165.5 -115 | U 165.5 -105 |
Prices from 14 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
David Castillo (SCU)13.2 PPG (4 GP)
Jake Hall (UNM)30.7 PPG (3 GP)This spread has already changed teams. The consensus number opened with the Santa Clara Broncos as 1.5-point favorites. After seven moves, it now has them as 1.5-point underdogs. At three books, the New Mexico Lobos went from +2.5 to -2.5 inside five minutes. When the market can't settle on who should be favored, the price you shop for decides a lot. The game tips Saturday, November 14 at 10:00 PM ET at the Leavey Center, streaming on ESPN+.
New Mexico is the favorite. As of publication, the Lobos are 3-0 and the Broncos are 4-0. It is very early, only three games and four games into the season, so none of that is form yet. Against the spread (whether a team beat the betting margin, not just won), New Mexico is 3-0 in three graded games and Santa Clara is 3-1 in four. Treat both as small samples. In per-game averages over those few games, both defenses have squeezed shooters. New Mexico allows 39% from the field and Santa Clara allows 38%.
New Mexico turns it over 7.33 times a game, Santa Clara 12.67. New Mexico arrives on 3 days of rest after traveling 866 miles and crossing one time zone west. Santa Clara has 2 days of rest, and its last game was in Denton, 1,425 miles and two time zones away. Neither team is on a back-to-back. These teams last met 343 days ago, a Santa Clara loss. Our rating, an Elo model built on stored results, gives Santa Clara 69% to win, while the market says about 47%. That gap is context, not a bet.
New Mexico runs through Jake Hall, who averages 30.7 points per game over three games. That is a small sample. He also played a team-high 29 minutes last game and is coming off a 39-point night, per a recent headline. Santa Clara's leading scorer is David Castillo at 13.2 points per game over all four games. The Broncos share the ball, averaging 22.33 assists per game as a team, and Darlan scored 16 in their 76-71 win over North Texas.
The moneyline is a bet on who wins, nothing else. New Mexico Lobos -125 at Fanatics means you risk $100 to profit $80.00, and it needs to win 55.6% of the time to break even. Santa Clara Broncos +105 at BetMGM profits $105.00 on $100, with a 48.8% break-even. The spread evens out the teams with points. New Mexico -2.5 must win by 3 or more.
Santa Clara +2.5 cashes if it wins or loses by 2 or fewer. Both sides are -108 at Courtside, so $100 profits $92.59 with a 51.9% break-even. Consensus sits at Santa Clara +1.5, so Courtside's +2.5 is a full extra point. The total, combined points, is 164.5 after opening at 165.5. The Over is best at -108 at Courtside and the Under is best at -105 at FanDuel (break-even 51.2%).
Expected value is your average result per bet if you could make it over and over at the market's odds. Here every price comes up short. No side shows a positive edge, so the only real lever is getting the best number.
We lean Santa Clara +2.5 at -108 at Courtside, a small matchup opinion. It needs to win 51.9% of the time to break even, and we cannot show it clears that, so this is not a value play. We like the home floor and the extra half-possession of cushion. A 2-point Broncos loss still cashes at +2.5, and it would lose at the consensus +1.5. If your book only offers +1.5, the bet is worse.
Both teams play near 70 possessions per game, so expect a steady pace. For anyone searching Santa Clara vs New Mexico, our read is a tight game that comes down to the last few trips. We project Santa Clara 81, New Mexico 80. That adds to 161 points, under the 164.5 total, though we are not betting the total. That is our read on this number, and the Desk's documented free play for the day sits right below if you want to compare notes.
New Mexico is the market favorite at -122 (best price at Courtside) on the moneyline, with Santa Clara at +122. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
New Mexico vs Santa Clara streams on ESPN+. The New Mexico Lobos visit the Santa Clara Broncos at the Leavey Center on Saturday, November 14, with tip-off at 10:00 PM ET.
The New Mexico Lobos are the favorite at -125 on the moneyline (best at Fanatics). The Santa Clara Broncos are the underdog at +105 (best at BetMGM). With the vig removed, the market reads New Mexico about 53.1% to 46.9%.
The game tips off Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET at the Leavey Center. It streams on ESPN+, with the Santa Clara Broncos hosting the New Mexico Lobos.
The market flipped this spread toward New Mexico, and we lean Santa Clara +2.5 at Courtside, a full point better than the consensus number. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 165.5, with the over priced at -110 at Fanatics and the under at -105 at theScore Bet. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college basketball odds · FanDuel betting splits
The spread opened Broncos -1.5 and is now +1.5; the total moved from 165.5 to 164.5; several books (3) moved the spread on away to -2.5 together.
As of Nov 13, 9:14 PM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
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