vs
DraftKings bettors lean Morgan State Bears on the spread (57% of tickets).
| Book | BetsMorgan State Bears +1.5Loyola Maryland Greyhounds -1.5 | MoneyMorgan State Bears +1.5Loyola Maryland Greyhounds -1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsMorgan State Bears (-108)Loyola Maryland Greyhounds (-112) | MoneyMorgan State Bears (-108)Loyola Maryland Greyhounds (-112) |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsOver 151.5Under 151.5 | MoneyOver 151.5Under 151.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
Splits data from DraftKings. See every game's betting splits
Polymarket listed this game, but not enough traded before kickoff to show the buyers (we show markets with at least 10 trades and $500 traded).
| Market | Opened | Closed | Circa closed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (home line) | -0.5 | 0 | n/a |
| Total | 150.5 | 151.5 | n/a |
| Moneyline (away / home) | n/a | -110 / -110 | n/a |
Opened is the first number we saw and closed the last before tip-off, the median across the books we track. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book, shown as a reference.
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Leo Ricketts (L-MD)18.2 PPG (4 GP)
Alfred Worrell Jr. (MORG)22.2 PPG (4 GP)Morgan State runs. Loyola Maryland walks. Over their last 10 stored games, the Morgan State Bears averaged 74.6 possessions per game (a possession is one trip down the floor with the ball). The Loyola Maryland Greyhounds averaged 68.6. That six-possession gap is the core of this game. Morgan State vs Loyola Maryland tips Saturday, November 14 at 5:00 PM ET on MNMT at SECU Arena, a neutral floor where neither team is at home. No betting line exists yet, so you get to form a view before the market does.
It is very early. Each team is only four games into the season. As of publication, Morgan State is 3-1 and Loyola Maryland is 1-3, but four games is far too few to read form from a record. No sportsbook favorite exists because no odds are posted. Our rating, an Elo model (a system that adjusts each team's strength after every result), gives Morgan State 58% to win and Loyola Maryland 42%.
Treat that as background, not a bet. Rest is even. Both teams have one day off, and neither is on a back-to-back (games on consecutive days). The Bears traveled 7 miles from their last game in Baltimore. The Greyhounds traveled 0 miles from Towson. Neither changes time zones.
The team numbers below are per-game averages over each side's four games. Morgan State shoots 43% from the field and holds opponents to 34%. It outrebounds opponents 48 to 34.75 per game and scores 20.75 fast-break points per game (points scored in transition before the defense sets). Loyola Maryland shoots 38.75%, allows 44.75%, gives up 36 points in the paint per game and scores just 8 fast-break points per game. The Bears have one clear flaw: 16 turnovers per game, against 13 for the Greyhounds.
Alfred Worrell Jr. is the Bears' scorer at 22.2 points per game across all four games. He played 34 minutes last game and 67 over the past seven days. Keith Richard (33 minutes last game, 71 over seven days) and Ibrahima Traore (33 last game) carry heavy loads too. For the Greyhounds, Leo Ricketts averages 18.2 points per game across all four games, with 28 minutes last game and 53 over seven days. Carter Berg-McLean (31 last game) and D'Andre Harrison (30 last game) lead their minutes chart.
Odds are not posted. When they arrive, you will see three main bets. The moneyline means picking the winner outright. The spread is a handicap: the favorite must win by more than the posted number, and the underdog can lose by less and still cash. The total is a bet on whether combined points land over or under a posted figure.
Every price includes the vig, the sportsbook's built-in fee. Prices differ from book to book, so always compare before you bet. One data point: Loyola Maryland is 1-2 against the spread (results measured against the point spread) in 3 graded games, and 1-2 on over-unders in 3 games. Three games is a tiny sample.
Without a price we cannot calculate a no-vig fair line or an expected value, and we will not fake one. Expected value is the average dollar result per $100 risked if you made the same bet many times. It is positive only when the payout is bigger than the risk deserves. Once a line posts, strip out the vig to get the market-implied probability and compare it to your own read. Our read favors Morgan State on matchup: pace, rebounding and transition scoring. Remember that a spread and a moneyline are separate bets, each with its own break-even.
Morgan State, as a matchup lean only, at the best price you can find once books open. No price and no book can be named yet. If the number posts too expensive, passing is a fine decision.
We expect the Bears to push the tempo, win the rebounding battle and turn Greyhound misses into easy baskets. Turnovers are the risk that keeps it from being comfortable. Projected final: Morgan State 74, Loyola Maryland 65. That is our read on Loyola Maryland vs Morgan State before a number exists. The Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it sits right below.
Morgan State's speed and rebounding give the Bears the better matchup profile against Loyola Maryland, and we lean Bears once books post a number.
Morgan State vs Loyola Maryland airs on MNMT. The game is played at SECU Arena, a neutral site where neither team is at home, and tips off Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM Eastern time.
Sportsbooks had not posted odds at publication, so there is no market favorite yet. As background only, our Elo rating gives the Morgan State Bears 58% to win and the Loyola Maryland Greyhounds 42%. That rating is context, not a bet.
The game tips off Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM Eastern time at SECU Arena. It is broadcast on MNMT. Both teams come in on one day of rest, and neither is playing on consecutive days.
Morgan State's speed and rebounding give the Bears the better matchup profile against Loyola Maryland, and we lean Bears once books post a number. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits
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