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LSU Tigers play at Gonzaga Bulldogs in college basketball on Saturday, November 14, at Spokane Numerica Veterans Arena. As of 7:43 PM ET, Gonzaga are 6.5-point favorites and the total is 161.5. Prices come from 12 sportsbooks we track. The Desk leans Under 161.5 at Courtside.
Prices updated · from 12 sportsbooks · college basketball betting splits
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket US lists moneyline for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.
| Market | LSU Tigers | Gonzaga Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +245Bet at FanDuel → | -270Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Spread | +6.5 -103Bet at Courtside → | -6.5 -113Bet at Courtside → |
| Total 161.5 | O -109betPARX | U -103Bet at Courtside → |
As of 7:43 PM ET, the spread is Gonzaga -6.5 and the total is 161.5, with 12 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | LSU ML | Gonzaga ML | LSU spread | Gonzaga spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | +230 | -315 | +6.5 -106 | -6.5 -115 | O 161.5 -109 | U 161.5 -112 |
| betPARX | +230 | -315 | +6.5 -106 | -6.5 -115 | O 161.5 -109 | U 161.5 -112 |
| BetRivers | +230 | -315 | +6.5 -107 | -6.5 -117 | O 161.5 -110 | U 161.5 -113 |
| FanDuel | +245 | -310 | +6.5 -104 | -6.5 -118 | O 161.5 -110 | U 161.5 -110 |
| ProphetX | +245 | -290 | +6.5 +110 | -6.5 -114 | O 161.5 -111 | U 161.5 -103 |
| BetMGM | +240 | -300 | – | – | O 161.5 -115 | U 161.5 -105 |
| Courtside | – | – | +6.5 -103 | -6.5 -113 | O 161.5 -113 | U 161.5 -103 |
| DraftKings | – | – | +6.5 -105 | -6.5 -115 | O 161.5 -115 | U 161.5 -105 |
| Caesars | – | – | – | – | O 161.5 -110 | U 161.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | +230 | -285 | – | – | – | – |
Prices from 12 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Davis Fogle (GONZ)22.0 PPG (2 GP)
Michael Ruzic (LSU)15.7 PPG (3 GP)The books make Gonzaga a -264 favorite at home, yet 66% of the money traded on the Kalshi exchange moneyline is on LSU. That is light trading (141 trades, $1.0k traded), so the share can swing, but some people clearly smell an upset. The bigger story is speed. Over their last 10 stored games, LSU played at 74.7 possessions per game and Gonzaga at 64.8. One team gets to set the pace Saturday, and that fight shapes every number on this board.
The LSU Tigers visit the Gonzaga Bulldogs at Spokane Numerica Veterans Arena on Saturday, November 14, tipping at 3:30 PM ET on USA Net. Gonzaga is the favorite. As of publication LSU is 3-0 and Gonzaga is 2-0, but it is very early, three and two games into the season, so those records say little. A Nov 13 headline billed it as No. 14 Gonzaga taking on LSU in Spokane. The schedule matters more.
LSU traveled 1,827 miles and crossed two time zones west, on 4 days of rest. Gonzaga traveled zero miles, has 6 days of rest and is in game 2 of a home stand. Neither team is on a back-to-back (games on consecutive days). Our rating, an Elo model built on stored results, gives Gonzaga 86% and LSU 14%. That is context only, and it is more bullish on the Bulldogs than the market.
Davis Fogle leads Gonzaga at 22.0 points per game over two games, a small sample. Michael Ruzic leads LSU at 15.7 points per game over three games, also a small sample. Neither number is a trend yet. Minutes show who the coaches trust. In Gonzaga's last game, Fogle and Massamba Diop each played 33 minutes and Isiah Harwell played 30. For LSU, Donovan Dent logged 30, Skyy Clark 29 and Divine Ugochukwu 24. LSU's per-game averages over three games include 24.67 fast-break points, a sign of a team that wants to run. Three games is tiny, so read that as style, not proof.
The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. The spread adds points to even things out. LSU +7 at -110 at Fanatics wins if LSU wins or loses by 6 or fewer, is a push (stake returned) on a 7-point loss, and loses on an 8-point loss. Gonzaga -7 at the same price needs to win by 8 or more.
Both sides have a break-even, the win rate you need just to not lose money over time, of 52.4%. The total is the combined score of both teams. Over 161.5 is -110 at FanDuel (break-even 52.4%). Under 161.5 is -103 at Courtside (break-even 50.7%), the lower break-even of the two total prices. At the open, five books ranged from 161.5 at DraftKings to 162.5 at Fanatics. Shopping is the edge.
Strip out the vig, the bookmaker's built-in fee, and the market reads Gonzaga at 71.6% and LSU at 28.4%. Expected value is your average result per bet over many tries. Nothing here is positive by the numbers, so any play is a matchup opinion, not a math edge.
We lean Under 161.5 at -103 at Courtside, a matchup lean. Gonzaga is home and rested, and its 64.8-possession pace is far slower than LSU's 74.7. Take the -103, because at -110 the break-even climbs to 52.4%. Keep the stake small, since the market reads this side at 49.5%.
Gonzaga dictates tempo and wins a game LSU keeps within reach. Projected score: Gonzaga 81, LSU 76. That adds to 157 points, which is under the 161.5 total. That is our LSU vs Gonzaga prediction, and it rests on pace and setting, not on a handful of early box scores. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Gonzaga is the market favorite at -270 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with LSU at +245. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
LSU vs Gonzaga airs on USA Net. The game tips at 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026, at Spokane Numerica Veterans Arena in Spokane, Washington, where the Gonzaga Bulldogs host the LSU Tigers.
The LSU Tigers and Gonzaga Bulldogs tip off at 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026. The game is played at Spokane Numerica Veterans Arena and is broadcast on USA Net.
Gonzaga is a -264 home favorite, but our matchup lean is the Under 161.5 at -103 at Courtside, built on a pace fight the Bulldogs get to control. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 161.5, with the over priced at -109 at betPARX and the under at -103 at Courtside. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college basketball odds · FanDuel betting splits
On Kalshi, 66% of the money traded on the moneyline is on LSU Tigers (141 trades, $1.0k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 13, 5:44 PM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.