@
Marshall Thundering Herd play at Youngstown State Penguins in college basketball on Saturday, November 14, at Zidian Family Arena at Beeghly Center. As of 7:17 PM ET, Marshall are 1.5-point favorites and the total is 159.5. Prices come from 6 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 6 sportsbooks · college basketball betting splits
Kalshi and Polymarket list this game, but not enough has traded yet to show the buyers (we show markets with at least 10 trades and $500 traded).
Polymarket US lists moneyline for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.
| Market | Marshall Thundering Herd | Youngstown State Penguins |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -110Bet at BetMGM → | -102Bet at FanDuel → |
| Spread | -1.5 -105Bet at FanDuel → | +1.5 -115Bet at FanDuel → |
| Total 159.5 | O -110Bet at FanDuel → | U -105Bet at BetMGM → |
As of 7:17 PM ET, the spread is Marshall -1.5 and the total is 159.5, with 6 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Marshall ML | Youngstown State ML | Marshall spread | Youngstown State spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | -118 | -102 | -1.5 -105 | +1.5 -115 | O 159.5 -110 | U 159.5 -110 |
| Novig | -117 | -102 | -1.5 -117 | +1.5 -133 | O 159.5 -127 | U 159.5 -122 |
| ProphetX | -127 | -122 | -1.5 -117 | +1.5 -132 | O 159.5 -127 | U 159.5 -122 |
| BetMGM | -110 | -110 | – | – | O 159.5 -115 | U 159.5 -105 |
| Caesars | – | – | – | – | O 159.5 -110 | U 159.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | -115 | -105 | – | – | – | – |
Prices from 6 sportsbooks we track, updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Linus Holmstrom (YSU)14.3 PPG (3 GP)
Noah Otshudi (MRSH)21.7 PPG (3 GP)Prices are posted now. Best prices as of 7:17 PM ET: Marshall Thundering Herd -110 at BetMGM, Youngstown State Penguins -102 at FanDuel. The full best-price table sits at the top of this page.
Our rating makes the Youngstown State Penguins a 65% favorite at home. The efficiency numbers point the other way. Over their last 10 stored games, the Marshall Thundering Herd scored 116.7 points per 100 possessions and Youngstown State scored 105.5. A possession is one trip down the floor with the ball, so that is an 11-point gap for every 100 trips. When two good signals disagree, the betting price decides who is right for us.
Both teams are 1-2, but it is only three games into the season. That is far too early to read form into either record. Tipoff is Saturday, November 14, at 6:00 PM ET at Zidian Family Arena at Beeghly Center, and the game streams on ESPN+. Marshall gets 4 days of rest and is on game 2 of a road trip after a 146-mile hop from Columbus.
Youngstown State gets 3 days of rest after traveling 272 miles home from Mount Pleasant. Against the spread (whether a team beat the betting margin it was given), both teams are 2-1 over three graded games. Youngstown State is also 2-1 against the spread on the road and 2-1 as an underdog. On over-unders (bets on the combined score), both are 1-2 over three games. Three games is a coin-flip sample, so treat all of it lightly.
Marshall guard Noah Otshudi averages 21.7 points per game over three games, a small sample. Over a wider window of stored games he has averaged 20.4 points over his last 5 and 16.5 over his last 10, playing 32.4 minutes per game. He logged a team-high 32 minutes last game. For Youngstown State, Linus Holmstrom averages 14.3 points per game over three games, also a small sample. Jaiden Haynes carried the heaviest load last game at 36 minutes, with Holmstrom at 29.
No sportsbook has posted Marshall vs Youngstown State odds or a spread yet. When they do, you will see a moneyline (a bet on who wins outright), a spread (a bet on the margin) and a total (a bet on the combined score). Until then, the only favorite we can name is our rating, an Elo model built from past results (69 rated games for Youngstown State, 68 for Marshall).
It has Youngstown State at 65% and Marshall at 35%. That is context, not a bet. The team averages over three games are also small samples. Per game, Marshall has shot 47.67% and allowed 41.67%, while Youngstown State has shot 43.67% and allowed 51%. Marshall averages 14 turnovers per game, which is its soft spot.
The vig is the sportsbook's built-in fee. Strip it out of both sides of a line and you get the no-vig price, which is what the market thinks each side's chances are once that fee is removed. Expected value is what a bet returns per $100 risked over the long run. It is positive only when your read beats the price's break-even rate.
We cannot do that math without a posted line. What we can say is that the rest edge, the shorter trip and the 10-game efficiency gap all lean Marshall. If the market prices Youngstown State the way our rating does, Marshall could be the side where value shows up. Compare every book. The best price is the whole game.
Marshall, but only at a fair price. Check every sportsbook and take the best number on the Thundering Herd. If Marshall gets priced as a heavy favorite, we pass.
Marshall averages 72.3 possessions per game and Youngstown State averages 69, so expect a fairly brisk game. If Otshudi handles his usual minutes and Marshall keeps its turnovers in check, the Herd's offense should do enough on the road. We project Marshall 77, Youngstown State 74, a 151-point game decided late. The Desk's documented free daily play sits right below if you want to see how we handle a game with a posted line.
Marshall is the market favorite at -110 (best price at BetMGM) on the moneyline, with Youngstown State at -102. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Marshall vs Youngstown State streams on ESPN+. The game is played at Zidian Family Arena at Beeghly Center, home of the Youngstown State Penguins, on Saturday, November 14, 2026.
Tipoff is Saturday, November 14, 2026, at 6:00 PM Eastern time at Zidian Family Arena at Beeghly Center. Neither team changes time zones for this game, and it streams on ESPN+.
Sportsbooks had not posted odds as of November 11. Our Elo rating, which is context and not a bet, gives Youngstown State a 65% chance to win and Marshall 35%. Both teams were 1-2, three games into the season.
Our rating likes the home team, but Marshall's scoring efficiency and rest edge make the Thundering Herd our lean, but only at a fair price. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 159.5, with the over priced at -110 at FanDuel and the under at -105 at BetMGM. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college basketball odds · FanDuel betting splits
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.