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Miami (OH) RedHawks play at Evansville Purple Aces in college basketball on Saturday, November 14, at Ford Center. As of 7:39 PM ET, Miami (OH) are 8.5-point favorites and the total is 152.5. Prices come from 12 sportsbooks we track. The Desk leans Miami. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 12 sportsbooks · college basketball betting splits
Kalshi and Polymarket list this game, but not enough has traded yet to show the buyers (we show markets with at least 10 trades and $500 traded).
Polymarket US lists moneyline for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.
| Market | Miami (OH) RedHawks | Evansville Purple Aces |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -305betPARX | +303Bet at Courtside → |
| Spread | -8.5 -102Bet at FanDuel → | +8.5 -103Bet at Courtside → |
| Total 152.5 | O -109betPARX | U -110Bet at FanDuel → |
As of 7:39 PM ET, the spread is Miami (OH) -8.5 and the total is 152.5, with 12 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Miami (OH) ML | Evansville ML | Miami (OH) spread | Evansville spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | -345 | +270 | -8.5 -102 | +8.5 -120 | O 152.5 -110 | U 152.5 -110 |
| Bally Bet | -305 | +225 | – | – | O 152.5 -109 | U 152.5 -112 |
| betPARX | -305 | +225 | – | – | O 152.5 -109 | U 152.5 -112 |
| BetRivers | -305 | +225 | – | – | O 152.5 -109 | U 152.5 -113 |
| Caesars | – | – | -8.5 -110 | +8.5 -110 | O 152.5 -110 | U 152.5 -110 |
| Courtside | -364 | +303 | -8.5 -113 | +8.5 -103 | – | – |
| DraftKings | -375 | +295 | -8.5 -115 | +8.5 -105 | – | – |
| Novig | -355 | +300 | -8.5 -125 | +8.5 -133 | – | – |
| BetMGM | -350 | +280 | – | – | – | – |
| Fanatics | -350 | +275 | – | – | – | – |
Prices from 12 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Bryce Quinet (EVAN)17.3 PPG (3 GP)
Evan Ipsaro (M-OH)13.5 PPG (2 GP)Nine sportsbooks opened this game and could not agree on the spread. Evansville opened anywhere from +6.5 at Betparx to +9.5 at Fanatics, a three-point gap on a single game. When books disagree that much, the bettor who shops around gets paid. The Miami (OH) RedHawks visit the Evansville Purple Aces at the Ford Center on Saturday, November 14, at 2:00 PM ET on ESPN+. If you came for a Miami (OH) vs Evansville prediction, start here: the price you take matters as much as the side.
Miami (OH) is, and clearly. As of this writing, Miami (OH) is 2-0 and Evansville is 2-1. That is only two and three games into the season, far too early to read anything into it. The schedule says more. Miami (OH) gets six days of rest and travels 185 miles, crossing one time zone west.
Evansville has three days of rest after a 160-mile trip from its last game in Murfreesboro, and it has played two games in the last seven days. Neither team is on a back-to-back. Our rating, an Elo model (a system that adjusts each team's strength after every result), gives Miami (OH) a 77% chance to win and Evansville 23%. That is context only, and it lands right next to the market's own read.
Bryce Quinet leads Evansville at 17.3 points per game over three games, a small sample. He also played 38 minutes last game and 77 over the past seven days, a heavy workload. Evan Ipsaro leads Miami (OH) at 13.5 points per game over two games, an even smaller sample. Almar Atlason logged 34 minutes in the RedHawks' last game, the most on the roster. Treat every early number here as a sketch, not a portrait.
The moneyline is a bet on who wins, nothing else. Miami (OH) is -305 at betPARX, the best price we track. The minus sign marks the favorite: a $100 bet profits $32.79 if Miami (OH) wins and loses $100 if not. Evansville is +303 at Courtside. The plus sign marks the underdog, and $100 profits $303.00 on a win. The point spread is a bet on the margin. Miami (OH) -8.5 at -102 (best at FanDuel) wins only if the RedHawks win by 9 or more, so an 8-point win loses.
Evansville +8.5 at -103 (best at Courtside) wins if the Purple Aces win outright or lose by 8 or fewer. The half point means no push, so there is no tie that refunds your bet. The total is the combined score of both teams: Over 152.5 at -109 (betPARX), Under 152.5 at -110 (FanDuel). Every price carries vig, the bookmaker's built-in cut. Strip it out and the market makes Miami (OH) about 76.2% to win and Evansville 23.8%.
Break-even is the win rate a price needs just to avoid losing money over time. Expected value is the average result per bet if you could place it again and again. Only one line clears its break-even against the market's no-vig read. Thin, but positive. Everything else runs the wrong way. Remember the edge on Miami (OH) lives in the number. Pay more than -305 and that thin cushion shrinks fast.
We lean Miami (OH) RedHawks moneyline at -305 at betPARX. This is Desk analysis, not an official play. Know the shape of the bet. A $100 ticket profits $32.79 on a win and costs the full $100 on a loss, so size it modestly.
Evansville vs Miami (OH) looks like a game the RedHawks control without running away. Over their last 10 stored games, Miami (OH) has scored 115.8 points per 100 possessions to Evansville's 99.9, and the RedHawks arrive with six days of rest to Evansville's three. The home floor keeps the Purple Aces within reach. We project Miami (OH) 78, Evansville 71.
That adds up to 149, under the 152.5 total, and a seven-point margin would not cover -8.5, which is why we stay on the moneyline and pass on both the spread and the total. That is our read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free daily play, and it sits right below.
Miami (OH) is the market favorite at -305 (best price at betPARX) on the moneyline, with Evansville at +303. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
The Miami (OH) RedHawks are the favorite at -305 (best at betPARX), and the Evansville Purple Aces are the underdog at +303 (best at Courtside). With the bookmaker's cut removed, the market makes Miami (OH) about 76.2% to win and Evansville about 23.8%. The spread has Miami (OH) at -8.5.
The game streams on ESPN+. Tip-off is Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM Eastern time at the Ford Center, Evansville's indoor home arena, where the Purple Aces host the Miami (OH) RedHawks.
Miami (OH) at Evansville tips off Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM Eastern time at the Ford Center. The broadcast is on ESPN+, so that is where to find the Miami (OH) RedHawks and Evansville Purple Aces live.
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Evansville Purple Aces College Basketball prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 152.5, with the over priced at -109 at betPARX and the under at -110 at FanDuel. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college basketball odds · FanDuel betting splits
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